Evolution Mining Limited (CAHPF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Evolution Mining Limited $9.84, price $9.01, upside +9.2%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Evolution Mining Limited
CAHPF · USNeutralQuality growthThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.03 – $12.00 · fair‑value band $5.49 – $16.21 · the $9.01 price screens below the $9.84 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
Evolution Mining Limited engages in the exploration, mine development and operation, and sale of gold and gold-copper concentrates in Australia and Canada. It also explores for copper and silver deposits. The company was formerly known as Catalpa Resources Limited and changed its name to Evolution Mining Limited in November 2011.
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Evolution Mining Limited engages in the exploration, mine development and operation, and sale of gold and gold-copper concentrates in Australia and Canada. It also explores for copper and silver deposits. The company was formerly known as Catalpa Resources Limited and changed its name to Evolution Mining Limited in November 2011. Evolution Mining Limited was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
Stock analysis
Evolution Mining Limited (CAHPF) currently trades at $9.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.84, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 8.4%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $8.20 per share, and 3 of the 26 models we run sit above the $9.01 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.14, and 23 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $5.49 (bear) to $16.21 (bull), the price of $9.01 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Evolution Mining Limited reported revenue of A$4.4B in FY2025 versus A$1.9B in FY2021, a compound +23.6%/yr. Reported net income was A$926M in FY2025, compounding +28.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $20.6B · P/E ratio 18.7 · P/S ratio 3.99 · EPS (TTM) $0.4700 · Dividend yield 3.7% · Net margin 21.3% · Return on equity 26.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 9%, CAHPF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Earlier news
- Is Evolution Mining (ASX:EVN) Quietly Redefining Its Gold Identity With This Lithium Water Deal?
- Evolution Mining Ltd's Dividend Analysis
- Evolution Mining Ltd (CAHPF) (FY 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record EBITDA and Dividend ...
Compare Evolution Mining Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 200 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEM | $115.34 | $126.87 | +10% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥30.01 | ¥44.45 | +48% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | $185.83 | $219.71 | +18% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | $135.39 | $87.78 | −35% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | $245.81 | $270.39 | +10% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $99.03 | $88.60 | −11% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $24.06 | $51.30 | +113% |
| Royal Gold, Inc RGLD | $238.93 | $262.82 | +10% |
| Shandong Gold Mining Co 600547 | ¥29.07 | ¥23.61 | −19% |
| Pan American Silver Corp PAAS | $46.14 | $59.13 | +28% |
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Key figures of Evolution Mining Limited
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