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Central Depository Services (India) Limited (CDSL) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · IN · Market cap ₹275B

CD Central Depository Services (India) Limited CDSL · NSE
Price₹1,350
Fair Value₹283.72
Upside-79.0%
Quality68/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 36.8% net margin
generates free cash flow
0.96% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Wide moat 87/100
Evidence: High Range ₹212.79 – ₹522.74 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹131.28 to ₹283.72 (+116.1%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price −5.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 79% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹522.74). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹212.79 to ₹522.74) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹1,964 ₹372.40 Fair Value ₹283.72 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹372.40 – ₹1,964 · fair‑value band ₹212.79 – ₹522.74 · the ₹1,350 price screens above the ₹283.72 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Central Depository Services (India) Limited (CDSL) currently trades at ₹1,350, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹283.72, implying the stock looks roughly 79.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Central Depository Services (India) Limited generated revenue of ₹12.4B at a net margin of 36.8%. Revenue grew 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹809M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹212.79 (bear case) to ₹522.74 (bull case); at ₹1,350, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -79%, CDSL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (₹62.83 to ₹1,035). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹145.08 ₹181.10 ₹698.69 76
Growth DCF ₹314.64 ₹613.78 ₹1,235 72
Gordon GGM ₹120.24 ₹262.50 ₹441.67 70
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹340.45 ₹792.37 ₹1,784 31
5Y P/E Exit ₹247.25 ₹504.88 ₹841.27 38
10Y P/E Exit ₹271.46 ₹543.61 ₹1,021 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹148.41 ₹1,035 ₹1,452 54
Lynch FV ₹337.93 ₹482.76 ₹627.58 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹120.24 ₹262.50 ₹441.67 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹120.24 ₹215.03 ₹273.57 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹212.79 ₹283.72 ₹354.65 63
P/B Multiple ₹98.46 ₹131.28 ₹164.10 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹46.88 ₹62.83 ₹93.77 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹314.64 ₹613.78 ₹1,235 72
Rev-Margin DCF ₹155.31 ₹275.09 ₹457.65 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹145.08 ₹181.10 ₹698.69 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹543.61) versus Asset-Based (₹62.83). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹12.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.5%
Net margin 36.8%
Return on equity 23.9%
Free cash flow ₹3.9B FY2026
P/E ratio 61.8
More key figures
Operating margin 38.9%
EPS (TTM) ₹21.86
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -19.9%
Net cash ₹809M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 77
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 29
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Central Depository Services (India) Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides depository services in India. It operates through Depository; Data Entry and Storage; and Repository segments.

Full company description

Central Depository Services (India) Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides depository services in India. It operates through Depository; Data Entry and Storage; and Repository segments. The Depository segment offers various services to investors, such as dematerialisation, rematerialisation, holding, transfer, and pledge of securities in electronic form; and e-voting services to companies. Its Data Entry and Stroage segment provides centralized record keeping of KYC document of capital market investors. The Repository segment offers policyholders/warehouse receipt holders a facility to keep insurance policies/warehouse receipts in electronic form and to undertake changes, modifications, and revisions in the policy/receipt. It also provides account opening, processing delivery and receipt instructions, pledging, nomination, transmission of securities, change in address, bank account details, and SMS services for depository participants (DPs). In addition, the company offers various services, such as electronic access to security information, electronic access to security information and execution of secured transaction, SMS alerts related to transactions, electronic consolidated account statements, and virtual annual general meetings; Myeasi mobile application; application programming interfaces for DPs, electronic delivery instruction slip, and electronic margin pledge; and electronic foreign investment monitoring, electronic system driven disclosure services, and electronic notices, as well as e-locker services. Further, it provides KYC registration agency, eKYC, electronic signature service, tax filing, stamp duty calendar, electronic negotiable warehouse receipts and electronic non-negotiable warehouse receipts, and electronic insurance account. The company serves market participants, exchanges, clearing corporations, DPs, issuers, and investors. Central Depository Services (India) Limited was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Central Depository Services (India) Limited reported revenue of ₹12.4B in FY2026 versus ₹5.5B in FY2022, a compound +22.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹4.6B in FY2026, compounding +10.0%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹12.4B
Latest YoY
+14.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+30.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+29.2%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.9%
Revenue +22.4%/yr
FY22 ₹5.5B
FY23 ₹5.6B
FY24 ₹8.1B
FY25 ₹10.8B
FY26 ₹12.4B
Net income +10.0%/yr
FY22 ₹3.1B
FY23 ₹2.8B
FY24 ₹4.2B
FY25 ₹5.3B
FY26 ₹4.6B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +22.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +26.6 pp

of which total revenue +26.6 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +0.8 pp
Tax rate +0.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −6.0 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

CDSL screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Mirae Asset Securities Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Central Depository Services (India) Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CDSL

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 425 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Return on assets 17% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 37% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 39% · Above median
Revenue growth 6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 61.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 14.05× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 22.23× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 40.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 13
FUTURE 28 · sector 96
PAST 96 · sector 31
HEALTH 0 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 19 · sector 36

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 38,050 KRW 18,009 KRW -53%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 118,600 KRW 52,717 KRW -56%
Korea Investment Holdings 071050 200,500 KRW 189,335 KRW -6%
NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 28,550 KRW 22,396 KRW -22%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 93,100 KRW 75,573 KRW -19%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 299,000 KRW 214,812 KRW -28%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 25,300 VND 17,375 VND -31%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 294.30 ARS -6%
Daishin Securities Co 003540 26,950 KRW 48,790 KRW +81%
SK Securities Co 001515 4,285 KRW 1,395 KRW -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Central Depository Services (India) Limited (CDSL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹283.72 versus a price of ₹1,350, about −79% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CDSL?
Our model-based fair value for Central Depository Services (India) Limited is ₹283.72 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹1,350.
What is the quality score of CDSL?
Central Depository Services (India) Limited has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Central Depository Services (India) Limited (CDSL)?
Central Depository Services (India) Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹12.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CDSL?
The net profit margin of Central Depository Services (India) Limited is about 36.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 36.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Central Depository Services (India) Limited pay a dividend?
Central Depository Services (India) Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.96% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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