Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. $0.47, price $6.74, upside -93.0%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.5556 – $35.79 · fair‑value band $0.3500 – $0.5900 · the $6.74 price screens above the $0.4700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Follow Chaince Digital Holdings in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Chaince Digital Holdings is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. engages in providing financial and advisory services in the North America, Greater China, Southeast Asia, Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia, and the United States.
Show more
Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. engages in providing financial and advisory services in the North America, Greater China, Southeast Asia, Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia, and the United States. The company offers industry advisory and consulting services, such as corporate restructuring, capital markets preparation, regulatory compliance, and business expansion strategies; IPO-related financial advisory and consulting services, including transaction structuring, preparation for regulatory filings, coordination with underwriters and professional advisors, and strategic capital markets advisory; and private investment in public equity advisory and placement-related services comprising identifying potential investors, assisting in transaction structuring, and coordinating the placement process. It also provides transaction execution and brokerage, clearing-related brokerage, referral, and escrow agent services. The company was formerly known as Mercurity Fintech Holding Inc. and changed its name to Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. in November 2025. Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Stock analysis
Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD) currently trades at $6.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4700, 93.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.3500 (bear) to $0.5900 (bull), the price of $6.74 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. reported revenue of $1.9M in FY2025 versus $670K in FY2021, a compound +29.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$5.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $428M · EPS (TTM) $−0.0400 · Net margin −219% · Return on equity −6.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −42.6% · Operating margin −203% · Revenue (TTM) $2.3M · Revenue growth (YoY) +19.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 81% below its 52-week high and 154% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −93%, CD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.3500Fair Value $0.4700Bull $0.5900
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.17/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+85.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.8%
’13
’14
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
26.2% (2019) → −177.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 456 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−93.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−5.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth19.2% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
P/B9.73× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)96· sector 94
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 44
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CD
Frequently asked questions
Is Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4700 versus a price of $6.74, about −93% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CD?
Our model-based fair value for Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. is $0.4700 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $6.74.
What is the quality score of CD?
Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.4700 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.3500, optimistic scenario $0.5900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.4700, about −93% upside versus a price of $6.74 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.3500, optimistic scenario $0.5900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD)?
Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.3M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. it is $0.4700 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $6.74. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CD trades above its calculated fair value: price $6.74, fair value $0.4700, a gap of about −93% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CD?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($6.74); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.4700). For Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. the two are $6.27 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. worth?
The market values Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. at about $428M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $6.74; our models calculate a fair value of $0.4700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CD?
Our models span a range for Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.: cautious scenario $0.3500, base $0.4700, optimistic $0.5900 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $6.74). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −6.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CD from its 52-week high?
Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. trades at $6.74, about 81% below its 52-week high of $35.79 and 154% above the low of $2.65 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.4700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $6.74, calculated fair value $0.4700 (−93%), Quality Score 35/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CD calculated?
We run Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.4700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $6.74. Our model-based fair value is $0.4700, about −93% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.5900). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD)?
The market capitalisation of Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. is $428M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD)?
Earnings per share at Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. are $−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD)?
The net margin of Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. is −219% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. is −6.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. is −42.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD)?
The operating margin of Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. is −203% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD)?
Revenue at Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. is growing +19.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +29.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD) generate?
The free cash flow of Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. is −$2.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD) hold?
Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. holds more cash than debt, $32.8M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. in the live analysis
One click puts Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026