Bonterra Energy Corp (BNEFF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Bonterra Energy Corp $3.36, price $4.21, upside -20.2%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.82 – $10.25 · the $4.21 price screens above the $3.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Bonterra Energy Corp., a conventional oil and gas company, engages in the development and production of oil and natural gas in Canada. Its principal asset is the Pembina Cardium, a conventional oil field at the Pembina and Willesden green fields located in central Alberta. Bonterra Energy Corp.
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Bonterra Energy Corp., a conventional oil and gas company, engages in the development and production of oil and natural gas in Canada. Its principal asset is the Pembina Cardium, a conventional oil field at the Pembina and Willesden green fields located in central Alberta. Bonterra Energy Corp. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Stock analysis
Bonterra Energy Corp (BNEFF) currently trades at $4.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.36, 20.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $8.54 per share, and 3 of the 7 models we run sit above the $4.21 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $0.7400, and 4 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Bonterra Energy Corp reported revenue of C$216M in FY2025 versus C$252M in FY2021, a compound −3.7%/yr. Reported net income was −C$17.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $154M · P/S ratio 0.75 · EPS (TTM) $−0.4800 · Net margin −7.9% · Return on equity −4.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.7% · Operating margin −24.7% · Revenue (TTM) C$215M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −20%, BNEFF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $3.36Fair Value $3.36Bull $3.36
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−22.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.9% a year
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−11.9% (2020) → −1.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+39.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CAD, Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +36.9% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 290 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Below median
Fair Value upside+55.9% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1.0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−11.2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−24.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.34× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bonterra Energy Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BNEFF
Frequently asked questions
Is Bonterra Energy Corp (BNEFF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.36 versus a price of $4.21, about −20% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BNEFF?
Our model-based fair value for Bonterra Energy Corp is $3.36 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.21.
What is the quality score of BNEFF?
Bonterra Energy Corp has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bonterra Energy Corp (BNEFF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.36 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 9 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bonterra Energy Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.36, about −20% upside versus a price of $4.21 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bonterra Energy Corp (BNEFF)?
Bonterra Energy Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$215M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Bonterra Energy Corp (BNEFF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Bonterra Energy Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +39.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BNEFF use?
Our models discount Bonterra Energy Corp at 12.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.06, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Bonterra Energy Corp that is +39.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Bonterra Energy Corp (BNEFF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Bonterra Energy Corp grew +12.2 % a year. The price currently implies +39.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Bonterra Energy Corp (BNEFF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Bonterra Energy Corp (+39.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Bonterra Energy Corp (BNEFF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.13 %: that much free cash flow Bonterra Energy Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Bonterra Energy Corp (BNEFF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bonterra Energy Corp it is $3.36 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $4.21. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bonterra Energy Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BNEFF trades above its calculated fair value: price $4.21, fair value $3.36, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BNEFF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.21); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.36). For Bonterra Energy Corp the two are $0.8500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bonterra Energy Corp worth?
The market values Bonterra Energy Corp at about $154M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $4.21; our models calculate a fair value of $3.36 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bonterra Energy Corp (BNEFF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bonterra Energy Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −4.6%, debt of 0.34 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BNEFF from its 52-week high?
Bonterra Energy Corp trades at $4.21, about 22% below its 52-week high of $5.38 and 76% above the low of $2.39 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.36 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bonterra Energy Corp?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bonterra Energy Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $4.21, calculated fair value $3.36 (−20%), Quality Score 39/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BNEFF calculated?
We run Bonterra Energy Corp through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.36, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Bonterra Energy Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bonterra Energy Corp (BNEFF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $4.21. Our model-based fair value is $3.36, about −20% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bonterra Energy Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.36). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of Bonterra Energy Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Bonterra Energy Corp (BNEFF)?
The market capitalisation of Bonterra Energy Corp is $154M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bonterra Energy Corp (BNEFF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bonterra Energy Corp is 0.75 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bonterra Energy Corp (BNEFF)?
Earnings per share at Bonterra Energy Corp are $−0.4800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bonterra Energy Corp (BNEFF)?
The net margin of Bonterra Energy Corp is −7.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bonterra Energy Corp (BNEFF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bonterra Energy Corp is −4.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bonterra Energy Corp (BNEFF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bonterra Energy Corp is 6.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bonterra Energy Corp (BNEFF)?
The operating margin of Bonterra Energy Corp is −24.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bonterra Energy Corp (BNEFF)?
Revenue at Bonterra Energy Corp is growing −2.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −17.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bonterra Energy Corp (BNEFF)?
Earnings per share at Bonterra Energy Corp are growing −69.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Bonterra Energy Corp (BNEFF) carry?
The net debt of Bonterra Energy Corp is C$176M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 25.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 24, 2026