Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (BOLT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT IDR 1,173, price IDR 795, upside +47.5%, quality 73 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 516.81 IDR – 1,313 IDR · fair‑value band 813.50 IDR – 1,524 IDR · the 795.00 IDR price screens below the 1,173 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Garuda Metalindo Tbk manufactures and sells precision fasteners and engineered components primarily for the automotive industry in Indonesia, rest of Asia, Europe, and the Americas.
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PT Garuda Metalindo Tbk manufactures and sells precision fasteners and engineered components primarily for the automotive industry in Indonesia, rest of Asia, Europe, and the Americas. The company offers bolts, nuts, screws, and rivets; and special components, and pins and collars for use in engine, suspension, brake, interior, power train, and other applications. It also serves motorcycles, automobile, automotive components, electrical equipment, steel rolling, plating service, iron and steel and home appliance industries. The company was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Jakarta Utara, Indonesia. PT Garuda Metalindo Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Garuda Multi Investama.
Stock analysis
Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (BOLT) currently trades at 795.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,173 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 32.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 1,236 IDR per share, and 18 of the 24 models we run sit above the 795.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 255.38 IDR, and 6 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 813.50 IDR (bear) to 1,524 IDR (bull), the price of 795.00 IDR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT reported revenue of 1.7T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.2T IDR in FY2021, a compound +9.0%/yr. Reported net income was 142B IDR in FY2025, compounding +20.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.9T IDR (≈ $104M) · P/E ratio 12.4 · P/S ratio 1.06 · EPS (TTM) 64.31 IDR · Net margin 8.5% · Return on equity 14.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.5% · Operating margin 11.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at 48%, BOLT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 813.50 IDRFair Value 1,173 IDRBull 1,524 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (47.22 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.9% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+24.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+24.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.19% vs 2%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−2% → 12%
2025 sits 51% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.4% a year for the price.
Compare Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Tools & Accessories · 124 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+48% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)15% · Top 25%
Return on assets9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)11% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
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Is Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (BOLT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,173 IDR versus a price of 795.00 IDR, about +48% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BOLT?
Our model-based fair value for Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT is 1,173 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 795.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of BOLT?
Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (BOLT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,173 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 813.50 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,524 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,173 IDR, about +48% upside versus a price of 795.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 813.50 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,524 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (BOLT)?
Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (BOLT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT would have to grow free cash flow by +4.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +16.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BOLT use?
Our models discount Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT at 13.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.03, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT that is +4.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (BOLT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT grew +16.1 % a year. The price currently implies +4.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (BOLT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (+4.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (BOLT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.41 %: that much free cash flow Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (BOLT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT it is 1,173 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 795.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BOLT trades below its calculated fair value: price 795.00 IDR, fair value 1,173 IDR, a gap of about +48% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BOLT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (795.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,173 IDR). For Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT the two are 377.67 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT worth?
The market values Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT at about 1.9T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 795.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 1,173 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BOLT?
Our models span a range for Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT: cautious scenario 813.50 IDR, base 1,173 IDR, optimistic 1,524 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 795.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BOLT?
Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,173 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 6.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (BOLT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 14.9%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 73/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BOLT from its 52-week high?
Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT trades at 795.00 IDR, about 27% below its 52-week high of 1,092 IDR and 5% above the low of 755.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,173 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Techtronic Industries Company, Snap-on Incorporated, RBC Bearings Incorporated, Lincoln Electric Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 795.00 IDR, calculated fair value 1,173 IDR (+48%), Quality Score 73/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BOLT calculated?
We run Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,173 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT currently trades 48 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (BOLT)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 795.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 1,173 IDR, about +48% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (73/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (813.50 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (813.50 IDR to 1,524 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (BOLT) come from?
Earnings per share at Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT grew −0.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.9 %, EBIT margin −5.2 %, tax rate +0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT
How large is the market capitalisation of Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (BOLT)?
The market capitalisation of Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT is 1.9T IDR (≈ $104M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (BOLT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT is 1.06 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (BOLT)?
Earnings per share at Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT are 64.31 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (BOLT)?
The net margin of Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT is 8.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (BOLT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT is 14.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (BOLT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT is 9.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (BOLT)?
The operating margin of Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT is 11.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (BOLT)?
Revenue at Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT is growing +14.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (BOLT)?
Earnings per share at Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT are growing +31.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT (BOLT) carry?
The net debt of Garuda Metalindo Tbk PT is 257B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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