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Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings (BJGBF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings $0.03, price $0.04, upside -19.9%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Utilities · US · ISIN BMG095871098

BG Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings

BJGBF · US

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value $0.0320 · Overvalued (−19.9%)
!Quality 36/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +7.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 21/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.0547 $0.0017 Fair Value $0.0320 Oct 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

48‑month range $0.0017 – $0.0547 · fair‑value band $0.0280 – $0.0320 · the $0.0399 price screens above the $0.0320 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, sells and distributes natural gas and other related products to residential, industrial, and commercial consumers. It operates through City Gas Operation, Trading and Distribution of Natural Gas, and Integrated Clean Energy and New Energy segments.

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Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, sells and distributes natural gas and other related products to residential, industrial, and commercial consumers. It operates through City Gas Operation, Trading and Distribution of Natural Gas, and Integrated Clean Energy and New Energy segments. The company operates compressed natural gas (CNG) and liquefied natural gas (LNG) refueling stations for vehicles; and distributes and trades in CNG, LNG fuel oil and other related oil by-products as a wholesaler to industrial and commercial users and direct LNG supply through direct supply facilities, as well as related value-added services, such as repair and maintenance services. It is also involved in the sale of gas-related equipment; and provision of pipeline construction services. The company was formerly known as Blue Sky Power Holdings Limited and changed its name to Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings Limited in January 2017. Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings Limited was founded in 2000 and is based in Admiralty, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings (BJGBF) currently trades at $0.0399, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0320, 19.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.0300 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the $0.0399 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $0.0100, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $0.0280 (bear) to $0.0320 (bull), the price of $0.0399 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings reported revenue of 2.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was 94.5M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $118M · P/S ratio 0.06 · Net margin 4.5% · Return on equity 5.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.2% · Operating margin −3.0% · Revenue (TTM) 1.9B CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) +0.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 873% above its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −20%, BJGBF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0280 Fair Value $0.0320 Bull $0.0320
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0600 73
Residual Income $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0100 71
Growth-Adj P/E $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0200 68
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0600 73
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd n/a $0.0300 $0.0400 63
Lynch FV $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0200 61
PEG = 1.0 $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0200 57
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0100 63
P/S Multiple $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0100 58
P/B Multiple $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0100 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) n/a $0.0100 $0.0100 52
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0100 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0200 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 22
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 94
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 42/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+23.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +34.7% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+15.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−69% → −3%

BJGBF screens overvalued: fair value 20% below the price. Compare with Naturgy Energy Group →

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Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Naturgy Energy Group NTGY €29.10 €32.79 +13%
Atmos Energy Corporation ATO $156.38 $77.00 −51%
Uniper SE UN0 €45.25 €45.97 +2%
NiSource Inc NI $39.50 $19.90 −50%
The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 HK$7.08 HK$4.79 −32%
GAIL (India) Limited GAIL ₹172.70 ₹132.97 −23%
Italgas S.p.A IG €8.35 €9.19 +10%
ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 ¥18.54 ¥36.99 +100%
UGI Corporation UGI $36.24 $32.74 −10%
ENN Energy Holdings 2688 HK$48.76 HK$107.85 +121%

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Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings · Fair Value
$0.0320 −20%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BJGBF

Frequently asked questions

Is Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings (BJGBF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0320 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.0399, about −20% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BJGBF?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings is $0.0320 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.0399.
What is the quality score of BJGBF?
Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings (BJGBF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0320 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0280, optimistic scenario $0.0320. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0320, about −20% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.0399 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0280, optimistic scenario $0.0320. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings (BJGBF)?
Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings (BJGBF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings it is $0.0320 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.0399. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BJGBF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.0399, fair value $0.0320, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BJGBF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0399); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0320). For Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings the two are $0.0079 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings worth?
The market values Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings at about $118M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.0399; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0320 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BJGBF?
Our models span a range for Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings: cautious scenario $0.0280, base $0.0320, optimistic $0.0320 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.0399). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is BJGBF from its 52-week high?
Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings trades at $0.0399, about 12% below its 52-week high of $0.0451 and 873% above the low of $0.0041 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0320 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Naturgy Energy Group, Atmos Energy Corporation, Uniper SE, NiSource Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.0399, calculated fair value $0.0320 (−20%), Quality Score 36/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BJGBF calculated?
We run Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0320, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings (BJGBF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.0399. Our model-based fair value is $0.0320, about −20% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0320). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The models converge in a tight band ($0.0280 to $0.0320), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings

How large is the market capitalisation of Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings (BJGBF)?
The market capitalisation of Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings is $118M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings (BJGBF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings is 0.06 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings (BJGBF)?
The net margin of Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings is 4.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings (BJGBF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings is 5.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings (BJGBF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings is −2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings (BJGBF)?
The operating margin of Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings is −3.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings (BJGBF)?
Revenue at Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings is growing +0.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings (BJGBF)?
Earnings per share at Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings are growing +0.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings (BJGBF) generate?
The free cash flow of Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings is −201M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings (BJGBF) carry?
The net debt of Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings is 2.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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