Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (CHPFF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited $1.46, price $0.72, upside +102.8%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.3578 – $0.9627 · fair‑value band $0.8300 – $2.09 · the $0.7200 price screens below the $1.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited, together its subsidiaries, operates in the agro-industrial and integrated food businesses in Thailand and internationally. It operates in two segments, Livestock Business and Aquaculture Business.
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Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited, together its subsidiaries, operates in the agro-industrial and integrated food businesses in Thailand and internationally. It operates in two segments, Livestock Business and Aquaculture Business. The company produces and sells swine, chicken, duck, pigs, shrimp, and fish feed; and breeds and farms swine, broiler, layer, duck, and shrimp. It is involved in the animal feed raw materials distribution, food products wholesale and retail, property investment, property lease-out, shrimp hatchery, and animal feedmill businesses. In addition, the company produces and distributes elite seeds, pet snack, chlortetracycline, aquatic feed, and seafood products; and imports and distributes eggs, fresh and processed meat, milk products, frozen fruit, and ready to eat products. Further, it provides consulting, management and advisory, financial guarantee, biological waste management, information technology, food research and development, and financial services. Additionally, the company engages in the operation of food processing plants, slaughterhouses, and training centers; agricultural and livestock farming; chicken integration business; provision and development of Asian food products; and swine farm construction activities. It also exports its products. Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited has strategic cooperation with FPT Corporation to advance AI-led and digital transformation in agri-food value chains. The company Limited was incorporated in 1978 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.
Stock analysis
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (CHPFF) currently trades at $0.7200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.46, implying the stock looks roughly 50.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $2.30 per share, and 23 of the 26 models we run sit above the $0.7200 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.6000, and 3 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.8300 (bear) to $2.09 (bull), the price of $0.7200 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited reported revenue of 571B THB in FY2025 versus 513B THB in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was 25.2B THB in FY2025, compounding +17.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $5.6B · P/E ratio 7.3 · P/S ratio 0.32 · EPS (TTM) $0.0800 · Dividend yield 6.7% · Net margin 4.4% · Return on equity 8.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 103%, CHPFF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.8300Fair Value $1.46Bull $2.09
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.1% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in THB (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+20.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.7.7% vs 8.1%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 8%
2025 sits 52% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in THB, Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +4.2% a year for the price and +0.8% for the forecasts.
Compare Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 279 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Fair Value upside+93.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8.5% · Above median
Return on assets3.1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)3.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)7.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−5.3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)6.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.29× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHPFF
Frequently asked questions
Is Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (CHPFF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.46 versus a price of $0.7200, about +103% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CHPFF?
Our model-based fair value for Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited is $1.46 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.7200.
What is the quality score of CHPFF?
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (CHPFF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.46 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.8300, optimistic scenario $2.09. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.46, about +103% upside versus a price of $0.7200 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.8300, optimistic scenario $2.09. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (CHPFF)?
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 566B THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited pay a dividend?
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.73% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (CHPFF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +5.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.7 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CHPFF use?
Our models discount Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited that is +5.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (CHPFF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited grew -0.7 % a year. The price currently implies +5.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (CHPFF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (+5.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (CHPFF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 21.43 %: that much free cash flow Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (CHPFF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited it is $1.46 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $0.7200. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CHPFF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.7200, fair value $1.46, a gap of about +103% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CHPFF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.7200); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.46). For Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited the two are $0.7400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited worth?
The market values Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited at about $5.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $0.7200; our models calculate a fair value of $1.46 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CHPFF?
Our models span a range for Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited: cautious scenario $0.8300, base $1.46, optimistic $2.09 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $0.7200). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CHPFF?
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.46 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.0, P/B 0.9, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 6.2.
What is the PEG ratio of CHPFF?
The PEG ratio of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited is 0.95 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (CHPFF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 8.5%, debt of 1.29 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CHPFF from its 52-week high?
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited trades at $0.7200, about 3% below its 52-week high of $0.7385 and 31% above the low of $0.5500 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.46 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $0.7200, calculated fair value $1.46 (+103%), Quality Score 56/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CHPFF calculated?
We run Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.46, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited currently trades 51 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (CHPFF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.7200. Our model-based fair value is $1.46, about +103% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.8300). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($0.8300 to $2.09) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (CHPFF) come from?
Earnings per share at Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited grew +6.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.4 %, EBIT margin +10.4 %, tax rate +0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −6.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (CHPFF)?
The market capitalisation of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited is $5.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (CHPFF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited is 0.32 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (CHPFF)?
Earnings per share at Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited are $0.0800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (CHPFF)?
The dividend yield of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited is 6.7% (payout 60.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (CHPFF)?
The net margin of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited is 4.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (CHPFF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited is 8.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (CHPFF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited is 2.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (CHPFF)?
The operating margin of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (CHPFF)?
Revenue at Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited is growing −5.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (CHPFF)?
Earnings per share at Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited are growing −43.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (CHPFF) carry?
The net debt of Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited is 551B THB (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 13.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026