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PT Bank CIMB Niaga Tbk, (BNGA) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · ID · Market cap 40.0T IDR

PB PT Bank CIMB Niaga Tbk, BNGA · JK
Price1,650 IDR
Fair Value3,160 IDR
Upside+91.5%
Quality58/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 38.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (12/14)
Wide moat 66/100
Evidence: High Range 2,370 IDR – 3,950 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 10, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 31 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 10, 2026, revised from 3,170 IDR to 3,160 IDR (−0.3%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +4.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 92% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (2,370 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1,735 IDR 576.13 IDR Fair Value 3,160 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 576.13 IDR – 1,735 IDR · fair‑value band 2,370 IDR – 3,950 IDR · the 1,650 IDR price screens below the 3,160 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 10, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

PT Bank CIMB Niaga Tbk, (BNGA) currently trades at 1,650 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3,160 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 91.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Bank CIMB Niaga Tbk, generated revenue of 18.0T IDR at a net margin of 38.0%. Revenue grew 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.0%. Net debt stands at 581B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 10, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2,370 IDR (bear case) to 3,950 IDR (bull case); at 1,650 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 92%, BNGA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 2,250 IDR 2,658 IDR 5,003 IDR 76
Gordon GGM 1,571 IDR 3,430 IDR 5,770 IDR 70
P/E Multiple 2,769 IDR 3,692 IDR 4,615 IDR 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1,571 IDR 3,430 IDR 5,770 IDR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 1,571 IDR 2,809 IDR 3,574 IDR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 2,769 IDR 3,692 IDR 4,615 IDR 63
P/B Multiple 2,513 IDR 3,350 IDR 4,188 IDR 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1,196 IDR 1,603 IDR 2,393 IDR 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 2,250 IDR 2,658 IDR 5,003 IDR 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (3,350 IDR) versus Asset-Based (1,603 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 18.0T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.8%
Net margin 38.0%
Return on equity 12.0%
Free cash flow 6.5T IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 5.4
More key figures
Operating margin 48.9%
EPS (TTM) 271.87 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) -2.2%
Net debt 581B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 97
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Bank CIMB Niaga Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Indonesia and internationally.

Full company description

PT Bank CIMB Niaga Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Indonesia and internationally. The company offers saving, current, and time and term deposit products; Sharia and payroll savings products; credit and debit cards; mortgages and loans; distributes and supplies financing services; treasury products, such as foreign exchange, strike currency, bond and market-linked deposits, swap deposit, hedging instruments, and investment products; and mutual funds and endowment services. It also provides individual loans, such as mortgages, OCTO loan, joint financing, consumer loan products with cash and securities as collateral, and other loans; Sharia individual financing and indirect auto financing products; working capital, investment, and syndicated loans; Sharia hedging; bank notes and a range of bonds; and account receivable, account payable, pre-shipment, and supply chain financing. In addition, the company offers bank draft, special fund transfer, preferred collection, cash mobile and pick up, cash sweeping, and safe deposit box services; trustee and agency services, custodian services, factoring, and letter of credit; and electronic access facilities, including operation of automatic teller machine, and digital and mobile banking services. Further, it provides state treasury notes and government guarantee instruments; bancassurance products, such as Sharia based insurance products, life and health insurance, mortgage credit life insurance, personal loan credit life insurance, travel insurance, and credit protector insurance; and cash management, remittance, trade finance, and value chain services. The company was formerly known as PT Bank Niaga Tbk and changed its name to PT Bank CIMB Niaga Tbk in May 2008. The company was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Bank CIMB Niaga Tbk is a subsidiary of CIMB Group Sdn. Bhd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Bank CIMB Niaga Tbk, reported revenue of 30.7T IDR in FY2025 versus 23.5T IDR in FY2021, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was 6.9T IDR in FY2025, compounding +13.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 73/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
30.7T IDR
Latest YoY
+62.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+10.8%
Revenue +6.9%/yr
FY21 23.5T IDR
FY22 24.5T IDR
FY23 27.7T IDR
FY24 18.9T IDR
FY25 30.7T IDR
Net income +13.8%/yr
FY21 4.1T IDR
FY22 5.0T IDR
FY23 6.5T IDR
FY24 6.8T IDR
FY25 6.9T IDR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Bank CIMB Niaga Tbk, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BNGA

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +92% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 49% · Above median
Revenue growth 5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.69× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.22× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 1.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 39
FUTURE 24 · sector 44
PAST 48 · sector 41
HEALTH 97 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 10, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Bank CIMB Niaga Tbk, (BNGA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3,160 IDR versus a price of 1,650 IDR, about +92% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BNGA?
Our model-based fair value for PT Bank CIMB Niaga Tbk, is 3,160 IDR (as of Jul 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1,650 IDR.
What is the quality score of BNGA?
PT Bank CIMB Niaga Tbk, has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Bank CIMB Niaga Tbk, (BNGA)?
PT Bank CIMB Niaga Tbk, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 18.0T IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 10, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BNGA?
The net profit margin of PT Bank CIMB Niaga Tbk, is about 38.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 38.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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