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Central Iron Ore Limited (CIO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Central Iron Ore Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Jul 29, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · CA

CI Thin data Jul 29, 2026

Central Iron Ore Limited

CIO · V

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value C$0.0255 · Strongly overvalued (−49%)
!Quality 21/100
!Weak Growth (revenue YoY −35.8 %/yr)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/8)
!Narrow moat 5/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$0.2400 C$0.0400 Fair Value C$0.0255 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.0400 – C$0.2400 · fair‑value band C$0.0255 – C$0.0298 · the C$0.0500 price screens above the C$0.0255 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Central Iron Ore Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of gold projects and precious minerals in Western Australia. It primarily holds a 100% interest in the South Darlot Gold Project covering an area of 324 square kilometers located in Kalgoorlie in Western Australia.

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Central Iron Ore Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of gold projects and precious minerals in Western Australia. It primarily holds a 100% interest in the South Darlot Gold Project covering an area of 324 square kilometers located in Kalgoorlie in Western Australia. Central Iron Ore Limited was formerly known as International Gold Mining Limited and changed its name to Central Iron Ore Limited in January 2010. The company is headquartered in Sydney, Australia. Central Iron Ore Limited is a subsidiary of Gullewa Limited.

Stock analysis

Central Iron Ore Limited (CIO) currently trades at C$0.0500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.0255, implying the stock looks roughly 96.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: C$0.0255 (bear) to C$0.0298 (bull), the price of C$0.0500 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Central Iron Ore Limited reported revenue of A$44.0K in FY2024 versus A$110K in FY2018, a compound −14.2%/yr. Reported net income was −A$686K in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap C$6.3M (≈ $4.5M) · P/S ratio 67.1 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0200 · Return on equity −45.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.3% · Operating margin −64,710% · Revenue (TTM) A$94.0K · Revenue growth (YoY) +354%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 14% fair-value upside, at −49%, CIO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.0255 Fair Value C$0.0255 Bull C$0.0298
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0100 C$0.0100 C$0.0200 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0100 C$0.0100 C$0.0200 52

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 21/100

Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 7

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 26
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 22
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Revenue growth 1 year
−35.8%
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.2%
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

CIO screens 96% overvalued. Compare with Zijin Mining Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 238 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 23 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −49% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 354% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 2.16× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.25× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 47.54× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 20

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥31.41 ¥43.81 +39%
Newmont Corporation NEM A$177.02 A$265.78 +50%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $195.57 $222.49 +14%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $42.49 $65.40 +54%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $260.91 $287.00 +10%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM $145.45 $89.12 −39%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $104.60 $88.63 −15%
Zijin Gold International Company 2259 HK$146.60 HK$83.20 −43%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $27.62 $51.30 +86%
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $252.78 $278.06 +10%

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Central Iron Ore Limited · Fair Value
C$0.0255 −96%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Central Iron Ore Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CIO

Frequently asked questions

Is Central Iron Ore Limited (CIO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.0255 versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of C$0.0500, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CIO?
Our model-based fair value for Central Iron Ore Limited is C$0.0255 (as of Jul 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 18, 2026): C$0.0500.
What is the quality score of CIO?
Central Iron Ore Limited has a Quality Score of 21/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Central Iron Ore Limited (CIO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.0255 (as of Jul 29, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.0255, optimistic scenario C$0.0298. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Central Iron Ore Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.0255, about −49% upside versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of C$0.0500 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.0255, optimistic scenario C$0.0298. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Central Iron Ore Limited (CIO)?
Central Iron Ore Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$94.0K (latest available figure, as of Jul 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Central Iron Ore Limited (CIO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Central Iron Ore Limited it is C$0.0255 per share (as of Jul 29, 2026), against a price of C$0.0500. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Central Iron Ore Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jul 29, 2026, CIO trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.0500, fair value C$0.0255, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CIO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.0500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.0255). For Central Iron Ore Limited the two are C$0.0245 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Central Iron Ore Limited worth?
The market values Central Iron Ore Limited at about C$6.3M (market capitalisation, as of Jul 29, 2026). Per share that is C$0.0500; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.0255 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CIO?
Our models span a range for Central Iron Ore Limited: cautious scenario C$0.0255, base C$0.0255, optimistic C$0.0298 per share (as of Jul 29, 2026, price C$0.0500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Central Iron Ore Limited (CIO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Central Iron Ore Limited (as of Jul 29, 2026): return on equity −45.6%, debt of 2.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 21/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CIO from its 52-week high?
Central Iron Ore Limited trades at C$0.0500, about 58% below its 52-week high of C$0.1200 and at the low of C$0.0500 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.0255 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Central Iron Ore Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Zijin Mining Group, Newmont Corporation, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Barrick Mining Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Central Iron Ore Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jul 29, 2026: price C$0.0500, calculated fair value C$0.0255 (−49%), Quality Score 21/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CIO calculated?
We run Central Iron Ore Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.0255, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Central Iron Ore Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Central Iron Ore Limited (CIO)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 18, 2026 and stands at C$0.0500. Our model-based fair value is C$0.0255, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Central Iron Ore Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.0298). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (21/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Central Iron Ore Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Central Iron Ore Limited (CIO)?
The market capitalisation of Central Iron Ore Limited is C$6.3M (≈ $4.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Central Iron Ore Limited (CIO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Central Iron Ore Limited is 67.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Central Iron Ore Limited (CIO)?
Earnings per share at Central Iron Ore Limited are C$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Central Iron Ore Limited (CIO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Central Iron Ore Limited is −45.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Central Iron Ore Limited (CIO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Central Iron Ore Limited is −3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Central Iron Ore Limited (CIO)?
The operating margin of Central Iron Ore Limited is −64,710% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Central Iron Ore Limited (CIO)?
Revenue at Central Iron Ore Limited is growing +354% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Central Iron Ore Limited (CIO) generate?
The free cash flow of Central Iron Ore Limited is −A$379K (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Central Iron Ore Limited (CIO) carry?
The net debt of Central Iron Ore Limited is A$2.8M (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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