BTS Group (BTSGY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $657M
BTS Group
BTSGY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026 — revised from $48.55 to $5.04 (−89.6%) since Jun 24, 2026.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $3.08 – $3.08 · fair‑value band $2.47 – $6.17 · the $3.08 price screens below the $5.04 fair value. As of Jul 15, 2026.
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BTS Group (BTSGY) currently trades at $3.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.04 — implying the stock looks roughly 63.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, BTS Group generated revenue of $23.4B at a net margin of -4.9%. Revenue grew 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.4%. Net debt stands at $167B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.47 (bear case) to $6.17 (bull case); at $3.08, the current price sits within that range. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside — at 64%, BTSGY screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
BTS Group Holdings Public Company Limited engages in mass transportation, marketing, and other businesses in Thailand. It operates in three segments: Move, Mix, and Match. The Move segment operates and maintains BTS Sky Train system; constructs, installs, operates, and maintains electric rails; and provides train procurement services and other related, and bus rapid transit services. Its Mix segment offers marketing solutions through offline and online media; advertising, digital, and sales services; system installation and integration services; and insurance brokerage services for offline and online distribution channels, as well as services related to rabbit card. The Match segment offers investment in various businesses, such as hotel business, rental business, management business real estate for sale business, insurance business, asset management business restaurants operations, construction service business, golf course services, system installation service business, and other …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
BTS Group reported revenue of $23.3B in FY2026 versus $26.1B in FY2022, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.2B in FY2026.
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Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | 4,617 MXN | 2,048 MXN | -56% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $46.41 | $9.49 | -80% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | C$121.27 | C$49.16 | -59% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNIC34 | R$25.89 | R$10.15 | -61% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $304.17 | $117.62 | -61% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $260.40 | $132.12 | -49% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥5.02 | ¥4.30 | -14% |
| MTR Corporation MTRJF | $4.55 | $5.35 | +18% |
| East Japan Railway Company EJPRF | $22.24 | $15.92 | -28% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.67 | ¥11.38 | +101% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.