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Chilwa Minerals Limited (CHW) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$79.3M

PriceA$0.8100
Fair ValueA$0.4900
Upside-39.5%
Quality91/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.3700 – A$0.6200

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

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Analysis

Chilwa Minerals Limited (CHW) currently trades at A$0.8100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.4900 — implying the stock looks roughly 39.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 91/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

Chilwa Minerals Limited engages in the exploration and development of heavy mineral sands project in Africa. It explores for zircon, rutile, and ilmenite, as well as monazite rare earth elements deposits. The company holds a 100% interest in the Chilwa Critical Minerals Project covering an area of approximately 878.7 square kilometers located around the northern, western, and southern shores of Lake Chilwa in southern Malawi, Africa. Chilwa Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2022 and is based in Perth, Australia.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chilwa Minerals Limited (CHW) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.4900 versus a price of A$0.8100 — about −40% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of CHW?
Our 21-model fair value for Chilwa Minerals Limited is A$0.4900 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.8100.
What is the quality score of CHW?
Chilwa Minerals Limited has a Quality Score of 91/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.