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East Japan Railway Company (EJPRF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of East Japan Railway Company $22.26, price $21.10, upside +5.5%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? No
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Industrials · US

Some data Sep 28, 2026

East Japan Railway Company

EJPRF · US

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value $22.26 · Fairly valued (+5.5%)

!Quality 44/100

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +12.0 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 8.0% net margin (TTM)

!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow

!2.4% dividend yield · Watch coverage

!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)

!Moderate moat 45/100

!Insider activity 35/100

!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on valuation: 16 out of 100

!Weak on balance sheet: 25 out of 100

26 models, one by oneBear $15.58 to bull $28.94 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 44/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $13.34 – $28.73 · fair‑value band $15.58 – $28.94 · the $21.10 price screens below the $22.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.

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Company profile

East Japan Railway Company operates as a passenger railway company in Japan and internationally. The company operates through Transportation, Retail & Services, Real Estate & Hotels, and Others segments. It offers passenger railway, freight, bus transportation, station operations, travel agency, warehousing, financial, telecommunication, computer-related data, leasing of personal property, dry cleaning, casualty insurance, and other agency services. The company is also involved in the operation of aerial cableway and parking lot; advertising and promotion; books and magazines publication; automobile maintenance and repair; hotel and restaurant management; civil engineering and general construction; facilities construction; and electricity supply businesses. In addition, it engages in the sale of prepaid vouchers, memberships for sport and leisure facilities, including golf and tennis clubs; and oil, gas, and car accessories; travel goods, food, beverages, liquors, medicines, cosmetics, and daily necessities. Further, the company is involved in the sale, leasing, management, and brokerage of real estate properties; manufacture of transport-related machinery and equipment, as well as precision and industrial machinery and tools; production and sale of signs and information boards; and establishment and management of recreation areas, physical fitness facilities, cultural facilities, preparatory schools and other educational facilities, and movie theaters. Additionally, it engages in the production of beverages and liquors; processing and sale of marine products; manufacture and sale of aggregates, masonry materials, concrete posts, and blocks; railcar manufacturing and maintenance operations; sale of tickets for events; and photo development activities. East Japan Railway Company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Stock analysis

East Japan Railway Company (EJPRF) currently trades at $21.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.26, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 5.2%).

Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $23.80 per share, and 5 of the 10 models we run sit above the $21.10 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $11.53, and 5 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $15.58 (bear) to $28.94 (bull), the price of $21.10 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

East Japan Railway Company reported revenue of ¥3.1T in FY2026 versus ¥2.0T in FY2022, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥249B in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $26.4B · P/E ratio 15.4 · P/S ratio 1.24 · EPS (TTM) $1.37 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 8.0% · Return on equity 8.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 6%, EJPRF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $15.58 Fair Value $22.26 Bull $28.94

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

Residual Income $14.56 $15.66 $17.54 76

Graham-Dodd $9.52 $16.51 $20.22 67

Growth-Adj P/E $15.57 $22.24 $28.92 67

All 10 models by family

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd $9.52 $16.51 $20.22 67

Multiples

P/E Multiple $22.05 $29.40 $36.75 63

P/S Multiple $17.85 $23.80 $29.75 58

P/B Multiple $17.85 $23.80 $29.75 55

EV/EBIT $5.58 $15.52 $25.47 61

EV/EBITDA $22.95 $38.69 $54.43 65

EV/Revenue n/a $6.16 $15.29 50

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) $8.61 $11.53 $17.21 54

Economic Profit

Residual Income $14.56 $15.66 $17.54 76

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E $15.57 $22.24 $28.92 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 28

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 52

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 47

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 20

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 46

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 50

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 51

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 54

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 83

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 48/100

The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Revenue growth 1 year

+7.5%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+8.9%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+12.0%

Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.8% a year

Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+0.8%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.

+7.2%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year+4.8%

Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.4.8% vs 0.6%, picking up

Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−30% → 13%

Start year 2021 (pandemic)

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Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (27 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Neutral

Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.

East Japan Railway Co's Dividend Analysis Yahoo Finance · Sep 29, 2026
Explore More of Japan: Expanded JR EAST PASS Opens Access to the Underexplored Tohoku Region Yahoo Finance · Mar 17, 2026

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Railroads · 106 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures

A mixed picture versus its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside −13.1% · Below median

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 8.4% · Above median

Return on assets 2.5% · Below median

Net margin (TTM) 8.0% · Above median

Operating margin (TTM) 7.7% · Below median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 10.9% · Above median

Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Above median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 1.50× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Railroads median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.4× · Cheaper than median

P/B 1.36× · Cheaper than median

P/S (TTM) 1.35× · Cheaper than median

EV/EBITDA 10.1× · Pricier than median

PEG 2.95× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)16 · sector 20

FUTURE (revenue growth)55 · sector 22

PAST (return on equity)34 · sector 29

HEALTH (low debt)25 · sector 89

DIVIDEND (yield)47 · sector 44

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Union Pacific Corporation UNP	$272.13	$153.47	−44%
CSX Corporation CSX	$46.51	$12.91	−72%
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP	$86.56	$37.51	−57%
Canadian National Railway Company CNI	$121.14	$98.68	−19%
Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC	$309.00	$133.05	−57%
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB	$288.00	$290.92	+1%
Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816	¥4.69	¥5.65	+20%
CRRC Corporation 601766	¥5.97	¥9.21	+54%
Daqin Railway Co 601006	¥4.66	¥5.48	+18%
Getlink SE GET	€18.83	€10.42	−45%

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East Japan Railway Company · Fair Value
$22.26 +5%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EJPRF" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">East Japan Railway Company · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">$22.26</b> <span style="color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;font-size:14px">+5%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "East Japan Railway Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EJPRF

Frequently asked questions

Is East Japan Railway Company (EJPRF) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $22.26 versus a price of $21.10, about +6% upside (fairly valued).

What is the fair value of EJPRF?

Our model-based fair value for East Japan Railway Company is $22.26 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $21.10.

What is the quality score of EJPRF?

East Japan Railway Company has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for East Japan Railway Company (EJPRF)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of $22.26 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $15.58, optimistic scenario $28.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the East Japan Railway Company stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at $22.26, about +6% upside versus a price of $21.10 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $15.58, optimistic scenario $28.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of East Japan Railway Company (EJPRF)?

East Japan Railway Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥3.1T (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).

Does East Japan Railway Company pay a dividend?

East Japan Railway Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.37% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 28, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of East Japan Railway Company (EJPRF)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For East Japan Railway Company it is $22.26 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of $21.10. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is East Japan Railway Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 28, 2026, EJPRF trades below its calculated fair value: price $21.10, fair value $22.26, a gap of about +6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of EJPRF?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($21.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($22.26). For East Japan Railway Company the two are $1.16 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is East Japan Railway Company worth?

The market values East Japan Railway Company at about $26.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is $21.10; our models calculate a fair value of $22.26 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EJPRF?

Our models span a range for East Japan Railway Company: cautious scenario $15.58, base $22.26, optimistic $28.94 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price $21.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of EJPRF?

East Japan Railway Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.4 (as of Sep 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $22.26 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.9, P/B 1.4, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 10.1.

What is the PEG ratio of EJPRF?

The PEG ratio of East Japan Railway Company is 2.95 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 28, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.

How solid is the balance sheet of East Japan Railway Company (EJPRF)?

Balance-sheet figures for East Japan Railway Company (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity 8.4%, debt of 1.50 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is EJPRF from its 52-week high?

East Japan Railway Company trades at $21.10, about 22% below its 52-week high of $27.08 and 12% above the low of $18.81 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $22.26 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to East Japan Railway Company?

From the same area (Industrials) we also value Union Pacific Corporation, CSX Corporation, Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited, Canadian National Railway Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is East Japan Railway Company stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price $21.10, calculated fair value $22.26 (+6%), Quality Score 44/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of EJPRF calculated?

We run East Japan Railway Company through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $22.26, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. East Japan Railway Company currently trades 5 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of East Japan Railway Company (EJPRF)?

The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $21.10. Our model-based fair value is $22.26, about +6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with East Japan Railway Company right now?

The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($15.58 to $28.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Where does the earnings growth of East Japan Railway Company (EJPRF) come from?

Earnings per share at East Japan Railway Company grew −0.1 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.7 %, EBIT margin −2.4 %, tax rate +1.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of East Japan Railway Company

How large is the market capitalisation of East Japan Railway Company (EJPRF)?

The market capitalisation of East Japan Railway Company is $26.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of East Japan Railway Company (EJPRF)?

The price-to-sales ratio of East Japan Railway Company is 1.24 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of East Japan Railway Company (EJPRF)?

Earnings per share at East Japan Railway Company are $1.37 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of East Japan Railway Company (EJPRF)?

The dividend yield of East Japan Railway Company is 2.4% (payout 36.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of East Japan Railway Company (EJPRF)?

The net margin of East Japan Railway Company is 8.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of East Japan Railway Company (EJPRF)?

The return on equity (ROE) of East Japan Railway Company is 8.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of East Japan Railway Company (EJPRF)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of East Japan Railway Company is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of East Japan Railway Company (EJPRF)?

The operating margin of East Japan Railway Company is 7.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at East Japan Railway Company (EJPRF)?

Revenue at East Japan Railway Company is growing +10.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at East Japan Railway Company (EJPRF)?

Earnings per share at East Japan Railway Company are growing +272% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does East Japan Railway Company (EJPRF) generate?

The free cash flow of East Japan Railway Company is −¥124B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does East Japan Railway Company (EJPRF) carry?

The net debt of East Japan Railway Company is ¥4.9T (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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