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Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Chesapeake Gold Corp. stock C$1.31, price C$2.31, that is 43.3% below the price, quality 54 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials CA · ISIN CA1651841027

CG Chesapeake Gold Corp. logo Thin data Nov 9, 2026

Chesapeake Gold Corp.

CKG · V
Solid, but very expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 43% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 54/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +40.4 %/yr in CAD)
Mixed vs. peers (4/7)
Fair value C$1.31 · Strongly overvalued
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 9/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$4.90 C$0.8200 Fair Value C$1.31 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.8200 – C$4.90 · fair‑value band C$0.9800 – C$1.96 · the C$2.31 price screens above the C$1.31 fair value. As of Nov 9, 2026.

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Company profile

Chesapeake Gold Corp., a mineral exploration and evaluation company, focuses on acquisition, evaluation, and development of precious metal deposits in North and Central America. The company explores for gold and silver deposits.

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It holds 100% interest in its flagship project is the Metates project that includes 12 mining concessions covering an area of 4260 hectares located in Durango State, Mexico. Chesapeake Gold Corp. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Stock analysis

Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG) currently trades at C$2.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$1.31, 43% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: C$0.9800 (bear) to C$1.96 (bull), the price of C$2.31 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Chesapeake Gold Corp. reported revenue of C$0 in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$4.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$191M (≈ $135M) Micro · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0700 · Return on equity −3.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.7% (5-year average) · Free cash flow −C$4.3M · Net cash C$19.8M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −43%, CKG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.9800 Fair Value C$1.31 Bull C$1.96
Price C$2.31 · Downside -43.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) C$0.9800 C$1.31 C$1.96 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.9800 C$1.31 C$1.96 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 4
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 66
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 80
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 98
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 28
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 31
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 43
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 27/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+27.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
31.2% (2002) → 4.9% (2005)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

CKG screens overvalued: fair value 43% below the price. Compare with PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/6 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 54 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −43.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −2.6% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.90× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW $9.50 $12.61 +33% vs CKG
Hecla Mining Company HL $14.74 $15.90 +8% vs CKG
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $31.53 $32.54 +3% vs CKG
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $27.99 $26.98 −4% vs CKG
International Gemological Institute Limited IGIL ₹407.40 ₹338.90 −17% vs CKG
Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 ¥16.70 ¥13.23 −21% vs CKG
China Gold International Resources Corp CGG C$32.55 C$14.94 −54% vs CKG
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$40.64 C$15.63 −62% vs CKG
Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA $19.53 $5.16 −74% vs CKG
PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk AMMN 3,620 IDR 881.70 IDR −76% vs CKG

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Chesapeake Gold Corp.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chesapeake Gold Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CKG

Frequently asked questions

Is Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$1.31 versus a price of C$2.31, about 43% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CKG?
Our model-based fair value for Chesapeake Gold Corp. is C$1.31 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$2.31.
What is the quality score of CKG?
Chesapeake Gold Corp. has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$1.31 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.9800, optimistic scenario C$1.96. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chesapeake Gold Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$1.31, about 43% lower versus a price of C$2.31 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.9800, optimistic scenario C$1.96. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chesapeake Gold Corp. it is C$1.31 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of C$2.31. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Chesapeake Gold Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, CKG trades above its calculated fair value: price C$2.31, fair value C$1.31, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CKG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$2.31); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$1.31). For Chesapeake Gold Corp. the two are C$1.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chesapeake Gold Corp. worth?
The market values Chesapeake Gold Corp. at about C$191M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is C$2.31; our models calculate a fair value of C$1.31 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CKG?
Our models span a range for Chesapeake Gold Corp.: cautious scenario C$0.9800, base C$1.31, optimistic C$1.96 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price C$2.31). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of CKG?
The PEG ratio of Chesapeake Gold Corp. is 0.41 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 9, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chesapeake Gold Corp. (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity −3.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CKG from its 52-week high?
Chesapeake Gold Corp. trades at C$2.31, about 53% below its 52-week high of C$4.90 and 16% above the low of C$2.00 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$1.31 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chesapeake Gold Corp.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, China Gold International Resources Corp, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chesapeake Gold Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price C$2.31, calculated fair value C$1.31 (−43%), Quality Score 54/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CKG calculated?
We run Chesapeake Gold Corp. through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of C$1.31 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Chesapeake Gold Corp. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was C$2.31. Our model-based fair value is C$1.31, about 43% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chesapeake Gold Corp. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$1.96). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (C$0.9800 to C$1.96) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Chesapeake Gold Corp.

How large is the market capitalisation of Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG)?
The market capitalisation of Chesapeake Gold Corp. is C$191M (≈ $135M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG)?
Earnings per share at Chesapeake Gold Corp. are C$−0.0700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chesapeake Gold Corp. is −3.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chesapeake Gold Corp. is −2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG) generate?
The free cash flow of Chesapeake Gold Corp. is −C$4.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Chesapeake Gold Corp. (CKG) hold?
Chesapeake Gold Corp. holds more cash than debt, C$19.8M net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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