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Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Chesapeake Gold Corp. C$1.31, price C$3.25, upside -59.7%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Basic Materials · CA · ISIN CA1651841027

CG Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Chesapeake Gold Corp.

CKG · V

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value C$1.31 · Strongly overvalued (−60%)
!Quality 51/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +40.4 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/7)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$4.90 C$0.8200 Fair Value C$1.31 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.8200 – C$4.90 · fair‑value band C$0.9800 – C$1.96 · the C$3.25 price screens above the C$1.31 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Chesapeake Gold Corp., a mineral exploration and evaluation company, focuses on acquisition, evaluation, and development of precious metal deposits in North and Central America. The company explores for gold and silver deposits.

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Chesapeake Gold Corp., a mineral exploration and evaluation company, focuses on acquisition, evaluation, and development of precious metal deposits in North and Central America. The company explores for gold and silver deposits. It holds 100% interest in its flagship project is the Metates project that includes 12 mining concessions covering an area of 4260 hectares located in Durango State, Mexico. Chesapeake Gold Corp. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Stock analysis

Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG) currently trades at C$3.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$1.31, implying the stock looks roughly 148.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: C$0.9800 (bear) to C$1.96 (bull), the price of C$3.25 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Chesapeake Gold Corp. reported revenue of C$0 in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$4.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$264M (≈ $186M) · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0800 · Return on equity −3.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.7% · Free cash flow −C$4.3M · Net cash C$19.8M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 88% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −60%, CKG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.9800 Fair Value C$1.31 Bull C$1.96
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) C$0.9800 C$1.31 C$1.96 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.9800 C$1.31 C$1.96 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 43
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 27/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+27.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
31.2% (2002) → 4.9% (2005)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

CKG screens 148% overvalued. Compare with PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/6 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 54 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −60% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.24× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk AMMN 4,870 IDR 871.64 IDR −82%
Hecla Mining Company HL $18.27 $16.28 −11%
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $34.70 $28.79 −17%
Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW $11.41 $15.10 +32%
China Gold International Resources Corp CGG C$40.80 C$44.88 +10%
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$41.59 C$15.84 −62%
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $33.73 $32.40 −4%
Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA $24.76 $6.07 −75%
PT Merdeka Battery Materials Tbk. MBMA 525.00 IDR 73.59 IDR −86%
Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 ¥18.58 ¥2.01 −89%

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Chesapeake Gold Corp. · Fair Value
C$1.31 −148%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chesapeake Gold Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CKG

Frequently asked questions

Is Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$1.31 versus a price of C$3.25, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CKG?
Our model-based fair value for Chesapeake Gold Corp. is C$1.31 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$3.25.
What is the quality score of CKG?
Chesapeake Gold Corp. has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$1.31 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.9800, optimistic scenario C$1.96. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chesapeake Gold Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$1.31, about −60% upside versus a price of C$3.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.9800, optimistic scenario C$1.96. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chesapeake Gold Corp. it is C$1.31 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of C$3.25. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chesapeake Gold Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CKG trades above its calculated fair value: price C$3.25, fair value C$1.31, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CKG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$3.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$1.31). For Chesapeake Gold Corp. the two are C$1.94 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chesapeake Gold Corp. worth?
The market values Chesapeake Gold Corp. at about C$264M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is C$3.25; our models calculate a fair value of C$1.31 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CKG?
Our models span a range for Chesapeake Gold Corp.: cautious scenario C$0.9800, base C$1.31, optimistic C$1.96 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price C$3.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of CKG?
The PEG ratio of Chesapeake Gold Corp. is 0.41 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chesapeake Gold Corp. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −3.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CKG from its 52-week high?
Chesapeake Gold Corp. trades at C$3.25, about 34% below its 52-week high of C$4.90 and 88% above the low of C$1.73 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$1.31 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chesapeake Gold Corp.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., Sibanye Stillwater Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chesapeake Gold Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price C$3.25, calculated fair value C$1.31 (−60%), Quality Score 51/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CKG calculated?
We run Chesapeake Gold Corp. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$1.31, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Chesapeake Gold Corp. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was C$3.25. Our model-based fair value is C$1.31, about −60% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chesapeake Gold Corp. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$1.96). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (C$0.9800 to C$1.96) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Chesapeake Gold Corp.

How large is the market capitalisation of Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG)?
The market capitalisation of Chesapeake Gold Corp. is C$264M (≈ $186M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG)?
Earnings per share at Chesapeake Gold Corp. are C$−0.0800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chesapeake Gold Corp. is −3.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chesapeake Gold Corp. is −2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG) generate?
The free cash flow of Chesapeake Gold Corp. is −C$4.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG) hold?
Chesapeake Gold Corp. holds more cash than debt, C$19.8M net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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