Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Central Puerto S.A. $21.08, price $13.43, upside +57.0%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.91 – $17.95 · fair‑value band $11.87 – $42.99 · the $13.43 price screens below the $21.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Central Puerto S.A. engages in the electric power generation activities in Argentina. It operates in three segments: Electric Power Generation From Conventional Sources, Electric Power Generation From Renewable Sources and Forest Activity, and Management and Operations of Thermal Plants.
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Central Puerto S.A. engages in the electric power generation activities in Argentina. It operates in three segments: Electric Power Generation From Conventional Sources, Electric Power Generation From Renewable Sources and Forest Activity, and Management and Operations of Thermal Plants. The company's power generation assets include combined cycle, gas and steam turbine, co-generation, hydroelectric, wind turbines, and solar panels. It also engages in the natural gas transport and distribution; forestry; and mining businesses. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Stock analysis
Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU) currently trades at $13.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $21.08, implying the stock looks roughly 36.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $81.05 per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the $13.43 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $7.85, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $11.87 (bear) to $42.99 (bull), the price of $13.43 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Central Puerto S.A. reported revenue of 1.3T ARS in FY2025 versus 346B ARS in FY2021, a compound +38.6%/yr. Reported net income was 404B ARS in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $2.4B · P/E ratio 6.4 · P/S ratio 2.01 · EPS (TTM) $2.11 · Net margin 31.6% · Return on equity 19.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 20.8% · Operating margin 31.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 57%, CEPU screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $11.87Fair Value $21.08Bull $42.99
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.54 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+73.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+62.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +81.9% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+47.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in ARS ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted. Measured in ARS: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+62.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+62.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.84% vs 78%, picking up
Profit margin 2005 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 30%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+13.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in ARS, Argentina: IMF forecast 13.8% a year to 2030) that is about +0.4% a year for the price and −0.7% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (89 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Electric · 157 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside+56% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)19% · Top 25%
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)37% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)32% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth63% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.14× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Central Puerto S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CEPU
Frequently asked questions
Is Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $21.08 versus a price of $13.43, about +57% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CEPU?
Our model-based fair value for Central Puerto S.A. is $21.08 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $13.43.
What is the quality score of CEPU?
Central Puerto S.A. has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $21.08 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $11.87, optimistic scenario $42.99. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Central Puerto S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $21.08, about +57% upside versus a price of $13.43 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $11.87, optimistic scenario $42.99. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
Central Puerto S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2T ARS (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Central Puerto S.A. would have to grow free cash flow by +14.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +62.7 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CEPU use?
Our models discount Central Puerto S.A. at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Central Puerto S.A. that is +14.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Central Puerto S.A. grew +62.7 % a year. The price currently implies +14.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Central Puerto S.A. (+14.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.08 %: that much free cash flow Central Puerto S.A. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Central Puerto S.A. it is $21.08 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $13.43. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Central Puerto S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CEPU trades below its calculated fair value: price $13.43, fair value $21.08, a gap of about +57% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CEPU?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($13.43); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($21.08). For Central Puerto S.A. the two are $7.65 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Central Puerto S.A. worth?
The market values Central Puerto S.A. at about $2.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $13.43; our models calculate a fair value of $21.08 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CEPU?
Our models span a range for Central Puerto S.A.: cautious scenario $11.87, base $21.08, optimistic $42.99 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $13.43). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CEPU?
Central Puerto S.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.4 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $21.08 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 2.7, EV/EBITDA 6.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
Balance-sheet figures for Central Puerto S.A. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 19.3%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CEPU from its 52-week high?
Central Puerto S.A. trades at $13.43, about 25% below its 52-week high of $17.95 and 74% above the low of $7.70 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $21.08 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Central Puerto S.A.?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, The Southern Company, Duke Energy Corporation, American Electric Power Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Central Puerto S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $13.43, calculated fair value $21.08 (+57%), Quality Score 54/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CEPU calculated?
We run Central Puerto S.A. through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $21.08, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Central Puerto S.A. currently trades 57 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $13.43. Our model-based fair value is $21.08, about +57% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Central Puerto S.A. right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($11.87 to $42.99). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Central Puerto S.A.
How large is the market capitalisation of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
The market capitalisation of Central Puerto S.A. is $2.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Central Puerto S.A. is 2.01 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
Earnings per share at Central Puerto S.A. are $2.11 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
The net margin of Central Puerto S.A. is 31.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Central Puerto S.A. is 19.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Central Puerto S.A. is 20.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
The operating margin of Central Puerto S.A. is 31.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
Revenue at Central Puerto S.A. is growing +63.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)?
Earnings per share at Central Puerto S.A. are growing +127% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU) carry?
The net debt of Central Puerto S.A. is 455B ARS (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026