Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited (BOT) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · AU · Market cap A$65.3M
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Share price −4.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 26% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0175). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0190 – A$0.5200 · the A$0.0230 price screens above the A$0.0170 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited (BOT) currently trades at A$0.0230, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0170, implying the stock looks roughly 26.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$21.9M. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$32.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -26%, BOT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (A$0.0200) versus Dividend Discount (A$0.0100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited operates as a commercial dermatology company in Australia and the United States. The company's lead product is Sofdra (sofpironium) topical gel, a prescription anticholinergic medicine used on the skin to treat underarm sweating in adults and children 9 years of age and older.
Full company description
Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited operates as a commercial dermatology company in Australia and the United States. The company's lead product is Sofdra (sofpironium) topical gel, a prescription anticholinergic medicine used on the skin to treat underarm sweating in adults and children 9 years of age and older. Its product pipeline includes BTX 1503, a transdermal gel formulation for the treatment of serious acne in adults and teenagers; BTX 1801 for treating staphylococcus aureus and methicillin resistant staphylococcus aureus; BTX 1702 for the treatment of papulopustular rosacea; and BTX 1204A for treating atopic dermatitis. The company was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited reported revenue of A$5.8M in FY2025 versus A$6.9M in FY2021, a compound −4.2%/yr. Reported net income was −A$86.4M in FY2025.
BOT screens 26% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →
Peer Group
Biotechnology · 601 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | $486.03 | $278.78 | -43% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN | $664.45 | $594.40 | -11% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,368,000 KRW | 1,091,384 KRW | -20% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 175,800 KRW | 76,325 KRW | -57% |
| WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 | HK$39.54 | HK$30.42 | -23% |
| Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 | HK$86.70 | HK$19.66 | -77% |
| Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 | HK$5.26 | HK$3.36 | -36% |
| ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 | 276,500 KRW | 44,444 KRW | -84% |
| RemeGen Co 688331 | ¥134.02 | ¥26.99 | -80% |
| Biocon Limited BIOCON | ₹440.70 | ₹57.36 | -87% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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