Caltagirone SpA (CALT) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IT · Market cap €1.2B
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from €20.91 to €13.53 (−35.3%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +7.5% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 30% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- Our model range runs from €10.15 (bear) to €16.91 (bull), base €13.53. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 59/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.48 – €10.64 · fair‑value band €10.15 – €16.91 · the €10.44 price screens below the €13.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Caltagirone SpA (CALT) currently trades at €10.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €13.53, implying the stock looks roughly 29.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Caltagirone SpA generated revenue of €2.4B at a net margin of 6.2%. Revenue grew 13.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.7%. Net debt stands at €4.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €10.15 (bear case) to €16.91 (bull case); at €10.44, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 30%, CALT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€33.31) versus Earnings-Based (€9.08). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Caltagirone SpA, through its subsidiaries, engages in the cement manufacturing, media, real estate, and publishing activities.
Full company description
Caltagirone SpA, through its subsidiaries, engages in the cement manufacturing, media, real estate, and publishing activities. It is involved the publication of Italian newspapers, internet content, and social press; cement, aggregates, concrete, and value-added products; and leasing, sale, enhancement, management, and maintenance of building apartments in residential areas. The company also build projects, such as Fiera di Milano Rho-Pero, the Rome-Naples high-speed railway line and Line C. The company was founded in 1892 and is based in Rome, Italy. Caltagirone SpA is a subsidiary of Finanziaria Italia 2005 SpA.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Caltagirone SpA reported revenue of €2.3B in FY2025 versus €1.6B in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was €148M in FY2025, compounding +11.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Building Materials · 254 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRH plc CRH | $102.92 | $70.57 | -31% |
| UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO | ₹11,711 | ₹4,719 | -60% |
| China Jushi Co 600176 | ¥54.52 | ¥13.95 | -74% |
| Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM | ₹3,073 | ₹1,245 | -59% |
| CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO | 21.71 MXN | 15.42 MXN | -29% |
| Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 | ¥16.99 | ¥26.14 | +54% |
| Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM | ₹435.25 | ₹227.96 | -48% |
| Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM | ₹26,930 | ₹8,215 | -69% |
| TCC Group 1101B | 43.70 TWD | 10.48 TWD | -76% |
| Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 | 53.30 TWD | 13.98 TWD | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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