Compagnie Financiere Tradition (CFT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Compagnie Financiere Tradition CHF 227, price CHF 255, upside -10.9%, quality 78 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 81.39 – CHF 320.50 · fair‑value band CHF 170.32 – CHF 334.23 · the CHF 255.00 price screens above the CHF 227.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Compagnie Financière Tradition SA operates as an interdealer broker of financial and non-financial products worldwide.
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Compagnie Financière Tradition SA operates as an interdealer broker of financial and non-financial products worldwide. The company provides capital market products, including basis swaps, credit and currency derivatives, inflation products, Latin American derivatives, non-deliverable swaps, overnight index swaps, short dates, and Turkish fixed income and money market, as well as interest rate derivatives, options, and swaps. It offers energy and commodity products, such as coal, electricity, environmental products, natural gas, oil, precious metals, property derivatives, pulp and paper, refined products, soft commodities, tradition energy, weather, LNG, petroleum and LPG, and renewable energy credits. In addition, the company provides equities comprising cash and preferred equities, equity derivatives, ETFs, institutional cash equities, single-stock options, delta-one products, exotics, post-reorg equities, index variance and equity finance swaps, and dividend swaps; and fixed income products consisting of asset swaps credit, floating rate notes, futures and options, mortgages, repurchase agreements, and securities, as well as corporate, covered, and government bonds. Further, it offers foreign exchange (FX) products, such as emerging markets, FX listed futures and options, FX options, ParFX, spot and forward FX, and FX exotics; market data products; and money market products, including arbitrage, cash fund management, commercial paper, deposits and certificates of deposits, euro certificates of deposits, forward rate agreements, bank bills, federal funds, and short dates. Additionally, the company provides private equity secondaries, hedge fund secondaries, real estate secondaries, non-traditional secondaries; structured products, and GCC fixed income. The company was incorporated in 1959 and is based in Lausanne, Switzerland. Compagnie Financière Tradition SA is a subsidiary of FinanciÈRe Vermeer N.V.
Stock analysis
Compagnie Financiere Tradition (CFT) currently trades at CHF 255.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 227.10, implying the stock looks roughly 12.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of CHF 237.32 per share, and 2 of the 12 models we run sit above the CHF 255.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at CHF 42.72, and 10 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: CHF 170.32 (bear) to CHF 334.23 (bull), the price of CHF 255.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 78/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Compagnie Financiere Tradition reported revenue of CHF 1.1B in FY2025 versus CHF 876M in FY2021, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 134M in FY2025, compounding +19.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap CHF 2.5B · P/E ratio 15.3 · P/S ratio 1.83 · EPS (TTM) CHF 16.72 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 12.0% · Return on equity 28.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −11%, CFT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear CHF 170.32Fair Value CHF 227.10Bull CHF 334.23
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (CHF 6.74 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.2% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+17.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.15% vs 12%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 14%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Switzerland: IMF forecast 0.6% a year to 2030, 0.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.6% a year for the price and +4.1% for the forecasts.
Compare Compagnie Financiere Tradition with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 463 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−11% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)28% · Top 25%
Return on assets12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)12% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)13% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.37× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
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Is Compagnie Financiere Tradition (CFT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 227.10 versus a price of CHF 255.00, about −11% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CFT?
Our model-based fair value for Compagnie Financiere Tradition is CHF 227.10 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: CHF 255.00.
What is the quality score of CFT?
Compagnie Financiere Tradition has a Quality Score of 78/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Compagnie Financiere Tradition (CFT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of CHF 227.10 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario CHF 170.32, optimistic scenario CHF 334.23. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Compagnie Financiere Tradition stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at CHF 227.10, about −11% upside versus a price of CHF 255.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario CHF 170.32, optimistic scenario CHF 334.23. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Compagnie Financiere Tradition (CFT)?
Compagnie Financiere Tradition reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 1.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Compagnie Financiere Tradition pay a dividend?
Compagnie Financiere Tradition currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.94% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Compagnie Financiere Tradition (CFT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Compagnie Financiere Tradition would have to grow free cash flow by +1.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CFT use?
Our models discount Compagnie Financiere Tradition at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.15, country premium for Switzerland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Compagnie Financiere Tradition that is +1.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Compagnie Financiere Tradition (CFT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Compagnie Financiere Tradition grew +4.3 % a year. The price currently implies +1.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Compagnie Financiere Tradition (CFT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Compagnie Financiere Tradition (+1.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Compagnie Financiere Tradition (CFT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.95 %: that much free cash flow Compagnie Financiere Tradition produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Compagnie Financiere Tradition (CFT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Compagnie Financiere Tradition it is CHF 227.10 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of CHF 255.00. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Compagnie Financiere Tradition stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CFT trades above its calculated fair value: price CHF 255.00, fair value CHF 227.10, a gap of about −11% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CFT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (CHF 255.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (CHF 227.10). For Compagnie Financiere Tradition the two are CHF 27.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Compagnie Financiere Tradition worth?
The market values Compagnie Financiere Tradition at about CHF 2.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is CHF 255.00; our models calculate a fair value of CHF 227.10 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CFT?
Our models span a range for Compagnie Financiere Tradition: cautious scenario CHF 170.32, base CHF 227.10, optimistic CHF 334.23 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price CHF 255.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CFT?
Compagnie Financiere Tradition trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of CHF 227.10 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 5.9, P/B 6.1, P/S 2.7, EV/EBITDA 13.3.
What is the PEG ratio of CFT?
The PEG ratio of Compagnie Financiere Tradition is 5.88 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Compagnie Financiere Tradition (CFT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Compagnie Financiere Tradition (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 28.1%, debt of 0.37 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 78/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CFT from its 52-week high?
Compagnie Financiere Tradition trades at CHF 255.00, about 20% below its 52-week high of CHF 320.50 and 2% above the low of CHF 249.18 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of CHF 227.10 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Compagnie Financiere Tradition?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Compagnie Financiere Tradition stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price CHF 255.00, calculated fair value CHF 227.10 (−11%), Quality Score 78/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CFT calculated?
We run Compagnie Financiere Tradition through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of CHF 227.10, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Compagnie Financiere Tradition itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Compagnie Financiere Tradition (CFT)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was CHF 255.00. Our model-based fair value is CHF 227.10, about −11% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Compagnie Financiere Tradition right now?
A fairly wide model range (CHF 170.32 to CHF 334.23) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Compagnie Financiere Tradition (CFT) come from?
Earnings per share at Compagnie Financiere Tradition grew +11.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.9 %, EBIT margin +7.4 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Compagnie Financiere Tradition
How large is the market capitalisation of Compagnie Financiere Tradition (CFT)?
The market capitalisation of Compagnie Financiere Tradition is CHF 2.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Compagnie Financiere Tradition (CFT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Compagnie Financiere Tradition is 1.83 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Compagnie Financiere Tradition (CFT)?
Earnings per share at Compagnie Financiere Tradition are CHF 16.72 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Compagnie Financiere Tradition (CFT)?
The dividend yield of Compagnie Financiere Tradition is 2.9% (payout 44.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Compagnie Financiere Tradition (CFT)?
The net margin of Compagnie Financiere Tradition is 12.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Compagnie Financiere Tradition (CFT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Compagnie Financiere Tradition is 28.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Compagnie Financiere Tradition (CFT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Compagnie Financiere Tradition is 9.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Compagnie Financiere Tradition (CFT)?
The operating margin of Compagnie Financiere Tradition is 12.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Compagnie Financiere Tradition (CFT)?
Revenue at Compagnie Financiere Tradition is growing +4.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Compagnie Financiere Tradition (CFT)?
Earnings per share at Compagnie Financiere Tradition are growing +15.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Compagnie Financiere Tradition (CFT) hold?
Compagnie Financiere Tradition holds more cash than debt, CHF 72.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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