BKW AG (BKW) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · CH · Market cap CHF 7.0B
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from CHF 89.77 to CHF 161.59 (+80.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 22% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (CHF 124.65 to CHF 244.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from CHF 124.65 (bear) to CHF 244.22 (bull), base CHF 161.59. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 44/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 84.24 – CHF 179.74 · fair‑value band CHF 124.65 – CHF 244.22 · the CHF 132.80 price screens below the CHF 161.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
BKW AG (BKW) currently trades at CHF 132.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 161.59, implying the stock looks roughly 21.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, BKW AG generated revenue of CHF 4.3B at a net margin of 8.3%. Revenue declined 10.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.7%. Net debt stands at CHF 971M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from CHF 124.65 (bear case) to CHF 244.22 (bull case); at CHF 132.80, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at 22%, BKW screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (CHF 114.94) versus Economic Profit (CHF 20.57). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
BKW AG, an energy and infrastructure company, plans, builds, and operates infrastructure to produce and supply energy to businesses, households, and the public sector in Switzerland, Germany, Italy, France, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Energy Solutions, Power Grid, and Infrastructure & Buildings.
Full company description
BKW AG, an energy and infrastructure company, plans, builds, and operates infrastructure to produce and supply energy to businesses, households, and the public sector in Switzerland, Germany, Italy, France, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Energy Solutions, Power Grid, and Infrastructure & Buildings. The Energy Solutions segment builds, operates, and maintains its portfolio of power plants. This segment also sells energy; trades in electricity, certificates, and raw materials; and offers wind, solar, and smart energy services. Its Power Grid segment builds, operates, and maintains the company's distribution grid. The Infrastructure and Buildings segment offers engineering planning and consulting services for energy, infrastructure, and environmental projects; integrated building technology solutions; and construction and maintenance services in the fields of energy, telecommunications, transport and water utility networks. It also provides digital business models for renewable energy. The company was formerly known as BKW FMB Energie AG and changed its name to BKW AG in December 2011. BKW AG was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Bern, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
BKW AG reported revenue of CHF 4.2B in FY2025 versus CHF 3.4B in FY2021, a compound +5.6%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 357M in FY2025, compounding +4.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 213 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥27.99 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 149.70 | kr 31.40 | -79% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.81 | ¥5.57 | -43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,537 | ₹170.50 | -89% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.65 | -10% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €58.65 | €66.19 | +13% |
| BEP BEP | $32.33 | $73.35 | +127% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$44.56 | C$10.15 | -77% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €19.89 | €13.90 | -30% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥16.21 | ¥8.23 | -49% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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