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State Bank of India (SBIN) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · IN · Market cap ₹9.5T

SB State Bank of India SBIN · NSE
Price₹1,085
Fair Value₹1,173
Upside+8.1%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 22.1% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.71% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Wide moat 67/100
Evidence: High Range ₹879.86 – ₹1,466 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +4.5% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹1,207 ₹298.58 Fair Value ₹1,173 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹298.58 – ₹1,207 · fair‑value band ₹879.86 – ₹1,466 · the ₹1,085 price screens below the ₹1,173 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

State Bank of India (SBIN) currently trades at ₹1,085, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,173, implying the stock looks roughly 8.1% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, State Bank of India generated revenue of ₹3.8T at a net margin of 22.1%. Revenue grew 7.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.5%. Net debt stands at ₹3.8T. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹879.86 (bear case) to ₹1,466 (bull case); at ₹1,085, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 8%, SBIN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹2,242 ₹4,008 ₹7,165 80
Residual Income ₹639.14 ₹845.82 ₹2,510 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹1,453 ₹2,372 ₹3,550 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹2,245 ₹4,117 ₹7,483 38
Owner Earnings ₹1,149 ₹2,112 ₹3,844 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹1,453 ₹2,377 ₹3,598 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹1,486 ₹2,444 ₹3,612 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹1,548 ₹2,571 ₹3,715 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹1,655 ₹2,627 ₹4,052 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹1,716 ₹2,676 ₹4,063 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹1,759 ₹2,771 ₹4,151 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹613.64 ₹2,748 ₹3,765 54
Lynch FV ₹715.08 ₹1,022 ₹1,328 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹715.08 ₹1,022 ₹1,328 46
EPV ₹909.78 ₹1,073 ₹1,217 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹148.30 ₹323.76 ₹544.75 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹148.30 ₹265.22 ₹337.41 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹1,354 ₹1,805 ₹2,256 63
P/S Multiple ₹1,151 ₹1,534 ₹1,918 58
P/B Multiple ₹1,151 ₹1,534 ₹1,918 55
EV/EBIT ₹1,655 ₹2,211 ₹2,767 53
EV/EBITDA ₹1,243 ₹1,661 ₹2,080 54
EV/Revenue ₹1,111 ₹1,593 ₹2,075 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹322.91 ₹432.70 ₹645.82 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹2,242 ₹4,008 ₹7,165 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹1,453 ₹2,372 ₹3,550 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹639.14 ₹845.82 ₹2,510 76
ROIC Compounder ₹1,016 ₹1,419 ₹1,987 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹1,135 ₹1,621 ₹2,107 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹2,571) versus Dividend Discount (₹265.22). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹3.8T
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.1%
Net margin 22.1%
Return on equity 15.5%
Free cash flow ₹1.6T FY2026
P/E ratio 11.5
More key figures
Operating margin 29.0%
EPS (TTM) ₹89.25
Dividend yield 1.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -3.1%
Net debt ₹3.8T FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 92
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 66
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

State Bank of India provides banking products and services in India and internationally. The company operates through the Treasury, Corporate/Wholesale Banking, Retail Banking, and Other Banking Business segments.

Full company description

State Bank of India provides banking products and services in India and internationally. The company operates through the Treasury, Corporate/Wholesale Banking, Retail Banking, and Other Banking Business segments. It offers personal banking products and services, including current, savings, salary, and deposit accounts; home, personal, pension, auto, education, and gold loans, as well as loans against insurance property, and securities; debit, business debit, prepaid, and green remit cards; overdrafts; mutual funds, insurance, equity trading, portfolio investment schemes, remittance services; digital lending; and mobile, internet, and digital banking services. The company also provides corporate banking products and services comprising corporate accounts, working capital and project finance, deferred payment guarantees, corporate term loans, structured finance, dealer and channel financing, equipment leasing, loan syndication, construction equipment loans, financing Indian firms' overseas subsidiaries or JVs, and cash management, as well as trade and service products. In addition, it offers NRI services, including accounts, investments, loans, and remittances; agricultural banking services; and international banking services. Further, it provides life and general insurance; estate planning services; merchant banking and advisory; securities broking; trusteeship service; factoring; payment solution; asset management; portfolio and investment management; credit cards; and custody and fund accounting services. State Bank of India was founded in 1806 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

State Bank of India reported revenue of ₹7.0T in FY2026 versus ₹3.9T in FY2022, a compound +15.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹833B in FY2026, compounding +23.9%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 99/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹7.0T
Latest YoY
+7.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+14.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+13.5%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+12.9%
Revenue +15.4%/yr
FY22 ₹3.9T
FY23 ₹4.6T
FY24 ₹5.8T
FY25 ₹6.5T
FY26 ₹7.0T
Net income +23.9%/yr
FY22 ₹354B
FY23 ₹556B
FY24 ₹671B
FY25 ₹776B
FY26 ₹833B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "State Bank of India Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SBIN

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1082 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside +8% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 22% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 29% · Below median
Revenue growth 7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.69× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.59× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.52× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.1× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.53× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 44 · sector 39
FUTURE 36 · sector 44
PAST 62 · sector 41
HEALTH 65 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 34 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is State Bank of India (SBIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,173 versus a price of ₹1,085, about +8% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SBIN?
Our model-based fair value for State Bank of India is ₹1,173 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹1,085.
What is the quality score of SBIN?
State Bank of India has a Quality Score of 60/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of State Bank of India (SBIN)?
State Bank of India reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹3.8T (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SBIN?
The net profit margin of State Bank of India is about 22.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does State Bank of India pay a dividend?
State Bank of India currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.77% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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