Cognyte Software Ltd (CGNT) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $620M
Cognyte Software Ltd
CGNT · US
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $3.58 to $1.70 (−52.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +2.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 82% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.74). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The models converge in a tight band ($1.69 to $1.74), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.35 – $28.17 · fair‑value band $1.69 – $1.74 · the $9.20 price screens above the $1.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Cognyte Software Ltd (CGNT) currently trades at $9.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.70, implying the stock looks roughly 81.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Cognyte Software Ltd generated revenue of $410M at a net margin of -0.7%. Revenue grew 10.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $80.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.69 (bear case) to $1.74 (bull case); at $9.20, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -82%, CGNT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($6.10) versus Earnings-Based ($1.72). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Cognyte Software Ltd., a software-driven technology company, focuses on investigative analytics solutions worldwide. The company offers network intelligence analytics, threat intelligence analytics, decision intelligence analytics, and operational intelligence analytics solutions.
Full company description
Cognyte Software Ltd., a software-driven technology company, focuses on investigative analytics solutions worldwide. The company offers network intelligence analytics, threat intelligence analytics, decision intelligence analytics, and operational intelligence analytics solutions. It also offers software products, including subscription or perpetual licenses and appliances that include software that is essential to the product's functionality; software services, such as support and cloud-based SaaS subscriptions; and professional services and others comprising installation and integration services, customer specific development work, resale of third-party hardware, and consulting and training services. In addition, the company provides customer support, professional, and integration services. It serves governments agencies, including national, regional, and local government agencies. Cognyte Software Ltd. was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Herzliya, Israel.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Cognyte Software Ltd reported revenue of $400M in FY2026 versus $474M in FY2022, a compound −4.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$638K in FY2026.
CGNT screens 82% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Are Cost Headwinds Limiting Cognyte's Profit Potential?
- Cognyte vs Palantir: Which AI Intelligence Stock Is the Better Buy?
- Cognyte's Recurring Revenue Shift: Short-Term Strain Ahead?
- Cognyte Software Posts Q1 Earnings: Should You Hold the Stock or Exit?
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 368 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €354.50 | €93.61 | -74% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| 360 Security Technology Inc 601360 | ¥9.64 | ¥5.05 | -48% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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