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Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CDPYF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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CA
Some data
Sep 13, 2026
Some data
Sep 13, 2026
Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust
CDPYF · USOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
!Fair value $15.75 · Overvalued (−32%)
!Quality 56/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +2.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·6.68% dividend yield
!Narrow moat 42/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $23.00 – $42.67 · fair‑value band $11.81 – $22.24 · the $23.21 price screens above the $15.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Company profile
Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is Canada's largest publicly traded provider of quality rental housing.
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Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is Canada's largest publicly traded provider of quality rental housing. As at March 31, 2026, CAPREIT owns approximately 45,400 residential apartment suites and townhomes (excluding approximately 200 suites classified as assets held for sale), that are well-located across Canada and, to a lesser extent, the Netherlands, with a total fair value of approximately 14.5 billion dollars (excluding approximately 0.1 billion dollars of assets held for sale). Real Estate Investment Trust was established on February 03, 1997 and incorporated in Ontario, Canada.
Stock analysis
Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CDPYF) currently trades at $23.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.75, implying the stock looks roughly 47.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $38.84 per share, and 7 of the 16 models we run sit above the $23.21 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $4.65, and 9 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $11.81 (bear) to $22.24 (bull), the price of $23.21 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust reported revenue of C$1.0B in FY2025 versus C$933M in FY2021, a compound +1.8%/yr. Reported net income was C$197M in FY2025, compounding −38.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $3.8B · P/S ratio 3.83 · EPS (TTM) $0.0100 · Dividend yield 6.7% · Net margin 19.6% · Return on equity 0.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7% · Operating margin 57.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −32%, CDPYF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $11.81
Fair Value $15.75
Bull $22.24
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
n/a
$5.05
$27.40
77
Residual Income
$40.23
$38.84
$30.98
76
Growth DCF
n/a
$4.65
$25.80
75
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
n/a
$5.05
$27.40
77
5Y Revenue Exit
n/a
$14.83
$40.97
69
5Y EBITDA Exit
$2.75
$30.02
$62.83
67
10Y Revenue Exit
n/a
$9.81
$35.02
64
10Y EBITDA Exit
n/a
$20.31
$51.86
65
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$13.70
$27.29
$41.33
67
DDM Multi-Stage
$13.70
$23.59
$28.81
67
Multiples
P/S Multiple
$16.38
$21.85
$27.31
58
P/B Multiple
$16.38
$21.85
$27.31
55
EV/EBIT
$27.61
$48.01
$68.40
64
EV/EBITDA
$14.24
$30.18
$46.11
64
EV/Revenue
n/a
$12.23
$25.97
50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$28.57
$38.28
$57.14
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
n/a
$4.65
$25.80
75
Rev-Margin DCF
n/a
$14.52
$38.00
69
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$40.23
$38.84
$30.98
76
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
56/100
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Profitability
27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
84
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
51/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.5%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +17.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−26% vs −5%, slowing
Profit margin 2017 to 2022 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.150% → 72%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 88% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−0.4%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+2.3%
Projected 2028 (sales)+2.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+2.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.2%
CDPYF screens 47% overvalued. Compare with AvalonBay Communities, Inc →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (94 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
- Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust's Dividend Analysis
- Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CDPYF) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call ...
- Canadian Apartment Properties REIT reports Q2 results
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Residential · 46 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Residential median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Real Estate sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Real Estate
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Residential stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| AvalonBay Communities, Inc AVB | $68.14 | $51.89 | −24% |
| EQR EQR | $68.14 | $36.19 | −47% |
| Essex Property Trust, Inc ESS | $272.91 | $210.20 | −23% |
| Invitation Homes INVH | $27.54 | $20.80 | −24% |
| Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc MAA | $124.79 | $90.18 | −28% |
| Sun Communities, Inc SUI | $114.48 | $135.78 | +19% |
| UDR, Inc UDR | $35.12 | $22.66 | −35% |
| American Homes 4 Rent (AMH or the General Partner) AMH | $31.48 | $43.83 | +39% |
| Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc ELS | $60.08 | $20.93 | −65% |
| Camden Property Trust, an S&P 500 Company CPT | $103.01 | $41.51 | −60% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CDPYF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.75 versus a price of $23.21, about −32% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CDPYF?
Our model-based fair value for Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is $15.75 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $23.21.
What is the quality score of CDPYF?
Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CDPYF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $15.75 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $11.81, optimistic scenario $22.24. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $15.75, about −32% upside versus a price of $23.21 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $11.81, optimistic scenario $22.24. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CDPYF)?
Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $998M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust pay a dividend?
Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.68% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CDPYF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust would have to grow free cash flow by +14.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.6 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CDPYF use?
Our models discount Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust at 9.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.93, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust that is +14.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CDPYF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust grew +2.6 % a year. The price currently implies +14.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CDPYF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (+14.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CDPYF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.16 %: that much free cash flow Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CDPYF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust it is $15.75 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $23.21. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, CDPYF trades above its calculated fair value: price $23.21, fair value $15.75, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CDPYF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($23.21); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($15.75). For Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust the two are $7.46 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust worth?
The market values Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust at about $3.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $23.21; our models calculate a fair value of $15.75 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CDPYF?
Our models span a range for Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust: cautious scenario $11.81, base $15.75, optimistic $22.24 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $23.21). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CDPYF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 0.3%, debt of 0.59 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CDPYF from its 52-week high?
Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust trades at $23.21, about 29% below its 52-week high of $32.66 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $15.75 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value AvalonBay Communities, Inc, EQR, Essex Property Trust, Inc, Invitation Homes, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $23.21, calculated fair value $15.75 (−32%), Quality Score 56/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CDPYF calculated?
We run Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $15.75, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($22.24). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($11.81 to $22.24) leaves room in how you read the outcome. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CDPYF) come from?
Earnings per share at Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust grew −5.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.4 %, EBIT margin −4.0 %, tax rate +1.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −8.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust
How large is the market capitalisation of Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CDPYF)?
The market capitalisation of Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is $3.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CDPYF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is 3.83 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CDPYF)?
Earnings per share at Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust are $0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CDPYF)?
The dividend yield of Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is 6.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CDPYF)?
The net margin of Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is 19.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CDPYF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is 0.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CDPYF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is 3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CDPYF)?
The operating margin of Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is 57.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CDPYF)?
Revenue at Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is growing −2.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CDPYF)?
Earnings per share at Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust are growing −40.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CDPYF) carry?
The net debt of Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is $6.1B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 18.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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