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China Everbright Environment Group (CHFFF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of China Everbright Environment Group $2.20, price $0.60, upside +266.7%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
China Everbright Environment Group
CHFFF · USClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
✓Fair value $2.20 · Strongly undervalued (+266.7%)
✓Quality 61/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −8.5 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 14.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Moderate moat 58/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1337 – $0.6700 · fair‑value band $1.54 – $2.86 · the $0.6000 price screens below the $2.20 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
China Everbright Environment Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides environmental solutions worldwide.
Show more
China Everbright Environment Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides environmental solutions worldwide. The company's Environmental Energy Project Construction and Operation segment constructs and operates food and kitchen waste treatment, leachate and fecal treatment, sludge treatment and disposal, fly ash landfill, medical waste, and solid waste treatment projects, as well as waste-to-energy and methane-to-energy plants. It also provides integrated urban, waste sorting, technical consultancy and engineering design, renewable resources utilization, and sanitation operation services. Its Greentech Project Construction and Operation segment constructs and operates integrated biomass utilization, hazardous and solid waste treatment, and solar energy and wind power projects, as well as offers environmental remediation services. The company's Environmental Water Project Construction and Operation segment constructs, upgrades, and operates wastewater treatment plants; water supply and reusable water treatment plants; and sponge city construction, sludge treatment and disposal, leachate treatment, river-basin ecological restoration, and wastewater source heat pump projects. It also researches and develops water environment technologies and engineering projects. Its Others segment conducts environmental protection technology research and development projects; provides environmental related technological, and protection project equipment construction and installation services; designs environmental protection projects; and sells related equipment. It also collects and treats municipal wastes by mechanical and biological technology; and manufactures environmental protection equipment. The company was formerly known as China Everbright International Limited and changed its name to China Everbright Environment Group Limited in September 2020. China Everbright Environment Group Limited was incorporated in 1961 and is headquartered in Hong Kong, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
China Everbright Environment Group (CHFFF) currently trades at $0.6000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.20, implying the stock looks roughly 72.7% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $3.14 per share, and 23 of the 26 models we run sit above the $0.6000 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.4600, and 3 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $1.54 (bear) to $2.86 (bull), the price of $0.6000 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
China Everbright Environment Group reported revenue of HK$27.5B in FY2025 versus HK$49.9B in FY2021, a compound −13.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$4.1B in FY2025, compounding −11.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $4.1B · P/E ratio 7.5 · P/S ratio 1.12 · EPS (TTM) $0.0800 · Net margin 14.9% · Return on equity 6.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.3% · Operating margin 28.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 267%, CHFFF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.54
Fair Value $2.20
Bull $2.86
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
$0.8900
$0.9400
$1.05
76
FCF DCF
$2.67
$5.30
$12.18
73
Growth DCF
$2.53
$5.91
$11.90
73
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$2.67
$5.30
$12.18
73
Owner Earnings
$0.9600
$3.14
$7.39
68
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.6300
$1.53
$2.91
68
5Y EBITDA Exit
$1.56
$3.60
$6.68
71
5Y P/E Exit
$1.01
$2.49
$4.27
67
10Y Revenue Exit
$1.23
$2.49
$4.05
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
$1.89
$4.13
$7.91
64
10Y P/E Exit
$1.52
$3.17
$5.71
61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.5800
$3.76
$5.27
63
Lynch FV
$1.09
$1.56
$2.03
61
PEG = 1.0
$1.09
$1.56
$2.03
57
EPV
$0.4200
$0.6400
$0.8300
72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.2700
$0.5400
$0.8100
67
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.2700
$0.4600
$0.5700
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$1.34
$1.79
$2.24
63
P/S Multiple
$0.8600
$1.14
$1.43
58
P/B Multiple
$1.09
$1.45
$1.81
55
EV/EBIT
$1.23
$1.98
$2.72
64
EV/EBITDA
$1.16
$1.88
$2.60
66
EV/Revenue
n/a
$0.0300
>$0.1200
50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.5400
$0.7300
$1.08
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$2.53
$5.91
$11.90
73
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.6300
$1.61
$3.01
68
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.8900
$0.9400
$1.05
76
ROIC Compounder
$0.4200
$0.6400
$0.8300
71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$1.54
$2.20
$2.86
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
61/100
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Profitability
29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
96
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
93
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.4% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.4%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−7.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−7.4% vs 3.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.27% → 31%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−4.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in HKD, Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −6.7% a year for the price and +0.1% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+4.6%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+1.5%
Projected 2028 (sales)+1.6%
Projected 2029 (sales)+1.7%
Projected 2030 (sales)+1.7%
Watch CHFFF, get fair value alerts →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (10 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
- China Everbright Environment Group Ltd's Dividend Analysis
- China Everbright Environment Group (SEHK:257) Declares Interim Dividends
Compare China Everbright Environment Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 157 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waste Management, Inc WM | $203.92 | $224.31 | +10% |
| Republic Services, Inc RSG | $211.92 | $128.63 | −39% |
| Waste Connections, Inc WCN | $150.66 | $165.73 | +10% |
| Veolia Environnement SA VIE | €30.73 | €20.32 | −34% |
| Clean Harbors, Inc CLH | $313.04 | $155.54 | −50% |
| GFL Environmental Inc GFL | $40.43 | $34.29 | −15% |
| Umicore SA UMI | €21.40 | €25.28 | +18% |
| Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC | €10.72 | €7.30 | −32% |
| Casella Waste Systems, Inc CWST | $82.24 | $14.82 | −82% |
| GEM Co 002340 | ¥6.12 | ¥5.27 | −14% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is China Everbright Environment Group (CHFFF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.20 versus a price of $0.6000, about +267% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CHFFF?
Our model-based fair value for China Everbright Environment Group is $2.20 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.6000.
What is the quality score of CHFFF?
China Everbright Environment Group has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Everbright Environment Group (CHFFF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.20 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.54, optimistic scenario $2.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Everbright Environment Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.20, about +267% upside versus a price of $0.6000 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $1.54, optimistic scenario $2.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Everbright Environment Group (CHFFF)?
China Everbright Environment Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$27.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into China Everbright Environment Group (CHFFF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, China Everbright Environment Group would have to grow free cash flow by -4.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -8.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CHFFF use?
Our models discount China Everbright Environment Group at 8.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.56, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For China Everbright Environment Group that is -4.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has China Everbright Environment Group (CHFFF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at China Everbright Environment Group grew -8.5 % a year. The price currently implies -4.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of China Everbright Environment Group (CHFFF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into China Everbright Environment Group (-4.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of China Everbright Environment Group (CHFFF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 35.50 %: that much free cash flow China Everbright Environment Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of China Everbright Environment Group (CHFFF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Everbright Environment Group it is $2.20 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.6000. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Everbright Environment Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CHFFF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.6000, fair value $2.20, a gap of about +267% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CHFFF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.6000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.20). For China Everbright Environment Group the two are $1.60 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Everbright Environment Group worth?
The market values China Everbright Environment Group at about $4.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.6000; our models calculate a fair value of $2.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CHFFF?
Our models span a range for China Everbright Environment Group: cautious scenario $1.54, base $2.20, optimistic $2.86 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.6000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CHFFF?
China Everbright Environment Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $2.20 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Everbright Environment Group (CHFFF)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Everbright Environment Group (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.5%, debt of 1.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to China Everbright Environment Group?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Everbright Environment Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.6000, calculated fair value $2.20 (+267%), Quality Score 61/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CHFFF calculated?
We run China Everbright Environment Group through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.20, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. China Everbright Environment Group currently trades 73 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Everbright Environment Group (CHFFF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.6000. Our model-based fair value is $2.20, about +267% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Everbright Environment Group right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.54). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($1.54 to $2.86) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of China Everbright Environment Group (CHFFF) come from?
Earnings per share at China Everbright Environment Group grew +3.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.8 %, EBIT margin −2.6 %, tax rate +0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of China Everbright Environment Group
How large is the market capitalisation of China Everbright Environment Group (CHFFF)?
The market capitalisation of China Everbright Environment Group is $4.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Everbright Environment Group (CHFFF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Everbright Environment Group is 1.12 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Everbright Environment Group (CHFFF)?
Earnings per share at China Everbright Environment Group are $0.0800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of China Everbright Environment Group (CHFFF)?
The net margin of China Everbright Environment Group is 14.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Everbright Environment Group (CHFFF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Everbright Environment Group is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Everbright Environment Group (CHFFF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Everbright Environment Group is 5.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Everbright Environment Group (CHFFF)?
The operating margin of China Everbright Environment Group is 28.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Everbright Environment Group (CHFFF)?
Revenue at China Everbright Environment Group is growing −9.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Everbright Environment Group (CHFFF)?
Earnings per share at China Everbright Environment Group are growing +86.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does China Everbright Environment Group (CHFFF) carry?
The net debt of China Everbright Environment Group is HK$85.9B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 8.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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