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Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹188B

CF Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Limited CHAMBLFERT · NSE
Price₹442.30
Fair Value₹543.62
Upside+22.9%
Quality61/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 9.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
2.30% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Moderate moat 52/100
Evidence: High Range ₹370.06 – ₹973.44 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated today

Share price −3.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 23% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (₹370.06 to ₹973.44). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹713.54 ₹189.15 Fair Value ₹543.62 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹189.15 – ₹713.54 · fair‑value band ₹370.06 – ₹973.44 · the ₹442.30 price screens below the ₹543.62 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT) currently trades at ₹442.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹543.62, implying the stock looks roughly 22.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Limited generated revenue of ₹208B at a net margin of 9.4%. Revenue grew 13.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.5%. Net debt stands at ₹5.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹370.06 (bear case) to ₹973.44 (bull case); at ₹442.30, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at 23%, CHAMBLFERT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹323.01 ₹435.89 ₹1,790 76
ROIC Compounder ₹466.82 ₹626.69 ₹838.53 72
Gordon GGM ₹91.82 ₹190.91 ₹302.86 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹459.49 ₹805.81 ₹1,398 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹331.54 ₹1,468 ₹2,011 54
Lynch FV ₹380.53 ₹543.62 ₹706.71 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹380.53 ₹543.62 ₹706.71 46
EPV ₹416.79 ₹484.31 ₹543.40 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹91.82 ₹190.91 ₹302.86 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹91.82 ₹160.98 ₹200.36 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹621.63 ₹828.84 ₹1,036 63
P/S Multiple ₹583.87 ₹778.49 ₹973.12 58
P/B Multiple ₹584.49 ₹779.33 ₹974.16 55
EV/EBIT ₹622.14 ₹825.64 ₹1,029 53
EV/EBITDA ₹513.03 ₹680.16 ₹847.30 54
EV/Revenue ₹540.73 ₹767.49 ₹994.25 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹129.89 ₹174.05 ₹259.78 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹323.01 ₹435.89 ₹1,790 76
ROIC Compounder ₹466.82 ₹626.69 ₹838.53 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹557.81 ₹796.88 ₹1,036 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹805.81) versus Dividend Discount (₹160.98). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹208B
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.7%
Net margin 9.4%
Return on equity 20.5%
Free cash flow −₹7.3B FY2026
P/E ratio 9.1
More key figures
Operating margin 5.9%
EPS (TTM) ₹48.78
Dividend yield 2.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +30.2%
Net debt ₹5.1B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 76
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells fertilizers primarily in India. The company operates through Own Manufactured Fertilisers; Complex Fertilisers; Crop Protection Chemicals and Speciality Nutrients; and Others segments.

Full company description

Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells fertilizers primarily in India. The company operates through Own Manufactured Fertilisers; Complex Fertilisers; Crop Protection Chemicals and Speciality Nutrients; and Others segments. It offers urea; and other agri-inputs, including di-ammonium phosphate, muriate of potash, and triple super phosphate; NPK fertilizers; and technical grade agrochemicals, as well as formulated products, such as insecticides, fungicides, and herbicides under the Uttam brand. The company was incorporated in 1985 and is based in New Delhi, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Limited reported revenue of ₹208B in FY2026 versus ₹161B in FY2022, a compound +6.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹19.5B in FY2026, compounding +5.7%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 55/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹208B
Latest YoY
+24.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.3%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.5%
Revenue +6.7%/yr
FY22 ₹161B
FY23 ₹278B
FY24 ₹180B
FY25 ₹166B
FY26 ₹208B
Net income +5.7%/yr
FY22 ₹15.7B
FY23 ₹10.3B
FY24 ₹12.8B
FY25 ₹16.5B
FY26 ₹19.5B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +21.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.0 pp

of which total revenue +8.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.3 pp

EBIT margin −1.6 pp
Tax rate +1.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +12.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHAMBLFERT

Peer Group

Agricultural Inputs · 178 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +23% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.81× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.90× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 64 · sector 21
FUTURE 69 · sector 39
PAST 82 · sector 24
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 46 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Corteva, Inc CTVA $76.22 $27.81 -64%
Nutrien Ltd NTR C$93.60 C$81.69 -13%
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 ¥24.93 ¥21.26 -15%
CF Industries Holdings CF $119.19 $161.00 +35%
SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 122.90 SAR 127.31 SAR +4%
Yara International ASA YAR kr 451.30 kr 67.25 -85%
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥29.82 ¥42.12 +41%
Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 ¥42.59 ¥38.01 -11%
Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL ₹2,034 ₹1,129 -44%
UPL Limited UPL ₹570.50 ₹387.06 -32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹543.62 versus a price of ₹442.30, about +23% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CHAMBLFERT?
Our model-based fair value for Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Limited is ₹543.62 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹442.30.
What is the quality score of CHAMBLFERT?
Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Limited has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT)?
Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹208B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CHAMBLFERT?
The net profit margin of Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Limited is about 9.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Limited pay a dividend?
Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.30% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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