Breville Group (BRG) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$4.5B

A solid business, but screening 53% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$25.66). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• The model range is unusually wide (A$9.03 to A$25.66). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$16.17 – A$37.65 · fair‑value band A$9.03 – A$25.66 · the A$34.43 price screens above the A$16.10 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Breville Group (BRG) currently trades at A$34.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$16.10, implying the stock looks roughly 53.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Breville Group generated revenue of A$1.8B at a net margin of 7.6%. Revenue grew 10.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.5%. Net debt stands at A$12.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$9.03 (bear case) to A$25.66 (bull case); at A$34.43, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -53%, BRG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$16.23) versus Asset-Based (A$4.50). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Breville Group Limited designs, develops, markets, and distributes small electrical kitchen appliances in the consumer products industry in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.

Full company description

Breville Group Limited designs, develops, markets, and distributes small electrical kitchen appliances in the consumer products industry in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers kitchen appliances, including slow cookers, kettles, and fry pans; living room, laundry, and bedroom products, such as irons, vacuums, heaters, electric blankets and fans; and other kitchen products. It operates beanz.com, an online coffee marketplace; and Breville+, a digital culinary platform. The company sells its products under the Breville, Sage, LELIT, Baratza, ChefSteps, and Kambrook brand names. Breville Group Limited was formerly known as Housewares International Limited and changed its name to Breville Group Limited in November 2008. The company was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Alexandria, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Breville Group reported revenue of A$1.7B in FY2025 versus A$1.2B in FY2021, a compound +9.3%/yr. Reported net income was A$136M in FY2025, compounding +10.5%/yr from FY2021.

BRG screens 53% overvalued. Compare with Midea Group →

Peer Group

Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 311 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.