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Bourse Direct SA (BSD) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · FR · Market cap €260M

BD Bourse Direct SA BSD · PA
Price€5.84
Fair Value€2.41
Upside-58.7%
Quality67/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 26.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.72% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Wide moat 76/100
Evidence: High Range €1.81 – €3.01 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +12.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 59% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€3.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€5.84 €2.09 Fair Value €2.41 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €2.09 – €5.84 · fair‑value band €1.81 – €3.01 · the €5.84 price screens above the €2.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Bourse Direct SA (BSD) currently trades at €5.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.41, implying the stock looks roughly 58.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Bourse Direct SA generated revenue of €76.0M at a net margin of 26.0%. Revenue grew 3.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €164M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €1.81 (bear case) to €3.01 (bull case); at €5.84, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -59%, BSD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €6.66 €7.59 €8.71 80
Residual Income €1.94 €2.52 €6.78 76
Rev-Margin DCF €6.30 €7.48 €8.86 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings €7.21 €8.55 €10.25 31
5Y P/E Exit €7.05 €8.86 €10.79 38
10Y P/E Exit €6.84 €8.22 €9.94 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €2.60 €8.72 €11.68 54
Lynch FV €1.99 €2.84 €3.69 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €1.11 €1.87 €2.42 70
DDM Multi-Stage €1.11 €1.73 €2.01 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €3.72 €4.96 €6.20 63
P/B Multiple €1.81 €2.41 €3.01 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.8600 €1.15 €1.72 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €6.66 €7.59 €8.71 80
Rev-Margin DCF €6.30 €7.48 €8.86 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €1.94 €2.52 €6.78 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€8.55) versus Asset-Based (€1.15). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €76.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.2%
Net margin 26.0%
Return on equity 23.4%
Free cash flow €16.0M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.3
More key figures
Operating margin 35.3%
EPS (TTM) €0.3800
Dividend yield 4.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +17.8%
Net cash €164M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 90
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Bourse Direct SA provides Internet stock brokerage services in France. It offers a platform of services, tools, and financial products, including French and foreign equities, derivatives, trackers, warrants, certificates, turbos, mutual funds, UCITS, and CFDs, as well as tax exemption, retirement, real estate, and life insurance products through the …

Full company description

Bourse Direct SA provides Internet stock brokerage services in France. It offers a platform of services, tools, and financial products, including French and foreign equities, derivatives, trackers, warrants, certificates, turbos, mutual funds, UCITS, and CFDs, as well as tax exemption, retirement, real estate, and life insurance products through the boursedirect.fr, capitol.fr, tradebox.fr, abssysteme.fr, wargny.com, and mesactions.com sites. It also provides back-office and advisory service for institutional clients. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Paris, France. Bourse Direct SA is a subsidiary of E-VIEL SA. Bourse Direct et Bourse Discount SA provides French and foreign equities, derivatives, trackers, warrants, certificates, turbos, UCITS, CFDs, tax exemption products, real estate products, and direct horizon stock exchange life insurance contracts. The company was was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Paris, France. Bourse Direct SA operates as a subsidiary of E-VIEL SA

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bourse Direct SA reported revenue of €77.2M in FY2025 versus €46.5M in FY2021, a compound +13.5%/yr. Reported net income was €19.7M in FY2025, compounding +28.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 94/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€77.2M
Latest YoY
+1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.5%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.4%
Revenue +13.5%/yr
FY21 €46.5M
FY22 €48.5M
FY23 €66.4M
FY24 €76.4M
FY25 €77.2M
Net income +28.8%/yr
FY21 €7.2M
FY22 €5.7M
FY23 €15.9M
FY24 €19.1M
FY25 €19.7M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +24.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.2 pp

of which total revenue +8.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +1.1 pp

EBIT margin +14.5 pp
Tax rate −0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

BSD screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Huatai Securities Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bourse Direct SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BSD

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 424 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −59% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 26% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 35% · Above median
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.16× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.39× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.95× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 18.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 2.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 16 · sector 94
PAST 94 · sector 31
HEALTH 92 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 94 · sector 36

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Huatai Securities Co HTSC $0.2700 $0.0400 -85%
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 38,750 KRW 31,645 KRW -18%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 117,000 KRW 87,706 KRW -25%
Korea Investment Holdings 071050 239,000 KRW 318,825 KRW +33%
NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 31,000 KRW 37,133 KRW +20%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 107,700 KRW 126,487 KRW +17%
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS ₹967.00 ₹299.65 -69%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 322,000 KRW 358,091 KRW +11%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 24,250 VND 28,021 VND +16%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 120.22 ARS -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bourse Direct SA (BSD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.41 versus a price of €5.84, about −59% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BSD?
Our model-based fair value for Bourse Direct SA is €2.41 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €5.84.
What is the quality score of BSD?
Bourse Direct SA has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bourse Direct SA (BSD)?
Bourse Direct SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €76.0M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BSD?
The net profit margin of Bourse Direct SA is about 26.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 26.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Bourse Direct SA pay a dividend?
Bourse Direct SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.48% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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