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Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA (CGPA2) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA ARS 1,405, price ARS 1,700, upside -17.3%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Utilities · AR · ISIN ARCGSU010048

CG Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA

CGPA2 · BA

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value 1,405 ARS · Overvalued (−17%)
!Quality 42/100
Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +80.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.8% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (5/14)
!Narrow moat 38/100
!Weak on valuation: 10 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

4,135 ARS 16.50 ARS Fair Value 1,405 ARS Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 16.50 ARS – 4,135 ARS · fair‑value band 709.62 ARS – 1,757 ARS · the 1,700 ARS price screens above the 1,405 ARS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Camuzzi Gas Pampeana S.A. distributes natural gas in Argentina. It serves families, businesses, and industries through approximately 56,000 kilometers of gas transport pipelines and distribution network systems in the provinces of Buenos Aires, La Pampa, Neuquén, Chubut, Río Negro, Santa Cruz, and Tierra del Fuego.

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Camuzzi Gas Pampeana S.A. distributes natural gas in Argentina. It serves families, businesses, and industries through approximately 56,000 kilometers of gas transport pipelines and distribution network systems in the provinces of Buenos Aires, La Pampa, Neuquén, Chubut, Río Negro, Santa Cruz, and Tierra del Fuego. The company is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Camuzzi Gas Pampeana S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Sodigas Pampeana S.A.

Stock analysis

Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA (CGPA2) currently trades at 1,700 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,405 ARS, implying the stock looks roughly 21.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 3,415 ARS per share, and 18 of the 24 models we run sit above the 1,700 ARS price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 416.10 ARS, and 6 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: 709.62 ARS (bear) to 1,757 ARS (bull), the price of 1,700 ARS sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA reported revenue of 568B ARS in FY2025 versus 29.7B ARS in FY2021, a compound +109.0%/yr. Reported net income was 26.0B ARS in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 682B ARS (≈ $477M) · P/E ratio 24.2 · P/S ratio 1.11 · EPS (TTM) 84.67 ARS · Net margin 4.6% · Return on equity 11.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8% · Operating margin −2.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −17%, CGPA2 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 709.62 ARS Fair Value 1,405 ARS Bull 1,757 ARS
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (61.94 ARS per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 1,633 ARS 2,498 ARS 5,085 ARS 74
EPV 1,281 ARS 1,490 ARS 1,664 ARS 74
Growth DCF 1,514 ARS 2,799 ARS 4,817 ARS 73
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1,633 ARS 2,498 ARS 5,085 ARS 74
Owner Earnings 1,083 ARS 2,513 ARS 5,166 ARS 69
5Y Revenue Exit 1,786 ARS 3,352 ARS 6,635 ARS 66
5Y EBITDA Exit 1,996 ARS 3,775 ARS 7,265 ARS 69
5Y P/E Exit 1,082 ARS 2,441 ARS 4,243 ARS 65
10Y Revenue Exit 1,671 ARS 4,082 ARS 5,657 ARS 63
10Y EBITDA Exit 1,884 ARS 4,493 ARS 9,044 ARS 61
10Y P/E Exit 1,275 ARS 2,700 ARS 4,930 ARS 59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 530.92 ARS 3,703 ARS 5,196 ARS 61
Lynch FV 1,913 ARS 2,733 ARS 3,552 ARS 59
PEG = 1.0 1,913 ARS 2,733 ARS 3,552 ARS 55
EPV 1,281 ARS 1,490 ARS 1,664 ARS 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1,054 ARS 1,405 ARS 1,757 ARS 63
P/S Multiple 995.47 ARS 1,327 ARS 1,659 ARS 58
P/B Multiple 838.42 ARS 1,118 ARS 1,397 ARS 55
EV/EBIT 2,142 ARS 2,940 ARS 3,737 ARS 66
EV/EBITDA 2,127 ARS 2,919 ARS 3,711 ARS 67
EV/Revenue 1,685 ARS 2,515 ARS 3,344 ARS 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 310.53 ARS 416.10 ARS 621.05 ARS 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1,514 ARS 2,799 ARS 4,817 ARS 73
Rev-Margin DCF 2,003 ARS 3,867 ARS 7,760 ARS 66
Economic Profit
Residual Income 548.76 ARS 623.69 ARS 1,086 ARS 71
ROIC Compounder 1,723 ARS 2,719 ARS 3,228 ARS 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 2,391 ARS 3,415 ARS 4,440 ARS 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 19
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 7
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.2%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+132.4%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+80.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +79.7% a year
Revenue growth 10 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+79.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in ARS What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in ARS: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+85.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+85.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−8% → 13%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+45.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Argentina: IMF forecast 13.8% a year to 2030) that is about +27.5% a year for the price.

CGPA2 screens 21% overvalued. Compare with Naturgy Energy Group →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Gas · 107 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −17% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.49× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B 3.29× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.92× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 7.9× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)10 · sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)47 · sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)76 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 72

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Naturgy Energy Group NTGY €29.48 €32.79 +11%
Atmos Energy Corporation ATO $157.34 $77.92 −50%
NiSource Inc NI $39.88 $19.90 −50%
Uniper SE UN0 €48.45 €45.97 −5%
The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 HK$7.12 HK$4.79 −33%
GAIL (India) Limited GAIL ₹172.95 ₹132.19 −24%
Italgas S.p.A IG €8.43 €9.27 +10%
ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 ¥18.58 ¥61.20 +229%
UGI Corporation UGI $36.85 $32.82 −11%
Southwest Gas Holdings SWX $83.49 $57.83 −31%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA (CGPA2) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,405 ARS versus a price of 1,700 ARS, about −17% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CGPA2?
Our model-based fair value for Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA is 1,405 ARS (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,700 ARS.
What is the quality score of CGPA2?
Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA (CGPA2)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,405 ARS (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 709.62 ARS, optimistic scenario 1,757 ARS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,405 ARS, about −17% upside versus a price of 1,700 ARS (overvalued). Cautious scenario 709.62 ARS, optimistic scenario 1,757 ARS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA (CGPA2)?
Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 742B ARS (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA (CGPA2)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA would have to grow free cash flow by +45.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 19.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +80.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CGPA2 use?
Our models discount Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA at 19.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.17, country premium for Argentina. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA that is +45.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (19.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA (CGPA2) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA grew +80.1 % a year. The price currently implies +45.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA (CGPA2) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA (+45.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA (CGPA2)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.16 %: that much free cash flow Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (19.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA (CGPA2)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA it is 1,405 ARS per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1,700 ARS. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CGPA2 trades above its calculated fair value: price 1,700 ARS, fair value 1,405 ARS, a gap of about −17% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CGPA2?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,700 ARS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,405 ARS). For Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA the two are 294.63 ARS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA worth?
The market values Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA at about 682B ARS (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1,700 ARS; our models calculate a fair value of 1,405 ARS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CGPA2?
Our models span a range for Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA: cautious scenario 709.62 ARS, base 1,405 ARS, optimistic 1,757 ARS per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1,700 ARS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CGPA2?
Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,405 ARS is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.3, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 7.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA (CGPA2)?
Balance-sheet figures for Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.8%, debt of 0.49 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CGPA2 from its 52-week high?
Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA trades at 1,700 ARS, about 50% below its 52-week high of 3,395 ARS and 25% above the low of 1,355 ARS (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,405 ARS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Naturgy Energy Group, Atmos Energy Corporation, NiSource Inc, Uniper SE, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1,700 ARS, calculated fair value 1,405 ARS (−17%), Quality Score 42/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CGPA2 calculated?
We run Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,405 ARS, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA (CGPA2)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 1,700 ARS. Our model-based fair value is 1,405 ARS, about −17% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA right now?
Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (709.62 ARS to 1,757 ARS) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA

How large is the market capitalisation of Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA (CGPA2)?
The market capitalisation of Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA is 682B ARS (≈ $477M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA (CGPA2)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA is 1.11 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA (CGPA2)?
Earnings per share at Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA are 84.67 ARS (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA (CGPA2)?
The net margin of Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA is 4.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA (CGPA2)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA is 11.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA (CGPA2)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA is 4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA (CGPA2)?
The operating margin of Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA is −2.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA (CGPA2)?
Revenue at Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA is growing −4.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +132%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA (CGPA2)?
Earnings per share at Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA are growing +57.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA (CGPA2) carry?
The net debt of Camuzzi Gas Pampeana SA is 152B ARS (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 8.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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