B2Gold Corp (BTG) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $4.9B
B2Gold Corp
BTG · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price +33.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 70% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.91). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.14 – $6.16 · fair‑value band $1.15 – $1.91 · the $5.03 price screens above the $1.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
B2Gold Corp (BTG) currently trades at $5.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.53, implying the stock looks roughly 69.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, B2Gold Corp generated revenue of $3.7B at a net margin of 14.8%. Revenue grew 117.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.5%. Net debt stands at $250M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.15 (bear case) to $1.91 (bull case); at $5.03, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -70%, BTG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($7.60) versus Dividend Discount ($1.19). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
B2Gold Corp. operates as a gold producer company in Canada. The company operates the Fekola Mine in Mali; the Masbate Mine in the Philippines; the Otjikoto Mine in Namibia; the Goose Mine in Canada. It also owns 100% interest in the Gramalote gold project in Colombia.
Full company description
B2Gold Corp. operates as a gold producer company in Canada. The company operates the Fekola Mine in Mali; the Masbate Mine in the Philippines; the Otjikoto Mine in Namibia; the Goose Mine in Canada. It also owns 100% interest in the Gramalote gold project in Colombia. In addition, the company has a portfolio of other evaluation and exploration assets in Mali, Canada and Finland. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
B2Gold Corp reported revenue of $3.1B in FY2025 versus $1.8B in FY2021, a compound +14.8%/yr. Reported net income was $402M in FY2025, compounding −1.1%/yr from FY2021.
BTG screens 70% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Here’s Why B2Gold (BTG) Is One of the Most Undervalued Stocks Under $5 to Buy
- B2Gold Second Quarter 2026 Results – Conference Call Details
Peer Group
Gold · 259 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $132.73 | +19% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥28.36 | ¥30.58 | +8% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$191.93 | C$154.33 | -20% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $34.93 | $50.66 | +45% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$152.57 | C$52.47 | -66% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$284.75 | C$97.76 | -66% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $76.35 | $88.63 | +16% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $33.33 | $59.06 | +77% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $22.57 | $34.62 | +53% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$20.48 | A$15.98 | -22% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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