Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited ₹334, price ₹418, upside -20.2%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹235.26 – ₹713.54 · fair‑value band ₹257.34 – ₹512.58 · the ₹417.95 price screens above the ₹333.75 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells fertilizers primarily in India. The company operates through Own Manufactured Fertilisers; Complex Fertilisers; Crop Protection Chemicals and Speciality Nutrients; and Others segments.
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Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells fertilizers primarily in India. The company operates through Own Manufactured Fertilisers; Complex Fertilisers; Crop Protection Chemicals and Speciality Nutrients; and Others segments. It offers urea; and other agri-inputs, including di-ammonium phosphate, muriate of potash, and triple super phosphate; NPK fertilizers; and technical grade agrochemicals, as well as formulated products, such as insecticides, fungicides, and herbicides under the Uttam brand. The company was incorporated in 1985 and is based in New Delhi, India.
Stock analysis
Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT) currently trades at ₹417.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹333.75, implying the stock looks roughly 25.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹796.88 per share, and 12 of the 17 models we run sit above the ₹417.95 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹127.89, and 5 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹257.34 (bear) to ₹512.58 (bull), the price of ₹417.95 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited reported revenue of ₹208B in FY2026 versus ₹161B in FY2022, a compound +6.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹19.5B in FY2026, compounding +5.7%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹188B (≈ $2.0B) · P/E ratio 8.6 · P/S ratio 0.80 · EPS (TTM) ₹48.83 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 9.4% · Return on equity 20.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 48.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at −20%, CHAMBLFERT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹257.34Fair Value ₹333.75Bull ₹512.58
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹19.12 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+24.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.7% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+6.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5.3% vs 21.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2005 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 11%
2026 sits 58% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 177 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−20.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)20.5% · Top 25%
Return on assets11.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)9.4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)5.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth13.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
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Is Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹333.75 versus a price of ₹417.95, about −20% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CHAMBLFERT?
Our model-based fair value for Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited is ₹333.75 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹417.95.
What is the quality score of CHAMBLFERT?
Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹333.75 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹257.34, optimistic scenario ₹512.58. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹333.75, about −20% upside versus a price of ₹417.95 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹257.34, optimistic scenario ₹512.58. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT)?
Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹208B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited pay a dividend?
Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.39% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited it is ₹333.75 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹417.95. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, CHAMBLFERT trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹417.95, fair value ₹333.75, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CHAMBLFERT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹417.95); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹333.75). For Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited the two are ₹84.20 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited worth?
The market values Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited at about ₹188B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹417.95; our models calculate a fair value of ₹333.75 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CHAMBLFERT?
Our models span a range for Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited: cautious scenario ₹257.34, base ₹333.75, optimistic ₹512.58 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹417.95). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CHAMBLFERT?
Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.6 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹333.75 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.8, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 6.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 20.5%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CHAMBLFERT from its 52-week high?
Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited trades at ₹417.95, about 20% below its 52-week high of ₹522.38 and 2% above the low of ₹409.10 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹333.75 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Corteva, Inc, Nutrien Ltd, Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co, CF Industries Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹417.95, calculated fair value ₹333.75 (−20%), Quality Score 61/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CHAMBLFERT calculated?
We run Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹333.75, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was ₹417.95. Our model-based fair value is ₹333.75, about −20% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹257.34 to ₹512.58) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT) come from?
Earnings per share at Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited grew +21.4 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.0 %, EBIT margin −1.6 %, tax rate +1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +11.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT)?
The market capitalisation of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited is ₹188B (≈ $2.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited is 0.80 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT)?
Earnings per share at Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited are ₹48.83 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT)?
The dividend yield of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited is 2.4% (payout 20.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT)?
The net margin of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited is 9.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited is 20.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited is 48.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT)?
The operating margin of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited is 5.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT)?
Revenue at Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited is growing +13.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT)?
Earnings per share at Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited are growing +30.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT) generate?
The free cash flow of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited is −₹7.3B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT) carry?
The net debt of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited is ₹5.1B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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