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Brightstar Resources Ltd (BTR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Brightstar Resources Ltd A$0.09, price A$0.57, upside -84.2%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU0000126633

BR Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Brightstar Resources Ltd

BTR · AU

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value A$0.0900 · Strongly overvalued (−84%)
!Quality 39/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +154.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -88.2% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/11)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$1.80 A$0.2500 Fair Value A$0.0900 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.2500 – A$1.80 · fair‑value band A$0.0700 – A$0.1300 · the A$0.5700 price screens above the A$0.0900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Brightstar Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and mining of gold properties in Australia. It holds 100% interest in the Laverton, Sandstone, and Menzies hubs located in Western Australia.

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Brightstar Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and mining of gold properties in Australia. It holds 100% interest in the Laverton, Sandstone, and Menzies hubs located in Western Australia. The company was formerly known as Stone Resources Australia Limited and changed its name to Brightstar Resources Limited in December 2020. Brightstar Resources Limited was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.

Stock analysis

Brightstar Resources Ltd (BTR) currently trades at A$0.5700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0900, implying the stock looks roughly 533.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0700 (bear) to A$0.1300 (bull), the price of A$0.5700 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Brightstar Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$33.5M in FY2025 versus A$96.1K in FY2021, a compound +332.2%/yr. Reported net income was −A$46.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$645M (≈ $454M) · P/S ratio 9.20 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.1000 · Net margin −137% · Return on equity −31.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −15.0% · Operating margin −87.6% · Revenue (TTM) A$70.1M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 104% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −84%, BTR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0700 Fair Value A$0.0900 Bull A$0.1300
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0700 A$0.0900 A$0.1300 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0700 A$0.0900 A$0.1300 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 27
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 77
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 61
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3,079.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+154.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +109.8% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−921.6% (2020) → −122.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

BTR screens 533% overvalued. Compare with Zijin Mining Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 238 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Below median
Fair Value upside −84% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −14% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −88% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −88% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 17% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.11× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 6.48× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.80× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)84 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 20

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥31.41 ¥43.81 +39%
Newmont Corporation NEM A$177.02 A$265.78 +50%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $203.55 $223.91 +10%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $43.88 $65.40 +49%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $267.20 $293.92 +10%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM $153.81 $89.12 −42%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $104.60 $88.63 −15%
Zijin Gold International Company 2259 HK$146.60 HK$83.20 −43%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $28.70 $51.30 +79%
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $258.29 $284.12 +10%

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A$0.0900 −533%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Brightstar Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BTR

Frequently asked questions

Is Brightstar Resources Ltd (BTR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0900 versus a price of A$0.5700, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BTR?
Our model-based fair value for Brightstar Resources Ltd is A$0.0900 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.5700.
What is the quality score of BTR?
Brightstar Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Brightstar Resources Ltd (BTR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0900 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0700, optimistic scenario A$0.1300. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Brightstar Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0900, about −84% upside versus a price of A$0.5700 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0700, optimistic scenario A$0.1300. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Brightstar Resources Ltd (BTR)?
Brightstar Resources Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$70.1M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Brightstar Resources Ltd (BTR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Brightstar Resources Ltd it is A$0.0900 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.5700. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Brightstar Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, BTR trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.5700, fair value A$0.0900, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BTR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.5700); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0900). For Brightstar Resources Ltd the two are A$0.4800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Brightstar Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Brightstar Resources Ltd at about A$645M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.5700; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BTR?
Our models span a range for Brightstar Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0700, base A$0.0900, optimistic A$0.1300 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.5700). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of BTR?
The PEG ratio of Brightstar Resources Ltd is 2.80 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Brightstar Resources Ltd (BTR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Brightstar Resources Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −31.5%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BTR from its 52-week high?
Brightstar Resources Ltd trades at A$0.5700, about 10% below its 52-week high of A$0.6300 and 104% above the low of A$0.2800 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Brightstar Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Zijin Mining Group, Newmont Corporation, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Barrick Mining Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Brightstar Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.5700, calculated fair value A$0.0900 (−84%), Quality Score 39/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BTR calculated?
We run Brightstar Resources Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Brightstar Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Brightstar Resources Ltd (BTR)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.5700. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0900, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Brightstar Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.1300). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0700 to A$0.1300) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Brightstar Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Brightstar Resources Ltd (BTR)?
The market capitalisation of Brightstar Resources Ltd is A$645M (≈ $454M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Brightstar Resources Ltd (BTR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Brightstar Resources Ltd is 9.20 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Brightstar Resources Ltd (BTR)?
Earnings per share at Brightstar Resources Ltd are A$−0.1000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Brightstar Resources Ltd (BTR)?
The net margin of Brightstar Resources Ltd is −137% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Brightstar Resources Ltd (BTR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Brightstar Resources Ltd is −31.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Brightstar Resources Ltd (BTR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Brightstar Resources Ltd is −15.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Brightstar Resources Ltd (BTR)?
The operating margin of Brightstar Resources Ltd is −87.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Brightstar Resources Ltd (BTR)?
Revenue at Brightstar Resources Ltd is growing +16.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4,313%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Brightstar Resources Ltd (BTR) generate?
The free cash flow of Brightstar Resources Ltd is −A$54.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Brightstar Resources Ltd (BTR) carry?
The net debt of Brightstar Resources Ltd is A$19.5M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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