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Basilea Pharmaceutica AG (BSLN) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CH · Market cap CHF 668M

BP Basilea Pharmaceutica AG BSLN · SW
PriceCHF 51.80
Fair ValueCHF 56.81
Upside+9.7%
Quality72/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 17.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Wide moat 78/100
Evidence: High Range CHF 41.41 – CHF 72.45 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price −4.6% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from CHF 41.41 (bear) to CHF 72.45 (bull), base CHF 56.81. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 72/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

CHF 58.60 CHF 29.95 Fair Value CHF 56.81 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range CHF 29.95 – CHF 58.60 · fair‑value band CHF 41.41 – CHF 72.45 · the CHF 51.80 price screens below the CHF 56.81 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Basilea Pharmaceutica AG (BSLN) currently trades at CHF 51.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 56.81, implying the stock looks roughly 9.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Basilea Pharmaceutica AG generated revenue of CHF 232M at a net margin of 17.3%. Revenue declined 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 38.5%. Net debt stands at CHF 71.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from CHF 41.41 (bear case) to CHF 72.45 (bull case); at CHF 51.80, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at 10%, BSLN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF CHF 57.57 CHF 102.21 CHF 172.34 80
Residual Income CHF 16.91 CHF 20.16 CHF 56.26 76
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 50.25 CHF 89.39 CHF 171.47 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF CHF 61.71 CHF 91.78 CHF 181.65 38
Owner Earnings CHF 38.82 CHF 84.42 CHF 169.03 31
5Y Revenue Exit CHF 45.37 CHF 77.67 CHF 144.96 39
5Y EBITDA Exit CHF 49.71 CHF 86.42 CHF 158.24 41
5Y P/E Exit CHF 54.31 CHF 119.87 CHF 208.16 38
10Y Revenue Exit CHF 49.70 CHF 104.24 CHF 136.30 36
10Y EBITDA Exit CHF 54.03 CHF 112.76 CHF 211.50 37
10Y P/E Exit CHF 57.10 CHF 121.79 CHF 225.64 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd CHF 22.09 CHF 154.03 CHF 216.16 54
Lynch FV CHF 79.58 CHF 113.68 CHF 147.79 50
PEG = 1.0 CHF 79.58 CHF 113.68 CHF 147.79 46
EPV CHF 26.03 CHF 30.09 CHF 33.47 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM CHF 35.97 CHF 64.82 CHF 89.23 70
DDM Multi-Stage CHF 35.97 CHF 59.21 CHF 69.24 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple CHF 53.59 CHF 71.46 CHF 89.32 63
P/S Multiple CHF 41.41 CHF 55.22 CHF 69.02 58
P/B Multiple CHF 34.89 CHF 46.52 CHF 58.15 55
EV/EBIT CHF 49.46 CHF 67.18 CHF 84.89 53
EV/EBITDA CHF 43.23 CHF 58.87 CHF 74.51 54
EV/Revenue CHF 34.24 CHF 50.50 CHF 66.76 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 5.17 CHF 6.93 CHF 10.34 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF CHF 57.57 CHF 102.21 CHF 172.34 80
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 50.25 CHF 89.39 CHF 171.47 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income CHF 16.91 CHF 20.16 CHF 56.26 76
ROIC Compounder CHF 34.75 CHF 53.53 CHF 68.16 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E CHF 105.63 CHF 150.90 CHF 196.18 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (CHF 150.90) versus Asset-Based (CHF 6.93). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) CHF 232M
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.9%
Net margin 17.3%
Return on equity 38.5%
Free cash flow CHF 59.5M FY2025
P/E ratio 16.6
More key figures
Operating margin 21.7%
EPS (TTM) CHF 3.14
EPS growth (YoY) -55.2%
Net debt CHF 71.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 83
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 90
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 34
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Basilea Pharmaceutica AG is a Swiss commercial-stage biotech company focused on developing and commercializing treatments for severe bacterial and fungal infections.

Full company description

Basilea Pharmaceutica AG is a Swiss commercial-stage biotech company focused on developing and commercializing treatments for severe bacterial and fungal infections. The company offers Cresemba (isavuconazole), an intravenous and oral antifungal for the treatment of invasive aspergillosis and mucormycosis; and Zevtera (ceftobiprole), an antibiotic for the treatment of pneumonia, Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia (SAB), acute bacterial skin, community-acquired bacterial pneumonia, and skin structure infections (ABSSSI). The company also has a clinical-stage pipeline of anti-infective assets that include fosmanogepix, a broad-spectrum antifungal in phase 3 development for invasive mold infections; ceftibuten-ledaborbactam etzadroxil, a phase 3 - ready oral antibiotic for the treatment of complicated urinary tract infections (cUTI); BAL2062, a candidate for invasive aspergillosis currently advancing toward phase 2 clinical development; and BAL2420, a preclinical-stage antibiotic targeting severe enterobacteriaceae infections. The company has a strategic collaboration with Prokaryotics, Inc for the development of broad-spectrum antifungal targeting drug-resistant pathogens through a differentiated mechanism of action; and Phare Bio, a biotech social venture to leverage generative artificial intelligence (AI) to transform antibiotic discovery. Basilea Pharmaceutica AG was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Allschwil, Switzerland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Basilea Pharmaceutica AG reported revenue of CHF 232M in FY2025 versus CHF 148M in FY2021, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 40.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 97/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
CHF 232M
Latest YoY
+11.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+16.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.7%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y)
+35.8%
Revenue +11.9%/yr
FY21 CHF 148M
FY22 CHF 148M
FY23 CHF 158M
FY24 CHF 209M
FY25 CHF 232M
Net income
FY21 −CHF 6.8M
FY22 CHF 12.1M
FY23 CHF 10.5M
FY24 CHF 77.6M
FY25 CHF 40.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Basilea Pharmaceutica AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BSLN

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 603 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +10% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 39% · Top 25%
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.59× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 6.46× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.56× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 13.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 16.1× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 46 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 100 · sector 0
HEALTH 71 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Basilea Pharmaceutica AG (BSLN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 56.81 versus a price of CHF 51.80, about +10% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BSLN?
Our model-based fair value for Basilea Pharmaceutica AG is CHF 56.81 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is CHF 51.80.
What is the quality score of BSLN?
Basilea Pharmaceutica AG has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Basilea Pharmaceutica AG (BSLN)?
Basilea Pharmaceutica AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 232M (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BSLN?
The net profit margin of Basilea Pharmaceutica AG is about 17.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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