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Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc (BHR) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $157M

BH Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc logo Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc BHR · US
Price$2.07
Fair Value$2.35
Upside+13.4%
Quality31/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -2.2% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
6.91% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Narrow moat 24/100
Evidence: Medium Range $1.27 – $3.42 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 5 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +1.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 13% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($1.27 to $3.42). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$5.33 $1.59 Fair Value $2.35 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.59 – $5.33 · fair‑value band $1.27 – $3.42 · the $2.07 price screens below the $2.35 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc (BHR) currently trades at $2.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.35, implying the stock looks roughly 13.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc generated revenue of $697M at a net margin of -2.2%. Revenue declined 3.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.5%. Net debt stands at $1.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.27 (bear case) to $3.42 (bull case); at $2.07, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 13%, BHR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $4.80 $8.04 $10.44 70
DDM Multi-Stage $4.80 $7.63 $8.65 61
EV/EBITDA $11.01 $19.43 $27.85 54
All 5 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $4.80 $8.04 $10.44 70
DDM Multi-Stage $4.80 $7.63 $8.65 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $3.00 53
EV/EBITDA $11.01 $19.43 $27.85 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.67 $4.92 $7.34 50

Widest divergence: Multiples ($19.43) versus Asset-Based ($4.92). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $697M
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.2%
Net margin -2.2%
Return on equity -3.5%
Free cash flow −$37.1M FY2025
Operating margin 19.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.9400
Dividend yield 6.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +7.1%
Net debt $1.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 14
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on the high-growth luxury hotel and resort sector. The Company targets high-performance luxury urban and resort properties, specializing in assets that generate revenue per available room (RevPAR) at least twice the U.S. national average.

Full company description

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on the high-growth luxury hotel and resort sector. The Company targets high-performance luxury urban and resort properties, specializing in assets that generate revenue per available room (RevPAR) at least twice the U.S. national average. Its industry-leading portfolio features luxury properties across the United States and the U.S. territories in the Caribbean. Externally advised by Ashford Hospitality Advisors LLC, Braemar leverages deep industry expertise and disciplined asset management to drive outsized performance. Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc. was incorporated in 2013 in Maryland and is based in Dallas, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc reported revenue of $704M in FY2025 versus $428M in FY2021, a compound +13.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$22.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$704M
Latest YoY
−3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.4%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.7%
Revenue +13.3%/yr
FY21 $428M
FY22 $670M
FY23 $739M
FY24 $728M
FY25 $704M
Net income
FY21 −$26.7M
FY22 $17.8M
FY23 −$27.0M
FY24 −$1.7M
FY25 −$22.3M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BHR

Peer Group

REIT - Hotel & Motel · 35 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +14% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Above median
Revenue growth -3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 2.19× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Hotel & Motel median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.31× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.23× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.2× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 51 · sector 12
FUTURE 0 · sector 2
PAST 0 · sector 6
HEALTH 0 · sector 73
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 65

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Hotel & Motel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc HST $24.50 $16.49 -33%
Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc RHP $133.09 $48.74 -63%
COVH COVH €21.80 €21.79 -0%
Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc APLE $16.61 $12.63 -24%
Park Hotels & Resorts inc. PK $14.74 $20.58 +40%
DiamondRock Hospitality Company DRH $12.85 $8.43 -34%
Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc SHO $11.74 $2.52 -79%
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust PEB $19.09 $25.37 +33%
Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc XHR $21.49 $11.63 -46%
RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) RLJ $12.34 $8.28 -33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc (BHR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.35 versus a price of $2.07, about +13% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BHR?
Our model-based fair value for Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc is $2.35 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $2.07.
What is the quality score of BHR?
Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc (BHR)?
Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $697M (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BHR?
The net profit margin of Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc is about -2.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc pay a dividend?
Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.91% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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