Comstock Holding Companies Inc (CHCI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Comstock Holding Companies Inc $12.73, price $19.70, upside -35.4%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.51 – $21.15 · fair‑value band $10.67 – $19.10 · the $19.70 price screens above the $12.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. operates as an asset manager, developer, and operator of mixed-use and transit-oriented properties in the United States. The company acquires, develops, operates, and sells residential, commercial, and mixed-use properties.
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Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. operates as an asset manager, developer, and operator of mixed-use and transit-oriented properties in the United States. The company acquires, develops, operates, and sells residential, commercial, and mixed-use properties. It provides various asset and property management, development and construction management, leasing and marketing services, acquisition and disposition, asset recapitalization, designing services comprising planning and entitlements, investment consultation and execution, and various other property-specific services to its asset-owning clients, which include primarily institutional real estate investors, high net worth family offices, financial institutions, and governmental bodies. The company also provides leasing and marketing, acquisition and disposition, asset recapitalization, planning and entitlements, strategic investment consultation and execution, and various other property-specific services. The company was formerly known as Comstock Homebuilding Companies, Inc. and changed its name to Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. in June 2012. Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.
Stock analysis
Comstock Holding Companies Inc (CHCI) currently trades at $19.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.73, implying the stock looks roughly 54.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $30.55 per share, and 8 of the 24 models we run sit above the $19.70 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $4.67, and 16 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $10.67 (bear) to $19.10 (bull), the price of $19.70 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Comstock Holding Companies Inc reported revenue of $62.9M in FY2025 versus $31.1M in FY2021, a compound +19.2%/yr. Reported net income was $17.1M in FY2025, compounding +5.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $206M · P/E ratio 11.5 · P/S ratio 3.13 · EPS (TTM) $1.67 · Net margin 27.1% · Return on equity 27.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.6% · Operating margin 32.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 90% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −35%, CHCI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $10.67Fair Value $12.73Bull $19.10
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.23 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.2% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+37.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+37.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 19%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 12.3%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+31.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +28.1% a year for the price.
Compare Comstock Holding Companies Inc with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 547 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Above median
Fair Value upside−35% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)28% · Top 25%
Return on assets10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)27% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)32% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth42% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.08× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)11.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B2.95× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)3.28× · Pricier than median
P/FCF46.7× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA14.8× · Pricier than median
PEG0.81× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 12
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)96· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 65
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Comstock Holding Companies Inc (CHCI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.73 versus a price of $19.70, about −35% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CHCI?
Our model-based fair value for Comstock Holding Companies Inc is $12.73 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $19.70.
What is the quality score of CHCI?
Comstock Holding Companies Inc has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Comstock Holding Companies Inc (CHCI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $12.73 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $10.67, optimistic scenario $19.10. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Comstock Holding Companies Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $12.73, about −35% upside versus a price of $19.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $10.67, optimistic scenario $19.10. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Comstock Holding Companies Inc (CHCI)?
Comstock Holding Companies Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $62.9M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Comstock Holding Companies Inc (CHCI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Comstock Holding Companies Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +31.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +22.8 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CHCI use?
Our models discount Comstock Holding Companies Inc at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Comstock Holding Companies Inc that is +31.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Comstock Holding Companies Inc (CHCI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Comstock Holding Companies Inc grew +22.8 % a year. The price currently implies +31.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Comstock Holding Companies Inc (CHCI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Comstock Holding Companies Inc (+31.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Comstock Holding Companies Inc (CHCI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.14 %: that much free cash flow Comstock Holding Companies Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Comstock Holding Companies Inc (CHCI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Comstock Holding Companies Inc it is $12.73 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $19.70. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Comstock Holding Companies Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CHCI trades above its calculated fair value: price $19.70, fair value $12.73, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CHCI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($19.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($12.73). For Comstock Holding Companies Inc the two are $6.97 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Comstock Holding Companies Inc worth?
The market values Comstock Holding Companies Inc at about $206M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $19.70; our models calculate a fair value of $12.73 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CHCI?
Our models span a range for Comstock Holding Companies Inc: cautious scenario $10.67, base $12.73, optimistic $19.10 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $19.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CHCI?
Comstock Holding Companies Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.5 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $12.73 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 16.3 (reported for FY2025: 12.1). Other multiples: PEG 0.8, P/B 3.0, P/S 3.3, EV/EBITDA 14.8.
What is the PEG ratio of CHCI?
The PEG ratio of Comstock Holding Companies Inc is 0.81 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Comstock Holding Companies Inc (CHCI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Comstock Holding Companies Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 27.9%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CHCI from its 52-week high?
Comstock Holding Companies Inc trades at $19.70, about 7% below its 52-week high of $21.15 and 90% above the low of $10.35 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $12.73 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Comstock Holding Companies Inc?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, Vonovia SE, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Comstock Holding Companies Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $19.70, calculated fair value $12.73 (−35%), Quality Score 62/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CHCI calculated?
We run Comstock Holding Companies Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $12.73, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Comstock Holding Companies Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Comstock Holding Companies Inc (CHCI)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $19.70. Our model-based fair value is $12.73, about −35% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Comstock Holding Companies Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($19.10). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Comstock Holding Companies Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Comstock Holding Companies Inc (CHCI)?
The market capitalisation of Comstock Holding Companies Inc is $206M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Comstock Holding Companies Inc (CHCI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Comstock Holding Companies Inc is 3.13 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Comstock Holding Companies Inc (CHCI)?
Earnings per share at Comstock Holding Companies Inc are $1.67 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Comstock Holding Companies Inc (CHCI)?
The net margin of Comstock Holding Companies Inc is 27.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Comstock Holding Companies Inc (CHCI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Comstock Holding Companies Inc is 27.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Comstock Holding Companies Inc (CHCI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Comstock Holding Companies Inc is 15.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Comstock Holding Companies Inc (CHCI)?
The operating margin of Comstock Holding Companies Inc is 32.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Comstock Holding Companies Inc (CHCI)?
Revenue at Comstock Holding Companies Inc is growing +41.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Comstock Holding Companies Inc (CHCI)?
Earnings per share at Comstock Holding Companies Inc are growing +29.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Comstock Holding Companies Inc (CHCI) hold?
Comstock Holding Companies Inc holds more cash than debt, $25.9M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026