Camden Property Trust, an S&P 500 Company (CPT) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $10.8B
Camden Property Trust, an S&P 500 Company
CPT · US
Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price −1.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 63% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($82.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($38.32 to $82.45) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $76.23 – $153.13 · fair‑value band $38.32 – $82.45 · the $111.93 price screens above the $41.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
Analysis
Camden Property Trust, an S&P 500 Company (CPT) currently trades at $111.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $41.87, implying the stock looks roughly 62.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Camden Property Trust, an S&P 500 Company generated revenue of $1.6B at a net margin of 24.5%. Revenue declined 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. Net debt stands at $3.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $38.32 (bear case) to $82.45 (bull case); at $111.93, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -39% fair-value upside, at -63%, CPT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($73.91) versus Growth DCF ($10.78). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Camden Property Trust, an S&P 500 Company, is a real estate company primarily engaged in the ownership, management, development, redevelopment, acquisition, and construction of multifamily apartment communities. Camden owns and operates 173 properties containing 58,811 apartment homes across the United States.
Full company description
Camden Property Trust, an S&P 500 Company, is a real estate company primarily engaged in the ownership, management, development, redevelopment, acquisition, and construction of multifamily apartment communities. Camden owns and operates 173 properties containing 58,811 apartment homes across the United States. Upon completion of 3 properties currently under development, the Company's portfolio will increase to 59,973 apartment homes in 176 properties. Camden Property Trust was established on May 25, 1993, and incorporated in Texas. Camden Property Trust is based in Houston, United States.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Camden Property Trust, an S&P 500 Company reported revenue of $1.6B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was $384M in FY2025, compounding +6.1%/yr from FY2021.
CPT screens 63% overvalued. Compare with AvalonBay Communities, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Camden Property Trust Announces D. Keith Oden’s Retirement From His Executive Position & the Completion of the Company’s Long Term Suces
- Is Camden Property Trust (CPT) Below Fair Value Following Its 2026 Guidance Update?
- Raised Guidance From Asset Sales and Buybacks Could Be A Game Changer For Camden (CPT)
- Camden Property Trust (CPT) Stock Gets Fair Value Bump As Analysts Split On Recovery
Peer Group
REIT - Residential · 57 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Residential median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Residential stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| AvalonBay Communities, Inc AVB | $190.80 | $126.12 | -34% |
| EQR EQR | $67.86 | $38.10 | -44% |
| Essex Property Trust, Inc ESS | $293.46 | $177.90 | -39% |
| Invitation Homes INVH | $29.78 | $16.82 | -44% |
| Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc MAA | $133.88 | $65.28 | -51% |
| Sun Communities, Inc SUI | $121.83 | $114.79 | -6% |
| UDR, Inc UDR | $39.59 | $19.76 | -50% |
| American Homes 4 Rent (AMH or the General Partner) AMH | $33.11 | $21.44 | -35% |
| Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc ELS | $66.05 | $21.27 | -68% |
| Millrose Properties, Inc MRP | $28.52 | $41.87 | +47% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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