Canadian National Railway Company (CNIC34) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · BR · Market cap R$381B
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026 — revised from R$3.67 to R$13.24 (+260.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +6.7% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range R$19.92 – R$26.73 · fair‑value band R$7.75 – R$24.84 · the R$26.73 price screens above the R$13.24 fair value. As of Jul 12, 2026.
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Canadian National Railway Company (CNIC34) currently trades at R$26.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$13.24 — implying the stock looks roughly 50.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Canadian National Railway Company generated revenue of R$17.3B at a net margin of 27.2%. Revenue declined 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.9%. Net debt stands at R$20.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$7.75 (bear case) to R$24.84 (bull case); at R$26.73, the current price sits above that range. The share trades near its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside — at -50%, CNIC34 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Canadian National Railway Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the rail, intermodal, trucking, and related transportation businesses in Canada and the United States. The company provides rail services, which include equipment, customs brokerage, transloading and warehousing, business development, dimensional loads, and private railcar storage, less-than-truckload, and mexico services; intermodal services, such as temperature controlled multimodal, mobile transport trays, port partnerships, transloading and distribution, logistics parks, trucking, and supply chain services. It also offers connecting to rail, short lines, maps and network services. The company serves automotive, coal, fertilizers, temperature controlled cargo, forest products, dimensional, grain, metal and minerals, petroleum and chemicals, consumer goods, and third party logistics applications. Canadian National Railway Company was incorporated in 1919 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Canadian National Railway Company reported revenue of R$17.3B in FY2025 versus R$14.5B in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was R$4.7B in FY2025, compounding −0.9%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- CNI's Record June Grain Volumes Signal Strong Export Demand
- Why Canadian National (CNI) is a Great Dividend Stock Right Now
- CEO.CA's Inside the Boardroom: PlasCred Is Taking Advantage of CN Rail's Underutilized Assets
- How Canadian National Railway (CNI) Is Driving Network Strength With Record Grain Volumes Across Western Canada
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | 4,617 MXN | 2,048 MXN | -56% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $46.23 | $10.82 | -77% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | C$124.94 | C$41.23 | -67% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $308.93 | $102.07 | -67% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $256.52 | $132.12 | -48% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥4.95 | ¥4.30 | -13% |
| MTR Corporation MTRJF | $4.55 | $5.35 | +18% |
| East Japan Railway Company EJPRF | $22.24 | $15.92 | -28% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.67 | ¥11.38 | +101% |
| Central Japan Railway Company CJPRF | $24.05 | $35.58 | +48% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.