Barry Callebaut AG (BYCBF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $7.8B
Barry Callebaut AG
BYCBF · US
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $977.28 to $978.94 (+0.2%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −8.4% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $876.00 – $1,909 · fair‑value band $564.28 – $1,628 · the $1,388 price screens above the $978.94 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Barry Callebaut AG (BYCBF) currently trades at $1,388, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $978.94 — implying the stock looks roughly 29.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Barry Callebaut AG generated revenue of $14.3B at a net margin of 1.7%. Revenue declined 7.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. Net debt stands at $4.3B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Barry Callebaut AG, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of chocolate and cocoa products in Western Europe, North America, Central and Eastern Europe, Latin America, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Global Chocolate and Global Cocoa. It offers chocolates, chips and chunks, cocoa, cacao fruit, fillings, coatings, nuts, decorations and inclusions, and food colorants, as well as beverage products for vending machines. The company is also involved in the sourcing of ingredients for chocolate production and cocoa-processing business. In addition, it provides centralized treasury and management services, captive reinsurance, research and development services, and conference and training services through CHOCOLATE ACADEMY centers. The company markets its products under the American Almond, Barry Callebaut, Cacao Barry, Cacaofruit, Callebaut, Caprimo, Carma, Dings Décor, Gertrude Hawk Ingredients, Mona Lisa, Van Houten, and Van Leer Chocolates…
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Barry Callebaut AG reported revenue of $14.8B in FY2025 versus $7.2B in FY2021, a compound +19.7%/yr. Reported net income was $186M in FY2025, compounding −16.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
6 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN | CHF 93,100 | CHF 9,646 | -90% |
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | 1,104 MXN | 33.78 MXN | -97% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $176.61 | $126.21 | -29% |
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| Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB | $39.50 | $51.08 | +29% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥24.13 | ¥9.09 | -62% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.