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Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc (ELS) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $12.5B

EL Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc logo Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc ELS · US
Price$65.17
Fair Value$21.27
Upside-67.4%
Quality55/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 25.0% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
3.32% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Wide moat 74/100
Evidence: High Range $12.73 – $42.35 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +2.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 67% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($42.35). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($12.73 to $42.35). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$77.64 $52.38 Fair Value $21.27 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $52.38 – $77.64 · fair‑value band $12.73 – $42.35 · the $65.17 price screens above the $21.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc (ELS) currently trades at $65.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $21.27, implying the stock looks roughly 67.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc generated revenue of $1.5B at a net margin of 25.0%. Revenue grew 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.9%. Net debt stands at $3.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $12.73 (bear case) to $42.35 (bull case); at $65.17, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -39% fair-value upside, at -67%, ELS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $3.34 $13.96 $29.49 80
Residual Income $12.11 $14.56 $35.62 76
Rev-Margin DCF $5.24 $19.98 $37.36 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $3.10 $15.33 $34.52 38
5Y Revenue Exit $5.24 $20.15 $39.50 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $18.25 $45.01 $76.97 41
10Y Revenue Exit $3.53 $17.07 $35.93 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $12.65 $34.54 $65.10 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $19.17 $39.87 $63.25 70
DDM Multi-Stage $19.17 $33.22 $41.84 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple $25.41 $33.88 $42.35 58
P/B Multiple $13.58 $18.11 $22.64 55
EV/EBIT $27.07 $41.75 $56.44 53
EV/EBITDA $31.11 $47.14 $63.17 54
EV/Revenue $7.31 $17.72 $28.14 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.53 $6.07 $9.06 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.34 $13.96 $29.49 80
Rev-Margin DCF $5.24 $19.98 $37.36 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $12.11 $14.56 $35.62 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($33.88) versus Asset-Based ($6.07). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.2%
Net margin 25.0%
Return on equity 21.9%
Free cash flow $334M FY2025
P/E ratio 31.1
More key figures
Operating margin 36.9%
EPS (TTM) $2.00
Dividend yield 3.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -2.6%
Net debt $3.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 90
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 59
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. is a self-administered, self-managed real estate investment trust. As of March 31, 2026, they own or have an interest in 453 properties in 35 states and British Columbia consisting of 173,419 sites. Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. is headquartered in Chicago. Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc.

Full company description

Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. is a self-administered, self-managed real estate investment trust. As of March 31, 2026, they own or have an interest in 453 properties in 35 states and British Columbia consisting of 173,419 sites. Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. is headquartered in Chicago. Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. was incorporated in 1992 in Maryland and based in Chicago, Illinois.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was $387M in FY2025, compounding +10.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 84/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.5B
Latest YoY
+6.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.2%
Avg. growth/yr (32Y)
+11.9%
Revenue +3.9%/yr
FY21 $1.3B
FY22 $1.4B
FY23 $1.4B
FY24 $1.4B
FY25 $1.5B
Net income +10.2%/yr
FY21 $262M
FY22 $285M
FY23 $314M
FY24 $367M
FY25 $387M

ELS screens 67% overvalued. Compare with AvalonBay Communities, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ELS

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

REIT - Residential · 57 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −67% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 25% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 37% · Above median
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.89× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Residential median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 31.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 7.10× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 8.08× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 37.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 21.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.90× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 1
FUTURE 6 · sector 11
PAST 87 · sector 5
HEALTH 5 · sector 61
DIVIDEND 66 · sector 75

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Residential stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AvalonBay Communities, Inc AVB $190.80 $126.12 -34%
EQR EQR $67.86 $38.10 -44%
Essex Property Trust, Inc ESS $293.46 $177.90 -39%
Invitation Homes INVH $29.78 $16.82 -44%
Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc MAA $133.88 $65.28 -51%
Sun Communities, Inc SUI $121.83 $114.79 -6%
UDR, Inc UDR $39.59 $19.76 -50%
American Homes 4 Rent (AMH or the General Partner) AMH $33.11 $21.44 -35%
Camden Property Trust, an S&P 500 Company CPT $113.73 $41.87 -63%
Millrose Properties, Inc MRP $28.52 $41.87 +47%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc (ELS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $21.27 versus a price of $65.17, about −67% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ELS?
Our model-based fair value for Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc is $21.27 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $65.17.
What is the quality score of ELS?
Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc (ELS)?
Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ELS?
The net profit margin of Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc is about 25.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 25.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc pay a dividend?
Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.32% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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