Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc (BW) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value $0.6290 · Strongly overvalued (−91%)
!Quality 36/100
!Mixed Growth(revenue 5y −3.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -13.9% net margin (TTM)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers(2/11)
!Narrow moat21/100
✓Insider activity78/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.2632 – $21.85 · fair‑value band $0.2465 – $1.19 · the $7.36 price screens above the $0.6290 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 20, 2026.
Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides energy and emissions control solutions to industrial, electrical utility, municipal, and other customers in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Indonesia, and the Philippines.
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Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides energy and emissions control solutions to industrial, electrical utility, municipal, and other customers in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Indonesia, and the Philippines. The company offers BrightLoop chemical looping technology, which produces steam, hydrogen, or syngas for applications in the energy, industrial, and agricultural sectors. It also provides steam generation equipment, including aftermarket parts, construction, maintenance, and field services; steam generation systems, such as package boilers, watertube and firetube waste heat boilers, and other boilers to medium and heavy industrial customers. The company was founded in 1867 and is headquartered in Akron, Ohio.
Stock analysis
Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc (BW) currently trades at $7.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6290, implying the stock looks roughly 1,069.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $2.08 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the $7.36 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.3500, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.2465 (bear) to $1.19 (bull), the price of $7.36 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc reported revenue of $588M in FY2025 versus $711M in FY2021, a compound −4.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$36.2M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $1.7B · P/S ratio 4.11 · EPS (TTM) $−0.8800 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin −6.2% · Return on equity −347% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2% · Operating margin −0.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −91%, BW screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.2465Fair Value $0.6290Bull $1.19
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.5%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−0.3% (2020) → 3.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 835 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−91% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−14% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth44% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.6% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/S (TTM)2.67× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA77.0× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 22
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)11· sector 24
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc (BW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6290 versus a price of $7.36, about −91% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BW?
Our model-based fair value for Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc is $0.6290 (as of Sep 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $7.36.
What is the quality score of BW?
Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc (BW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.6290 (as of Sep 20, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2465, optimistic scenario $1.19. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.6290, about −91% upside versus a price of $7.36 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.2465, optimistic scenario $1.19. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc (BW)?
Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $653M (latest available figure, as of Sep 20, 2026).
Does Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc pay a dividend?
Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.55% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 20, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc (BW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc it is $0.6290 per share (as of Sep 20, 2026), against a price of $7.36. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 20, 2026, BW trades above its calculated fair value: price $7.36, fair value $0.6290, a gap of about −91% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BW?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($7.36); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.6290). For Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc the two are $6.73 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc worth?
The market values Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc at about $1.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 20, 2026). Per share that is $7.36; our models calculate a fair value of $0.6290 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BW?
Our models span a range for Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc: cautious scenario $0.2465, base $0.6290, optimistic $1.19 per share (as of Sep 20, 2026, price $7.36). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc (BW)?
Balance-sheet figures for Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc (as of Sep 20, 2026): return on equity −346.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BW from its 52-week high?
Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc trades at $7.36, about 67% below its 52-week high of $22.03 and 744% above the low of $0.8725 (as of Sep 20, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.6290 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 20, 2026: price $7.36, calculated fair value $0.6290 (−91%), Quality Score 36/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BW calculated?
We run Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.6290, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc (BW)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $7.36. Our model-based fair value is $0.6290, about −91% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.19). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($0.2465 to $1.19). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc (BW)?
The market capitalisation of Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc is $1.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc (BW)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc is 4.11 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc (BW)?
Earnings per share at Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc are $−0.8800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc (BW)?
The dividend yield of Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc is 0.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc (BW)?
The net margin of Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc is −6.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc (BW)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc is −347% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc (BW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc (BW)?
The operating margin of Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc is −0.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc (BW)?
Revenue at Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc is growing +44.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc (BW)?
Earnings per share at Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc are growing −93.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc (BW) generate?
The free cash flow of Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc is −$85.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc (BW) carry?
The net debt of Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc is $279M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 20, 2026