Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Central Puerto S.A. stock ARS 1,814, price ARS 1,663, upside +9.1%, quality 52 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 40.45 ARS – 2,745 ARS · fair‑value band 1,262 ARS – 3,081 ARS · the 1,663 ARS price screens below the 1,814 ARS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
Follow Central Puerto in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Central Puerto is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Central Puerto S.A. engages in the electric power generation activities in Argentina. It operates in three segments: Electric Power Generation From Conventional Sources, Electric Power Generation From Renewable Sources and Forest Activity, and Management and Operations of Thermal Plants.
Show moreShow less
The company's power generation assets include combined cycle, gas and steam turbine, co-generation, hydroelectric, wind turbines, and solar panels. It also engages in the natural gas transport and distribution; forestry; and mining businesses.
The company was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Stock analysis
Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU) currently trades at 1,663 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,814 ARS, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 8.3%).
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 10,121 ARS per share, and 14 of the 26 models we run sit above the 1,663 ARS price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 782.98 ARS, and 12 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 1,262 ARS (bear) to 3,081 ARS (bull), the price of 1,663 ARS sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Central Puerto S.A. reported revenue of 1.1T ARS in FY2025 versus 57.1B ARS in FY2021, a compound +109.4%/yr. Reported net income was 346B ARS in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.6T ARS (≈ $1.7B) Small · P/E ratio 5.3 · P/S ratio 1.52 · EPS (TTM) 311.90 ARS · Dividend yield 9.9% · Net margin 28.8% · Return on equity 19.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.4% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 67 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 9%, CEPU screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear1,262 ARSFair Value 1,814 ARSBull3,081 ARS
Price 1,663 ARS · Upside +9.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (126.42 ARS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+121.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+95.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +82.7% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+82.7%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
83.9% (2020) → 19.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: rate outside our plausibility band
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+37.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+10.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Argentina: IMF forecast 13.8% a year to 2030) that is about +20.7% a year for the price and −2.6% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Electric · 156 stocks
Beats the industry median on 13/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Above median
Fair Value upside+9.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)19.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets9.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)28.8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)24.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)224.7% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)9.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.14× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)5.3× · Cheapest 25%
P/B1.01× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)1.52× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)22.4× · Pricier than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Central Puerto S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CEPU
Frequently asked questions
Is Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,814 ARS versus a price of 1,663 ARS, about +9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CEPU?
Our model-based fair value for Central Puerto S.A. is 1,814 ARS (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,663 ARS.
What is the quality score of CEPU?
Central Puerto S.A. has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,814 ARS (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1,262 ARS, optimistic scenario 3,081 ARS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Central Puerto S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,814 ARS, about +9% upside versus a price of 1,663 ARS (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 1,262 ARS, optimistic scenario 3,081 ARS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
Central Puerto S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7T ARS (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Central Puerto S.A. pay a dividend?
Central Puerto S.A. currently shows a dividend yield of 9.86% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Central Puerto S.A. pays a dividend of 164.00 ARS per share a year, a dividend yield of 9.9%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 18, 2026. The payout ratio is 52.6% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.47 times. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What growth is priced into Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Central Puerto S.A. would have to grow free cash flow by +37.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 20.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +95.8 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CEPU use?
Our models discount Central Puerto S.A. at 20.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Argentina. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Central Puerto S.A. that is +37.4 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (20.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Central Puerto S.A. grew +95.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +37.4 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Central Puerto S.A. (+37.4 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.64 %: that much free cash flow Central Puerto S.A. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (20.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Central Puerto S.A. it is 1,814 ARS per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of 1,663 ARS. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Central Puerto S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, CEPU trades below its calculated fair value: price 1,663 ARS, fair value 1,814 ARS, a gap of about +9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CEPU?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,663 ARS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,814 ARS). For Central Puerto S.A. the two are 150.90 ARS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Central Puerto S.A. worth?
The market values Central Puerto S.A. at about 2.6T ARS (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is 1,663 ARS; our models calculate a fair value of 1,814 ARS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CEPU?
Our models span a range for Central Puerto S.A.: cautious scenario 1,262 ARS, base 1,814 ARS, optimistic 3,081 ARS per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price 1,663 ARS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CEPU?
Central Puerto S.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.3 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,814 ARS is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2017 to 2025), reported earnings: 12.5. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 4.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
Balance-sheet figures for Central Puerto S.A. (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 19.0%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CEPU from its 52-week high?
Central Puerto S.A. trades at 1,663 ARS, about 39% below its 52-week high of 2,745 ARS and 1% above the low of 1,649 ARS (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,814 ARS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Central Puerto S.A.?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, The Southern Company, Duke Energy Corporation, American Electric Power Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Central Puerto S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price 1,663 ARS, calculated fair value 1,814 ARS (+9%), Quality Score 52/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CEPU calculated?
We run Central Puerto S.A. through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 1,814 ARS builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Central Puerto S.A. currently trades 8% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 1,663 ARS. Our model-based fair value is 1,814 ARS, about +9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Central Puerto S.A. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (1,262 ARS to 3,081 ARS) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Central Puerto S.A.
How large is the market capitalisation of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
The market capitalisation of Central Puerto S.A. is 2.6T ARS (≈ $1.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Central Puerto S.A. is 1.52 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
Earnings per share at Central Puerto S.A. are 311.90 ARS (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
The dividend yield of Central Puerto S.A. is 9.9% (payout 52.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
The net margin of Central Puerto S.A. is 28.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Central Puerto S.A. is 19.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Central Puerto S.A. is 10.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
The operating margin of Central Puerto S.A. is 24.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
Revenue at Central Puerto S.A. is growing +225% versus a year earlier (3y avg +121%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
Earnings per share at Central Puerto S.A. are growing +50.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU) carry?
The net debt of Central Puerto S.A. is 455B ARS (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Central Puerto S.A. in the live analysis
One click puts Central Puerto S.A. on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Broad data
Nov 6, 2026