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Channel Infrastructure NZ Limited (CHI) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · AU · Market cap A$1.1B

PriceA$2.60
Fair ValueA$0.3700
Upside-85.8%
Quality85/100
Evidence: Medium Range A$0.2800 – A$0.4600

Analysis

Channel Infrastructure NZ Limited (CHI) currently trades at A$2.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.3700 — implying the stock looks roughly 85.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 85/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

Channel Infrastructure NZ Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides infrastructure solutions to meet fuel and energy needs in New Zealand. The company offers fuels import terminal system, including jetty infrastructure at Marsden Point, storage tanks, Marsden Point to Auckland pipeline, and Somerton pipeline, as well as wiri leasing services. It also provides fuel testing laboratory services. The company was formerly known as The New Zealand Refining Company Limited and changed its name to Channel Infrastructure NZ Limited in March 2022. Channel Infrastructure NZ Limited was incorporated in 1961 and is based in Whangarei, New Zealand.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.