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Compañía General de Electricidad S.A (CGE) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · CL · Market cap 461B CLP

CG Compañía General de Electricidad S.A CGE · SN
Price201.15 CLP
Fair Value106.94 CLP
Upside-46.8%
Quality40/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 1.2% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: Medium Range 80.20 CLP – 133.67 CLP Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from 303.25 CLP to 106.94 CLP (−64.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −12.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 47% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (133.67 CLP). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

875.42 CLP 192.23 CLP Fair Value 106.94 CLP Nov 2018 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 192.23 CLP – 875.42 CLP · fair‑value band 80.20 CLP – 133.67 CLP · the 201.15 CLP price screens above the 106.94 CLP fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Compañía General de Electricidad S.A (CGE) currently trades at 201.15 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 106.94 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 46.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Compañía General de Electricidad S.A generated revenue of 2.3T CLP at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue declined 3.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.2%. Net debt stands at 1.2T CLP. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 80.20 CLP (bear case) to 133.67 CLP (bull case); at 201.15 CLP, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -47%, CGE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 504.12 CLP 475.72 CLP 349.64 CLP 76
ROIC Compounder 234.91 CLP 343.03 CLP 439.13 CLP 72
Gordon GGM 138.15 CLP 201.16 CLP 268.77 CLP 70
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 40.40 CLP 80.39 CLP 100.91 CLP 54
EPV 234.91 CLP 343.03 CLP 439.13 CLP 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 138.15 CLP 201.16 CLP 268.77 CLP 70
DDM Multi-Stage 138.15 CLP 197.70 CLP 269.92 CLP 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 80.20 CLP 106.94 CLP 133.67 CLP 63
P/S Multiple 75.75 CLP 100.99 CLP 126.24 CLP 58
P/B Multiple 75.75 CLP 100.99 CLP 126.24 CLP 55
EV/EBIT 388.08 CLP 643.36 CLP 898.64 CLP 53
EV/EBITDA 308.41 CLP 537.14 CLP 765.86 CLP 54
EV/Revenue 241.71 CLP 507.21 CLP 772.70 CLP 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 363.02 CLP 486.44 CLP 726.04 CLP 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 504.12 CLP 475.72 CLP 349.64 CLP 76
ROIC Compounder 234.91 CLP 343.03 CLP 439.13 CLP 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 58.53 CLP 83.61 CLP 108.69 CLP 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (486.44 CLP) versus Earnings-Based (80.39 CLP). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.3T CLP
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.0%
Net margin 1.2%
Return on equity 2.2%
Free cash flow −199B CLP FY2025
P/E ratio 16.7
More key figures
Operating margin 8.0%
EPS (TTM) 13.70 CLP
EPS growth (YoY) +469%
Net debt 1.2T CLP FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 30
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 98
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Compañía General de Electricidad S.A., through its subsidiary, engages in the distribution and transmission of electricity business in Chile. It sells the 11,058 GWh capacity of power. The company was founded in 1905 and is based in Santiago, Chile. Compañía General de Electricidad S.A. is a subsidiary of State Grid Chile Electricity Spa.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Compañía General de Electricidad S.A reported revenue of 2.3T CLP in FY2025 versus 1.6T CLP in FY2021, a compound +10.2%/yr. Reported net income was 12.0B CLP in FY2025, compounding +22.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 33/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.3T CLP
Latest YoY
−12.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y)
+3.8%
Revenue +10.2%/yr
FY21 1.6T CLP
FY22 2.2T CLP
FY23 2.1T CLP
FY24 2.7T CLP
FY25 2.3T CLP
Net income +22.5%/yr
FY21 5.3B CLP
FY22 38.4B CLP
FY23 12.1B CLP
FY24 87.7B CLP
FY25 12.0B CLP

CGE screens 47% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Compañía General de Electricidad S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CGE

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Electric · 154 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −47% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.54× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.31× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.20× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 7
FUTURE 0 · sector 32
PAST 9 · sector 39
HEALTH 73 · sector 54
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $88.80 $32.94 -63%
The Southern Company SO $95.61 $61.06 -36%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $126.11 $97.11 -23%
National Grid plc NGG 61,175 ARS 44,377 ARS -27%
American Electric Power Company AEP $132.50 $79.33 -40%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $70.08 $46.92 -33%
NTPC Limited NTPC ₹341.85 ₹377.16 +10%
CEZ, a. s. CEZ 232.40 PLN 159.33 PLN -31%
Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID ₹283.55 ₹252.77 -11%
China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 ¥8.91 ¥7.69 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Compañía General de Electricidad S.A (CGE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 106.94 CLP versus a price of 201.15 CLP, about −47% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CGE?
Our model-based fair value for Compañía General de Electricidad S.A is 106.94 CLP (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 201.15 CLP.
What is the quality score of CGE?
Compañía General de Electricidad S.A has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Compañía General de Electricidad S.A (CGE)?
Compañía General de Electricidad S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.3T CLP (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CGE?
The net profit margin of Compañía General de Electricidad S.A is about 1.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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