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Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc (BHR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc $2.35, price $1.76, upside +33.3%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Real Estate · US · ISIN US10482B1017

BH Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc

BHR · US

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value $2.35 · Undervalued (+33%)
!Quality 31/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +25.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -2.2% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
·8.52% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
!Narrow moat 24/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$5.24 $1.59 Fair Value $2.35 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.59 – $5.24 · fair‑value band $1.27 – $3.42 · the $1.76 price screens below the $2.35 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on the high-growth luxury hotel and resort sector. The Company targets high-performance luxury urban and resort properties, specializing in assets that generate revenue per available room (RevPAR) at least twice the U.S. national average.

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Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on the high-growth luxury hotel and resort sector. The Company targets high-performance luxury urban and resort properties, specializing in assets that generate revenue per available room (RevPAR) at least twice the U.S. national average. Its industry-leading portfolio features luxury properties across the United States and the U.S. territories in the Caribbean. Externally advised by Ashford Hospitality Advisors LLC, Braemar leverages deep industry expertise and disciplined asset management to drive outsized performance. Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc. was incorporated in 2013 in Maryland and is based in Dallas, Texas.

Stock analysis

Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc (BHR) currently trades at $1.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.35, implying the stock looks roughly 25.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $19.43 per share, and 4 of the 4 models we run sit above the $1.76 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $4.92, and 0 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $1.27 (bear) to $3.42 (bull), the price of $1.76 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc reported revenue of $704M in FY2025 versus $428M in FY2021, a compound +13.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$22.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $157M · P/S ratio 0.22 · EPS (TTM) $−0.9400 · Dividend yield 8.5% · Net margin −3.2% · Return on equity −3.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.8% · Operating margin 19.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 33%, BHR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.27 Fair Value $2.35 Bull $3.42
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $4.80 $8.04 $10.44 68
DDM Multi-Stage $4.80 $7.63 $8.65 67
EV/EBITDA $11.01 $19.43 $27.85 65
All 5 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $4.80 $8.04 $10.44 68
DDM Multi-Stage $4.80 $7.63 $8.65 67
Multiples
EV/EBIT n/a n/a $3.00 61
EV/EBITDA $11.01 $19.43 $27.85 65
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.67 $4.92 $7.34 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 14
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.3% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−35.2% (2020) → 6.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Hotel & Motel · 35 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +33% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 8.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 2.19× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Hotel & Motel median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.31× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.23× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 8.2× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)78 · sector 51
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 2
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 6
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 74
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 100

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Hotel & Motel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc HST $22.28 $18.98 −15%
Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc RHP $121.55 $65.57 −46%
COVH COVH €21.10 €35.74 +69%
Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc APLE $15.78 $17.87 +13%
Park Hotels & Resorts inc. PK $15.19 $14.95 −2%
DiamondRock Hospitality Company DRH $12.31 $8.84 −28%
Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc SHO $11.09 $6.05 −45%
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust PEB $18.26 $25.36 +39%
Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc XHR $17.89 $8.49 −53%
RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) RLJ $11.03 $7.71 −30%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BHR

Frequently asked questions

Is Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc (BHR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.35 versus a price of $1.76, about +33% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BHR?
Our model-based fair value for Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc is $2.35 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.76.
What is the quality score of BHR?
Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc (BHR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.35 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.27, optimistic scenario $3.42. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.35, about +33% upside versus a price of $1.76 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $1.27, optimistic scenario $3.42. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc (BHR)?
Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $697M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc pay a dividend?
Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.52% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc (BHR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc it is $2.35 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $1.76. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, BHR trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.76, fair value $2.35, a gap of about +33% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BHR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.76); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.35). For Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc the two are $0.5860 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc worth?
The market values Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc at about $157M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $1.76; our models calculate a fair value of $2.35 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BHR?
Our models span a range for Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc: cautious scenario $1.27, base $2.35, optimistic $3.42 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $1.76). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc (BHR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −3.5%, debt of 2.19 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BHR from its 52-week high?
Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc trades at $1.76, about 44% below its 52-week high of $3.14 and at the low of $1.76 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.35 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc, Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc, COVH, Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $1.76, calculated fair value $2.35 (+33%), Quality Score 31/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BHR calculated?
We run Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.35, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc currently trades 33 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc (BHR)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $1.76. Our model-based fair value is $2.35, about +33% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (31/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide ($1.27 to $3.42). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc (BHR)?
The market capitalisation of Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc is $157M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc (BHR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc is 0.22 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc (BHR)?
Earnings per share at Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc are $−0.9400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc (BHR)?
The dividend yield of Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc is 8.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc (BHR)?
The net margin of Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc is −3.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc (BHR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc is −3.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc (BHR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc is 2.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc (BHR)?
The operating margin of Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc is 19.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc (BHR)?
Revenue at Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc is growing −3.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc (BHR)?
Earnings per share at Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc are growing +7.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc (BHR) generate?
The free cash flow of Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc is −$37.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc (BHR) carry?
The net debt of Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc is $1.1B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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