BMSR Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · ID · Market cap 350B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 684.42 IDR to 239.55 IDR (−65.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +0.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 22% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (299.44 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 77.00 IDR – 1,180 IDR · fair‑value band 182.35 IDR – 299.44 IDR · the 308.00 IDR price screens above the 239.55 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
BMSR (BMSR) currently trades at 308.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 239.55 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 22.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, BMSR generated revenue of 3.5T IDR at a net margin of 2.8%. Revenue declined 13.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.8%. Net debt stands at 302B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 182.35 IDR (bear case) to 299.44 IDR (bull case); at 308.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -22%, BMSR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (1,843 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (3.10 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Bintang Mitra Semestaraya Tbk trades in chemicals, liquid, gas, and solid fuels in Indonesia. It operates through Chemical Goods; and Others segments. The company offers caustic soda liquid and flakes, hydrochloric acid, sodium hypochlorite, sulfuric acid, ethylene dichloride, and polyvinyl chloride.
Full company description
PT Bintang Mitra Semestaraya Tbk trades in chemicals, liquid, gas, and solid fuels in Indonesia. It operates through Chemical Goods; and Others segments. The company offers caustic soda liquid and flakes, hydrochloric acid, sodium hypochlorite, sulfuric acid, ethylene dichloride, and polyvinyl chloride. It is also involved in the exploration and production of oil and gas; mining of nickel; and real estate and property and general trading activities. The company was formerly known as PT Bintang Mahkota Semestaraya and changed its name to PT Bintang Mitra Semestaraya Tbk in May 1991. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Bintang Mitra Semestaraya Tbk is a subsidiary of Chance Stand Finance Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
BMSR reported revenue of 3.6T IDR in FY2025 versus 3.3T IDR in FY2021, a compound +2.3%/yr. Reported net income was 46.7B IDR in FY2025, compounding −28.6%/yr from FY2021.
BMSR screens 22% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →
Peer Group
Chemicals · 333 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASN | 1,034 MXN | 532.13 MXN | -49% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥20.32 | ¥20.17 | -1% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥42.85 | ¥23.35 | -46% |
| Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 | ¥10.95 | ¥2.39 | -78% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,690 IDR | 1,628 IDR | -4% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 260,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +126% |
| Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 | 66.10 TWD | 6.79 TWD | -90% |
| PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC | 35.50 THB | 18.21 THB | -49% |
| 542812 542812 | ₹4,369 | ₹791.05 | -82% |
| Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL | 24.50 THB | 17.95 THB | -27% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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