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Chalet Hotels Limited (CHALET) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹181B

CH Chalet Hotels Limited CHALET · NSE
Price₹822.20
Fair Value₹556.62
Upside-32.3%
Quality62/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 23.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
0.24% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Wide moat 83/100
Evidence: High Range ₹325.67 – ₹719.28 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Share price −3.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 32% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹719.28). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹325.67 to ₹719.28) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹1,063 ₹133.65 Fair Value ₹556.62 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹133.65 – ₹1,063 · fair‑value band ₹325.67 – ₹719.28 · the ₹822.20 price screens above the ₹556.62 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

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Analysis

Chalet Hotels Limited (CHALET) currently trades at ₹822.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹556.62, implying the stock looks roughly 32.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Chalet Hotels Limited generated revenue of ₹27.7B at a net margin of 23.3%. Revenue grew 6.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.1%. Net debt stands at ₹20.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹325.67 (bear case) to ₹719.28 (bull case); at ₹822.20, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at -32%, CHALET screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹343.31 ₹700.47 ₹1,422 80
Residual Income ₹198.03 ₹277.81 ₹1,267 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹141.11 ₹290.54 ₹579.75 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹369.55 ₹622.75 ₹1,429 38
Owner Earnings ₹312.78 ₹803.55 ₹1,834 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹134.89 ₹244.30 ₹469.82 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹417.47 ₹815.71 ₹1,598 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹416.01 ₹1,037 ₹1,886 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹201.80 ₹432.16 ₹548.29 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹412.81 ₹1,041 ₹2,146 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹411.75 ₹1,038 ₹2,074 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹200.31 ₹1,397 ₹1,960 54
Lynch FV ₹573.25 ₹818.93 ₹1,065 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹573.25 ₹818.93 ₹1,065 46
EPV ₹268.94 ₹325.76 ₹375.47 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹9.12 ₹18.96 ₹30.07 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹9.12 ₹15.98 ₹19.90 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹486.05 ₹648.07 ₹810.09 63
P/S Multiple ₹113.83 ₹151.77 ₹189.71 58
P/B Multiple ₹375.59 ₹500.78 ₹625.98 55
EV/EBIT ₹518.30 ₹715.04 ₹911.78 53
EV/EBITDA ₹416.06 ₹578.72 ₹741.38 54
EV/Revenue ₹34.31 ₹79.84 ₹125.37 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹84.43 ₹113.13 ₹168.85 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹343.31 ₹700.47 ₹1,422 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹141.11 ₹290.54 ₹579.75 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹198.03 ₹277.81 ₹1,267 76
ROIC Compounder ₹367.22 ₹556.83 ₹706.05 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹729.49 ₹1,042 ₹1,355 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹1,042) versus Dividend Discount (₹15.98). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹27.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.0%
Net margin 23.3%
Return on equity 19.1%
Free cash flow ₹5.7B FY2026
P/E ratio 27.6
More key figures
Operating margin 36.8%
EPS (TTM) ₹29.48
Dividend yield 0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +31.3%
Net debt ₹20.6B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 55
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 25
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 29
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 70
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chalet Hotels Limited owns, develops, manages, and operates hotels and resorts in India. It also operates in rental and annuity, and real estate development business. The company's portfolio comprises hotels, service apartments, and commercial properties. In addition, it engages in construction and development of residential properties.

Full company description

Chalet Hotels Limited owns, develops, manages, and operates hotels and resorts in India. It also operates in rental and annuity, and real estate development business. The company's portfolio comprises hotels, service apartments, and commercial properties. In addition, it engages in construction and development of residential properties. Chalet Hotels Limited was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Chalet Hotels Limited reported revenue of ₹27.7B in FY2026 versus ₹5.1B in FY2022, a compound +52.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹6.5B in FY2026.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹27.7B
Latest YoY
+61.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+34.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+57.5%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.2%
Revenue +52.8%/yr
FY22 ₹5.1B
FY23 ₹11.3B
FY24 ₹14.2B
FY25 ₹17.2B
FY26 ₹27.7B
Net income
FY22 −₹815M
FY23 ₹1.8B
FY24 ₹2.8B
FY25 ₹1.4B
FY26 ₹6.5B

CHALET screens 32% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chalet Hotels Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHALET

Peer Group

Lodging · 169 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −32% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 37% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.51× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.89× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.53× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 16.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 30 · sector 18
PAST 77 · sector 11
HEALTH 75 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 5 · sector 22

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Marriott International, Inc MAR $369.05 $135.64 -63%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT $328.48 $123.67 -62%
InterContinental Hotels Group IHG $159.87 $85.18 -47%
Hyatt Hotels Corporation H $191.00 $47.69 -75%
H World Group HTHT $42.67 $47.55 +11%
Accor SA AC €47.25 €39.26 -17%
The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL ₹743.20 ₹260.68 -65%
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH $78.54 $24.02 -69%
Hanjin Kal, 180640 113,500 KRW 36,890 KRW -67%
Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 16.00 SAR 11.64 SAR -27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chalet Hotels Limited (CHALET) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹556.62 versus a price of ₹822.20, about −32% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CHALET?
Our model-based fair value for Chalet Hotels Limited is ₹556.62 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹822.20.
What is the quality score of CHALET?
Chalet Hotels Limited has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chalet Hotels Limited (CHALET)?
Chalet Hotels Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹27.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CHALET?
The net profit margin of Chalet Hotels Limited is about 23.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Chalet Hotels Limited pay a dividend?
Chalet Hotels Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.24% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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