Barak Valley Cements Limited (BVCL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Barak Valley Cements Limited stock ₹26.23, price ₹35.86, upside -26.9%, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹19.15 – ₹76.40 · fair‑value band ₹14.52 – ₹37.94 · the ₹35.86 price screens above the ₹26.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Oct 25, 2026.
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Barak Valley Cements Limited manufactures and sells various grades of cement in India. The company offers ordinary portland cement and portland pozzolana cement under the Valley Strong Cement brand. It is involved in extraction of limestone.
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The company serves individuals, contractors, builders, institutions, and government agencies. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Karimganj, India.
Stock analysis
Barak Valley Cements Limited (BVCL) currently trades at ₹35.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹26.23, 26.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹37.89 per share, and 3 of the 23 models we run sit above the ₹35.86 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ₹14.03, and 20 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹14.52 (bear) to ₹37.94 (bull), the price of ₹35.86 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Barak Valley Cements Limited reported revenue of ₹2.1B in FY2026 versus ₹1.8B in FY2022, a compound +4.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹2.9M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹801M (≈ $8.4M) Micro · P/E ratio 39.4 · P/S ratio 0.37 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.9100 · Net margin 0.9% · Return on equity 0.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.4% · Operating margin 8.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at −27%, BVCL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear₹14.52Fair Value ₹26.23Bull₹37.94
Price ₹35.86 · Upside -26.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.5285 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.71/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.2% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−41.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−41.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 3%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+29.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +24.4% a year for the price.
Compare Barak Valley Cements Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 254 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Above median
Fair Value upside−26.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)0.2% · Below median
Return on assets0.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)0.9% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)8.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)5.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.05× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)39.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.64× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)0.37× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow33.0× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA6.8× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)29· sector 11
PAST (return on equity)1· sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 48
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Barak Valley Cements Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BVCL
Frequently asked questions
Is Barak Valley Cements Limited (BVCL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹26.23 versus a price of ₹35.86, about −27% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BVCL?
Our model-based fair value for Barak Valley Cements Limited is ₹26.23 (as of Oct 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹35.86.
What is the quality score of BVCL?
Barak Valley Cements Limited has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Barak Valley Cements Limited (BVCL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹26.23 (as of Oct 25, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹14.52, optimistic scenario ₹37.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Barak Valley Cements Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹26.23, about −27% upside versus a price of ₹35.86 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹14.52, optimistic scenario ₹37.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Barak Valley Cements Limited (BVCL)?
Barak Valley Cements Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹2.2B (latest available figure, as of Oct 25, 2026).
What growth is priced into Barak Valley Cements Limited (BVCL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Barak Valley Cements Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +29.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.1 % per year. As of Oct 25, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BVCL use?
Our models discount Barak Valley Cements Limited at 11.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.70, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Barak Valley Cements Limited that is +29.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Barak Valley Cements Limited (BVCL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Barak Valley Cements Limited grew +8.1 % a year. The price currently implies +29.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Barak Valley Cements Limited (BVCL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Barak Valley Cements Limited (+29.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Barak Valley Cements Limited (BVCL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.05 %: that much free cash flow Barak Valley Cements Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Barak Valley Cements Limited (BVCL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Barak Valley Cements Limited it is ₹26.23 per share (as of Oct 25, 2026), against a price of ₹35.86. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Barak Valley Cements Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 25, 2026, BVCL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹35.86, fair value ₹26.23, a gap of about −27% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BVCL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹35.86); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹26.23). For Barak Valley Cements Limited the two are ₹9.63 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Barak Valley Cements Limited worth?
The market values Barak Valley Cements Limited at about ₹801M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 25, 2026). Per share that is ₹35.86; our models calculate a fair value of ₹26.23 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BVCL?
Our models span a range for Barak Valley Cements Limited: cautious scenario ₹14.52, base ₹26.23, optimistic ₹37.94 per share (as of Oct 25, 2026, price ₹35.86). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BVCL?
Barak Valley Cements Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 39.4 (as of Oct 25, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹26.23 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 7 fiscal years (2019 to 2026), reported earnings: 16.5. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 6.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Barak Valley Cements Limited (BVCL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Barak Valley Cements Limited (as of Oct 25, 2026): return on equity 0.2%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BVCL from its 52-week high?
Barak Valley Cements Limited trades at ₹35.86, about 31% below its 52-week high of ₹51.87 and 12% above the low of ₹32.08 (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹26.23 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Barak Valley Cements Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc, Vulcan Materials Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Barak Valley Cements Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 25, 2026: price ₹35.86, calculated fair value ₹26.23 (−27%), Quality Score 53/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BVCL calculated?
We run Barak Valley Cements Limited through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹26.23, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Barak Valley Cements Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Barak Valley Cements Limited (BVCL)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was ₹35.86. Our model-based fair value is ₹26.23, about −27% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Barak Valley Cements Limited right now?
The model range is unusually wide (₹14.52 to ₹37.94). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Barak Valley Cements Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Barak Valley Cements Limited (BVCL)?
The market capitalisation of Barak Valley Cements Limited is ₹801M (≈ $8.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Barak Valley Cements Limited (BVCL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Barak Valley Cements Limited is 0.37 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Barak Valley Cements Limited (BVCL)?
Earnings per share at Barak Valley Cements Limited are ₹0.9100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 39.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Barak Valley Cements Limited (BVCL)?
The net margin of Barak Valley Cements Limited is 0.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Barak Valley Cements Limited (BVCL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Barak Valley Cements Limited is 0.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Barak Valley Cements Limited (BVCL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Barak Valley Cements Limited is 13.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Barak Valley Cements Limited (BVCL)?
The operating margin of Barak Valley Cements Limited is 8.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Barak Valley Cements Limited (BVCL)?
Revenue at Barak Valley Cements Limited is growing +5.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Barak Valley Cements Limited (BVCL)?
Earnings per share at Barak Valley Cements Limited are growing +130% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Barak Valley Cements Limited (BVCL) carry?
The net debt of Barak Valley Cements Limited is ₹284M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 11.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 25, 2026