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Baran Group (BRANF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Baran Group $0.74, price $0.72, upside +3.4%, quality 32 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Baran Group
BRANF · USLow PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.
·Fair value $0.7446 · Fairly valued (+3.4%)
!Quality 32/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +19.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.9% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0001 – $7.84 · fair‑value band $0.5215 – $0.9690 · the $0.7200 price screens below the $0.7446 fair value. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Baran Group Ltd, an engineering company, provides engineering solutions for projects in Israel, Europe, Africa, and Asia.
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Baran Group Ltd, an engineering company, provides engineering solutions for projects in Israel, Europe, Africa, and Asia. The company offers feasibility studies, multidisciplinary planning, procurement services, project management and supervision, regulation and permits, engineering and detailed design, EHS, commissioning process, legal, quality control and assurance, schedule and budget control, operation and maintenance, EPCM, Turnkey/DB, BOT/PPP, and project financing support services. It also provides project execution and projects funding services. The company serves industries, such as national infrastructures, structures, industry, production, water and agriculture, gas and energy, and technology and innovation. Baran Group Ltd was founded in 1979 and is based in Omer, Israel.
Stock analysis
Baran Group (BRANF) currently trades at $0.7200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7446, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 3.3%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $6.56 per share, and 15 of the 15 models we run sit above the $0.7200 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $1.97, and 0 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.5215 (bear) to $0.9690 (bull), the price of $0.7200 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Baran Group reported revenue of 727M ILS in FY2025 versus 288M ILS in FY2021, a compound +26.0%/yr. Reported net income was 25.9M ILS in FY2025, compounding +14.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $19.6M · P/E ratio 2.2 · P/S ratio 0.08 · EPS (TTM) $0.3300 · Net margin 3.6% · Return on equity 7.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.1% · Revenue (TTM) 740M ILS.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 91% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 3%, BRANF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.5215
Fair Value $0.7446
Bull $0.9690
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2495 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings
$3.59
$5.41
$8.06
76
Residual Income
$2.83
$3.08
$3.71
76
EPV
$4.16
$4.81
$5.37
74
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
$3.59
$5.41
$8.06
76
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$2.12
$6.45
$8.56
65
Lynch FV
$1.38
$1.97
$2.57
61
PEG = 1.0
$1.38
$1.97
$2.57
57
EPV
$4.16
$4.81
$5.37
74
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$4.92
$6.56
$8.20
63
P/S Multiple
$3.98
$5.31
$6.64
58
P/B Multiple
$3.98
$5.31
$6.64
55
EV/EBIT
$6.46
$8.59
$10.73
66
EV/EBITDA
$7.94
$10.58
$13.21
67
EV/Revenue
$4.62
$6.58
$8.54
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$1.65
$2.21
$3.30
54
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$2.83
$3.08
$3.71
76
ROIC Compounder
$4.34
$5.42
$6.70
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$4.03
$5.76
$7.49
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
32/100
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Profitability
34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
72
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.4% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+16.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+16.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 6%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 6.6%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 789 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quanta Services, Inc PWR | $642.51 | $162.77 | −75% |
| Vinci SA DG | €105.60 | €186.22 | +76% |
| Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX | $1,658 | $1,116 | −33% |
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,876 | ₹1,994 | −49% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 367,000 KRW | 159,718 KRW | −56% |
| Ferrovial N.V FER | $55.77 | $21.74 | −61% |
| HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT | €407.40 | €203.86 | −50% |
| EMCOR Group EME | $769.03 | $525.05 | −32% |
| ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS | €95.00 | €62.20 | −35% |
| Bouygues SA EN | €43.14 | €66.31 | +54% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Baran Group (BRANF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.7446 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.7200, about +3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BRANF?
Our model-based fair value for Baran Group is $0.7446 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.7200.
What is the quality score of BRANF?
Baran Group has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Baran Group (BRANF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.7446 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.5215, optimistic scenario $0.9690. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Baran Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.7446, about +3% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.7200 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.5215, optimistic scenario $0.9690. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Baran Group (BRANF)?
Baran Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 740M ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Baran Group (BRANF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Baran Group it is $0.7446 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.7200. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Baran Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BRANF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.7200, fair value $0.7446, a gap of about +3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BRANF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.7200); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.7446). For Baran Group the two are $0.0246 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Baran Group worth?
The market values Baran Group at about $19.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.7200; our models calculate a fair value of $0.7446 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BRANF?
Our models span a range for Baran Group: cautious scenario $0.5215, base $0.7446, optimistic $0.9690 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.7200). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BRANF?
Baran Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 2.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.7446 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1, P/S 0.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Baran Group (BRANF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Baran Group (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.5%, debt of 0.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BRANF from its 52-week high?
Baran Group trades at $0.7200, about 91% below its 52-week high of $7.84 and at the low of $0.7200 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.7446 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Baran Group?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Baran Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.7200, calculated fair value $0.7446 (+3%), Quality Score 32/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BRANF calculated?
We run Baran Group through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.7446, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Baran Group currently trades 3 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Baran Group (BRANF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.7200. Our model-based fair value is $0.7446, about +3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Baran Group right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($0.5215 to $0.9690) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Baran Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Baran Group (BRANF)?
The market capitalisation of Baran Group is $19.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Baran Group (BRANF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Baran Group is 0.08 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Baran Group (BRANF)?
Earnings per share at Baran Group are $0.3300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 2.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Baran Group (BRANF)?
The net margin of Baran Group is 3.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Baran Group (BRANF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Baran Group is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Baran Group (BRANF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Baran Group is 5.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Baran Group (BRANF)?
Revenue at Baran Group is growing +22.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Baran Group (BRANF)?
Earnings per share at Baran Group are growing −43.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Baran Group (BRANF) generate?
The free cash flow of Baran Group is −82.2M ILS (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Baran Group (BRANF) carry?
The net debt of Baran Group is 151M ILS (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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