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BOK Financial Corporation (BOKF) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $8.4B

BF BOK Financial Corporation logo BOK Financial Corporation BOKF · US
Price$143.80
Fair Value$123.66
Upside-14.0%
Quality59/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 27.6% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.78% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/15)
Wide moat 67/100
Evidence: High Range $92.75 – $154.58 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price +6.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 14% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$144.69 $60.03 Fair Value $123.66 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $60.03 – $144.69 · fair‑value band $92.75 – $154.58 · the $143.80 price screens above the $123.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

BOK Financial Corporation (BOKF) currently trades at $143.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $123.66, implying the stock looks roughly 14.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, BOK Financial Corporation generated revenue of $2.2B at a net margin of 27.6%. Revenue grew 10.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.5%. Net debt stands at $3.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $92.75 (bear case) to $154.58 (bull case); at $143.80, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -14%, BOKF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $83.69 $92.16 $131.73 76
Gordon GGM $21.32 $42.48 $64.33 70
P/E Multiple $92.75 $123.66 $154.58 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $21.32 $42.48 $64.33 70
DDM Multi-Stage $21.32 $35.79 $44.84 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $92.75 $123.66 $154.58 63
P/B Multiple $102.28 $136.37 $170.47 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $48.71 $65.26 $97.41 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $83.69 $92.16 $131.73 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($123.66) versus Dividend Discount ($35.79). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.3%
Net margin 27.6%
Return on equity 10.5%
Free cash flow $575M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.0
More key figures
Operating margin 37.5%
EPS (TTM) $9.89
Dividend yield 1.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +38.2%
Net debt $3.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 11
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 93
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

BOK Financial Corporation operates as the financial holding company for BOKF, NA that provides various financial products and services in Oklahoma, Texas, New Mexico, Northwest Arkansas, Colorado, Arizona, and Kansas/Missouri. It operates through three segments: Commercial Banking, Consumer Banking, and Wealth Management.

Full company description

BOK Financial Corporation operates as the financial holding company for BOKF, NA that provides various financial products and services in Oklahoma, Texas, New Mexico, Northwest Arkansas, Colorado, Arizona, and Kansas/Missouri. It operates through three segments: Commercial Banking, Consumer Banking, and Wealth Management. The Commercial Banking segment offers lending, treasury, cash management, and customer commodity risk management products for small businesses, middle market, and larger commercial customers, as well as operates TransFund electronic funds transfer network. The Consumer Banking segment engages in the provision of retail lending and deposit services to small business customers through retail branch network; and mortgage loan origination and servicing activities. The Wealth Management segment offers fiduciary, private bank, insurance, and investment advisory services; and brokerage and trading services primarily related to providing liquidity to the mortgage markets through trading of U.S. government agency mortgage-backed securities and related derivative contracts, as well as underwrites state and municipal securities. The company also provides commercial loans, such as loans for working capital, facilities acquisition or expansion, purchases of equipment, and other needs of commercial customers; and service, healthcare, energy, and other sector loans. In addition, it offers commercial real estate loans for the construction of buildings or other improvements to real estate and property held by borrowers for investment purposes; residential mortgage and personal loans; and personal and small business checking, online bill paying, mobile banking, automated teller machine, and call centers services. The company was founded in 1910 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

BOK Financial Corporation reported revenue of $3.3B in FY2025 versus $1.8B in FY2021, a compound +16.1%/yr. Reported net income was $578M in FY2025, compounding −1.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.3B
Latest YoY
−1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+18.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.2%
Avg. growth/yr (34Y)
+10.4%
Revenue +16.1%/yr
FY21 $1.8B
FY22 $2.0B
FY23 $3.0B
FY24 $3.4B
FY25 $3.3B
Net income −1.7%/yr
FY21 $618M
FY22 $520M
FY23 $531M
FY24 $524M
FY25 $578M

BOKF screens 14% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BOK Financial Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BOKF

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −14% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 28% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 38% · Below median
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.53× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.42× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.79× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 14.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.46× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 15 · sector 39
FUTURE 52 · sector 44
PAST 42 · sector 41
HEALTH 74 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 36 · sector 49

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is BOK Financial Corporation (BOKF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $123.66 versus a price of $143.80, about −14% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BOKF?
Our model-based fair value for BOK Financial Corporation is $123.66 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $143.80.
What is the quality score of BOKF?
BOK Financial Corporation has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of BOK Financial Corporation (BOKF)?
BOK Financial Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BOKF?
The net profit margin of BOK Financial Corporation is about 27.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 27.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does BOK Financial Corporation pay a dividend?
BOK Financial Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.96% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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