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The Character Group (CCT) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · GB · Market cap 53.0M GBX

TC The Character Group CCT · LSE
Price£3.05
Fair Value£4.45
Upside+45.9%
Quality60/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -1.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.27% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: High Range £3.59 – £5.59 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from £5.18 to £4.45 (−14.1%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +8.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 46% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (£3.59). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£5.42 £2.07 Fair Value £4.45 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £2.07 – £5.42 · fair‑value band £3.59 – £5.59 · the £3.05 price screens below the £4.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

The Character Group (CCT) currently trades at £3.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £4.45, implying the stock looks roughly 45.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, The Character Group generated revenue of £100M at a net margin of -1.2%. Revenue declined 27.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £11.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £3.59 (bear case) to £5.59 (bull case); at £3.05, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 46%, CCT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £3.31 £3.92 £4.63 80
Rev-Margin DCF £3.06 £4.03 £5.10 74
ROIC Compounder £2.40 £2.64 £2.87 72
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £3.27 £3.93 £4.74 38
Owner Earnings £0.9700 £1.03 £1.09 31
5Y Revenue Exit £3.06 £3.98 £5.14 39
5Y EBITDA Exit £3.65 £5.00 £6.55 41
10Y Revenue Exit £3.09 £3.84 £4.70 36
10Y EBITDA Exit £3.45 £4.42 £5.54 37
Earnings-Based
EPV £2.38 £2.57 £2.73 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £1.04 £1.36 £1.63 70
DDM Multi-Stage £1.04 £1.34 £1.63 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT £4.15 £5.28 £6.41 53
EV/EBITDA £4.46 £5.70 £6.93 54
EV/Revenue £3.05 £4.02 £5.00 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.9500 £1.28 £1.91 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £3.31 £3.92 £4.63 80
Rev-Margin DCF £3.06 £4.03 £5.10 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder £2.40 £2.64 £2.87 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (£5.28) versus Asset-Based (£1.28). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 95.7M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.9%
Net margin -1.8%
Return on equity -4.9%
Free cash flow 5.7M GBX FY2025
Operating margin 4.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) £-0.0900
Dividend yield 2.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -16.9%
Net cash 11.9M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 9
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 66
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

The Character Group plc, a holding company, designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes toys, games, and giftware products in the United Kingdom, Scandinavia, the Far East, and internationally. The company also imports and distributes gifts; and invests in properties. It serves pre-school, boys, girls and activity and crafts sectors.

Full company description

The Character Group plc, a holding company, designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes toys, games, and giftware products in the United Kingdom, Scandinavia, the Far East, and internationally. The company also imports and distributes gifts; and invests in properties. It serves pre-school, boys, girls and activity and crafts sectors. The Character Group plc was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in New Malden, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

The Character Group reported revenue of £100M in FY2025 versus £140M in FY2021, a compound −8.0%/yr. Reported net income was −£1.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 19/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£100M
Latest YoY
−18.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−17.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (33Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.2%
Revenue −8.0%/yr
FY21 £140M
FY22 £176M
FY23 £123M
FY24 £123M
FY25 £100M
Net income
FY21 £12.2M
FY22 £9.4M
FY23 £3.5M
FY24 £5.0M
FY25 −£1.2M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −6.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.8 pp

of which total revenue +1.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +2.0 pp

EBIT margin −8.7 pp
Tax rate −0.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Character Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CCT

Peer Group

Leisure · 190 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside +46% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth -9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.16× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.75× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 12.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 21.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 95 · sector 14
FUTURE 0 · sector 18
PAST 0 · sector 19
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 45 · sector 51

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

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Pop Mart International Group 9992 HK$160.20 HK$227.30 +42%
Amer Sports, Inc AS $36.44 $16.16 -56%
Hasbro, Inc HAS $81.55 $83.38 +2%
Life Time Group LTH $42.15 $16.15 -62%
Acushnet Holdings GOLF $114.78 $37.79 -67%
Li Ning Company 2331 HK$14.80 HK$29.26 +98%
Benefit Systems S.A BFT 5,255 PLN 3,714 PLN -29%
Ninebot Limited 689009 ¥37.82 ¥39.17 +4%
Asmodee Group ASMDEEB kr 145.70 kr 41.90 -71%

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Frequently asked questions

Is The Character Group (CCT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £4.45 versus a price of £3.05, about +46% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CCT?
Our model-based fair value for The Character Group is £4.45 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £3.05.
What is the quality score of CCT?
The Character Group has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of The Character Group (CCT)?
The Character Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £100M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CCT?
The net profit margin of The Character Group is about -1.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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