Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Bumi Resources Tbk stock IDR 49, price IDR 115, that is 57.7% below the price, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 13 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 51.00 IDR – 464.00 IDR · fair‑value band 34.03 IDR – 63.20 IDR · the 115.00 IDR price screens above the 48.62 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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PT Bumi Resources Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the mining activities in Indonesia. The company operates through three segments: Holding Company, Coal, and Minerals.
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It engages in the exploration, exploitation, mining, and sale of coal deposits; and explores gold and silver properties. The company also exports its products. The company also exports its products.
The company was formerly known as PT Bumi Modern Tbk. and changed its name to PT Bumi Resources Tbk in September 2000. PT Bumi Resources Tbk was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI) currently trades at 115.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 48.62 IDR, 58% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 50.49 IDR per share, and 1 of the 13 models we run sit above the 115.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 18.45 IDR, and 12 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 34.03 IDR (bear) to 63.20 IDR (bull), the price of 115.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Bumi Resources Tbk reported revenue of $1.4B in FY2025 versus $1.0B in FY2021, a compound +9.0%/yr. Reported net income was $84.2M in FY2025, compounding −15.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 42.7T IDR (≈ $2.4B) Mid · P/E ratio 20.8 · P/S ratio 1.23 · EPS (TTM) 5.53 IDR · Net margin 5.9% · Return on equity 5.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 7.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 75% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −58%, BUMI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear34.03 IDRFair Value 48.62 IDRBull63.20 IDR
Price 115.00 IDR · Downside -57.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (4.73 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.36/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−28.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−28.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−28.2% vs −19.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 9%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 28.5%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Thermal Coal · 82 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Above median
Fair Value upside−57.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)5.4% · Below median
Return on assets3.0% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)11.0% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)7.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)36.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.18× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)20.8× · Pricier than median
P/B1.46× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)2.18× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA20.2× · Priciest 25%
PEG0.10× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 13
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 60
PAST (return on equity)22· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)91· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 64
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 48.62 IDR versus a price of 115.00 IDR, about 58% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BUMI?
Our model-based fair value for Bumi Resources Tbk is 48.62 IDR (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 115.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of BUMI?
Bumi Resources Tbk has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 48.62 IDR (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 34.03 IDR, optimistic scenario 63.20 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bumi Resources Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 48.62 IDR, about 58% lower versus a price of 115.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 34.03 IDR, optimistic scenario 63.20 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI)?
Bumi Resources Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.6B (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bumi Resources Tbk it is 48.62 IDR per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of 115.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Bumi Resources Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, BUMI trades above its calculated fair value: price 115.00 IDR, fair value 48.62 IDR, a gap of about −58% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BUMI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (115.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (48.62 IDR). For Bumi Resources Tbk the two are 66.38 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bumi Resources Tbk worth?
The market values Bumi Resources Tbk at about 42.7T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is 115.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 48.62 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BUMI?
Our models span a range for Bumi Resources Tbk: cautious scenario 34.03 IDR, base 48.62 IDR, optimistic 63.20 IDR per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price 115.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BUMI?
Bumi Resources Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.8 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 48.62 IDR is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 14.9. Other multiples: PEG 0.1, P/B 1.5, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 20.2.
What is the PEG ratio of BUMI?
The PEG ratio of Bumi Resources Tbk is 0.10 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bumi Resources Tbk (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 5.4%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BUMI from its 52-week high?
Bumi Resources Tbk trades at 115.00 IDR, about 75% below its 52-week high of 464.00 IDR and at the low of 115.00 IDR (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 48.62 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bumi Resources Tbk?
From the same area (Energy) we also value China Shenhua Energy Company, Shaanxi Coal Industry Company, Adani Enterprises Limited, China Coal Energy Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bumi Resources Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price 115.00 IDR, calculated fair value 48.62 IDR (−58%), Quality Score 53/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BUMI calculated?
We run Bumi Resources Tbk through 13 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 48.62 IDR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Bumi Resources Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 115.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 48.62 IDR, about 58% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bumi Resources Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (63.20 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (34.03 IDR to 63.20 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Bumi Resources Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI)?
The market capitalisation of Bumi Resources Tbk is 42.7T IDR (≈ $2.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bumi Resources Tbk is 1.23 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI)?
Earnings per share at Bumi Resources Tbk are 5.53 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI)?
The net margin of Bumi Resources Tbk is 5.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bumi Resources Tbk is 5.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bumi Resources Tbk is 4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI)?
The operating margin of Bumi Resources Tbk is 7.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI)?
Revenue at Bumi Resources Tbk is growing +36.4% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI)?
Earnings per share at Bumi Resources Tbk are growing +92.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI) generate?
The free cash flow of Bumi Resources Tbk is −$66.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI) carry?
The net debt of Bumi Resources Tbk is $316M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 8, 2026