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Chegg, Inc (CHGG) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $118M

CI Chegg, Inc logo Chegg, Inc CHGG · US
Price$0.9157
Fair Value$1.17
Upside+27.8%
Quality45/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -26.9% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.7600 – $1.58 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price +1.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 28% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.7600 to $1.58) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$90.33 $0.4500 Fair Value $1.17 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.4500 – $90.33 · fair‑value band $0.7600 – $1.58 · the $0.9157 price screens below the $1.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Chegg, Inc (CHGG) currently trades at $0.9157, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.17, implying the stock looks roughly 27.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Chegg, Inc generated revenue of $319M at a net margin of -26.9%. Revenue declined 47.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -55.9%. Net debt stands at $53.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.7600 (bear case) to $1.58 (bull case); at $0.9157, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 103% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at 28%, CHGG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $0.5500 $0.6300 $0.7000 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.5500 $0.6700 $0.8000 61
EV/EBITDA $0.3700 $0.7800 $1.19 54
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.5500 $0.6300 $0.7000 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.5500 $0.6700 $0.8000 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $0.3700 $0.7800 $1.19 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.5300 $0.7200 $1.07 50

Widest divergence: Multiples ($0.7800) versus Dividend Discount ($0.6300). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $319M
Revenue growth (YoY) -47.9%
Net margin -26.9%
Return on equity -55.9%
Free cash flow −$12.6M FY2025
Operating margin -1.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.7900
EPS growth (YoY) +500%
Net debt $53.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 70
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chegg, Inc. provides a learning platform helping businesses bring new skills to their workforce and giving lifelong learners and students the skills and confidence to succeed in the United States and internationally.

Full company description

Chegg, Inc. provides a learning platform helping businesses bring new skills to their workforce and giving lifelong learners and students the skills and confidence to succeed in the United States and internationally. Its subscription services include Chegg Study, which offers personalized step-by-step learning support from AI, computational engines, and subject matter experts; Chegg Writing that provides students with a suite of tools, such as plagiarism detection scans, grammar and writing fluency checking, expert personalized writing feedback, and premium citation generation; Chegg Math provides a computational engine to help them understand and solve math problems; Chegg Study Pack, a bundle of various subscription product offerings, including Chegg Study, Chegg Writing, and Chegg Math services. The company also provides a skills-based learning platform to learn technical skills comprising AI, coding, data analytics, and cybersecurity. In addition, it rents and sells print textbooks and eTextbooks; and offers advertising services. The company serves students and companies through direct marketing channels and social media. Chegg, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chegg, Inc reported revenue of $377M in FY2025 versus $776M in FY2021, a compound −16.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$103M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$377M
Latest YoY
−39.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−21.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.2%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.4%
Revenue −16.5%/yr
FY21 $776M
FY22 $767M
FY23 $716M
FY24 $618M
FY25 $377M
Net income
FY21 −$1.5M
FY22 $267M
FY23 $82.4M
FY24 −$837M
FY25 −$103M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chegg, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHGG

Peer Group

Education & Training Services · 148 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside +28% · Above median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -27% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -2% · Below median
Revenue growth -48% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.07× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.98× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.37× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.2× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.12× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 70 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 24
PAST 0 · sector 18
HEALTH 47 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN 966.48 MXN 897.37 MXN -7%
TAL Education Group TAL $10.24 $15.60 +52%
Laureate Education, Inc LAUR $36.45 $41.45 +14%
Physicswallah Limited PWL ₹131.59 ₹14.81 -89%
Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE $149.00 $152.01 +2%
Covista Inc CVSA $116.22 $135.45 +17%
Stride, Inc LRN $83.39 $139.45 +67%
Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI $40.33 $21.35 -47%
Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO $31.66 $41.45 +31%
Strategic Education, Inc STRA $84.18 $105.48 +25%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chegg, Inc (CHGG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.17 versus a price of $0.9157, about +28% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CHGG?
Our model-based fair value for Chegg, Inc is $1.17 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.9157.
What is the quality score of CHGG?
Chegg, Inc has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chegg, Inc (CHGG)?
Chegg, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $319M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CHGG?
The net profit margin of Chegg, Inc is about -26.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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