Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk (BUVA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk stock IDR 56, price IDR 378, upside -85.3%, quality 37 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?No
Good quality?No
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
PT Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk develops environmentally friendly hotels and resorts in Indonesia. The company operates through Hotel and Real Estate segments.
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It also provides accommodation services and real estate; trading food and beverage services; transportation; hotel management; and hotel guest rooms and restaurant services. In addition, it sells land or villas. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Badung, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk (BUVA) currently trades at 378.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 55.55 IDR, 85.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 126.49 IDR per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the 378.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 19.93 IDR, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 39.75 IDR (bear) to 71.34 IDR (bull), the price of 378.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk reported revenue of 376B IDR in FY2025 versus 61.4B IDR in FY2021, a compound +57.3%/yr. Reported net income was 128B IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 9.3T IDR (≈ $518M) Small · P/E ratio 402.1 · P/S ratio 24.3 · EPS (TTM) 0.9400 IDR · Net margin 6.8% · Return on equity 1.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.5% · Operating margin 25.3%.
What moves the price
The share trades about 83% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −85%, BUVA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (10.69 IDR to 327.96 IDR). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear39.75 IDRFair Value 55.55 IDRBull71.34 IDR
Price 378.00 IDR · Upside -85.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.7700 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.6% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in IDR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+68.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+68.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−142% → 23%
2025 sits 365% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 7.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lodging · 159 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−85.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)1.5% · Below median
Return on assets4.9% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)6.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)25.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)19.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.21× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)402.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B4.48× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)24.27× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA85.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)98· sector 32
PAST (return on equity)6· sector 14
HEALTH (low debt)90· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 37
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BUVA
Frequently asked questions
Is Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk (BUVA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 55.55 IDR versus a price of 378.00 IDR, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BUVA?
Our model-based fair value for Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk is 55.55 IDR (as of Oct 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 378.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of BUVA?
Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk (BUVA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 55.55 IDR (as of Oct 26, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 39.75 IDR, optimistic scenario 71.34 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 55.55 IDR, about −85% upside versus a price of 378.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 39.75 IDR, optimistic scenario 71.34 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk (BUVA)?
Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 383B IDR (latest available figure, as of Oct 26, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk (BUVA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk it is 55.55 IDR per share (as of Oct 26, 2026), against a price of 378.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 26, 2026, BUVA trades above its calculated fair value: price 378.00 IDR, fair value 55.55 IDR, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BUVA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (378.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (55.55 IDR). For Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk the two are 322.45 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk worth?
The market values Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk at about 9.3T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 26, 2026). Per share that is 378.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 55.55 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BUVA?
Our models span a range for Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk: cautious scenario 39.75 IDR, base 55.55 IDR, optimistic 71.34 IDR per share (as of Oct 26, 2026, price 378.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BUVA?
Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 402.1 (as of Oct 26, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 55.55 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.5, P/S 24.3, EV/EBITDA 85.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk (BUVA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk (as of Oct 26, 2026): return on equity 1.5%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BUVA from its 52-week high?
Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk trades at 378.00 IDR, about 83% below its 52-week high of 2,170 IDR and 20% above the low of 314.00 IDR (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 55.55 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Marriott International, Inc, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, InterContinental Hotels Group, Hyatt Hotels Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 26, 2026: price 378.00 IDR, calculated fair value 55.55 IDR (−85%), Quality Score 37/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BUVA calculated?
We run Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 55.55 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk (BUVA)?
The closing price on Oct 23, 2026 was 378.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 55.55 IDR, about −85% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (71.34 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk (BUVA)?
The market capitalisation of Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk is 9.3T IDR (≈ $518M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk (BUVA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk is 24.3 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk (BUVA)?
Earnings per share at Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk are 0.9400 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 402.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk (BUVA)?
The net margin of Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk is 6.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk (BUVA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk is 1.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk (BUVA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk is 0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk (BUVA)?
The operating margin of Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk is 25.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk (BUVA)?
Revenue at Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk is growing +19.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk (BUVA)?
Earnings per share at Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk are growing +9.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk (BUVA) generate?
The free cash flow of Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk is −489B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk (BUVA) carry?
The net debt of Bukit Uluwatu Villa Tbk is 188B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 26, 2026