Circus SE (CA1) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Circus SE is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
- Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
- Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
- Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes
At a glance
Below-average quality, and trading another 384% above our fair value of €0.4300.
As of Aug 24, 2026, the fair value of Circus SE is €0.4300 per share against a price of €2.08, so the fair value sits 79% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
Fair value as of: Aug 24, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price +27.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.5400). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (€0.2800 to €0.5400) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
32‑month range €1.64 – €33.40 · fair‑value band €0.2800 – €0.5400 · the €2.08 price screens above the €0.4300 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
Analysis
Circus SE (CA1) currently trades at €2.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.4300, implying the stock looks roughly 383.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 87/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at €876K. Revenue declined 15.0% year over year. Fundamentals as of Aug 24, 2026
Scenario range: €0.2800 (bear) to €0.5400 (bull), the price of €2.08 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −79%, CA1 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 13
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Circus SE, a technology company, engages in the development of AI-driven robotics for the food service industry. The company also provides integrated software platforms for operational management and control; and military supply solutions.
Full company description
Circus SE, a technology company, engages in the development of AI-driven robotics for the food service industry. The company also provides integrated software platforms for operational management and control; and military supply solutions. In addition, it offers CA-1 Series 4, an AI-Robot for autonomous meal production; CircusOS, an AI-native operating system to power autonomous meal supply; and Fully AI, an advanced circus intelligence layer. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Munich, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Circus SE reported revenue of €1.6M in FY2025 versus €634K in FY2023, a compound +56.9%/yr. Reported net income was −€21.8M in FY2025.
CA1 screens 384% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 803 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: German Stocks
- Valuation of the Germany market
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc GEV | $941.84 | $131.95 | −86% |
| SIE SIE | €272.65 | €139.77 | −49% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $410.85 | $168.65 | −59% |
| Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH | $962.59 | $398.69 | −59% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 206.60 | kr 112.59 | −46% |
| Cummins Inc CMI | $564.40 | $348.94 | −38% |
| Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW | $270.12 | $145.84 | −46% |
| Emerson Electric Co EMR | $152.82 | $58.44 | −62% |
| AMETEK, Inc AME | $236.25 | $125.80 | −47% |
| Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK | $417.53 | $125.76 | −70% |
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Frequently asked questions
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