Cookpad Inc (CKPDY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 16, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Cookpad Inc stock $1.07, price $0.76, upside +41.5%, quality 71 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.6314 – $2.27 · fair‑value band $0.8900 – $1.28 · the $0.7564 price screens below the $1.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 23, 2026.
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Cookpad Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the cooking business in Japan.
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The company offers Cookpad, a recipe posting and search service; Cookpad Mart, an online marketplace for fresh produce; moment, an AI camera that analyzes cooking and provides specific advice; and other related services.
It also provides Cookpad News, an online cooking magazine; and Tabemiru, an analytical tool that accumulates recipe search data. The company was formerly known as Coin Ltd. and changed its name to Cookpad Inc. in June 1999. Cookpad Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Meguro, Japan.
Stock analysis
Cookpad Inc (CKPDY) currently trades at $0.7564, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.07, implying the stock looks roughly 29.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $1.15 per share, and 19 of the 22 models we run sit above the $0.7564 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.5700, and 3 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.8900 (bear) to $1.28 (bull), the price of $0.7564 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Cookpad Inc ADR reported revenue of ¥5.6B in FY2025 versus ¥10.0B in FY2021, a compound −13.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥777M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $55.6M Micro · P/E ratio 7.6 · P/S ratio 1.05 · EPS (TTM) $0.1000 · Net margin 13.9% · Return on equity 9.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −8.3% · Operating margin 11.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 57 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 41%, CKPDY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$0.8900Fair Value $1.07Bull$1.28
Price $0.7564 · Upside +41.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0811 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −9.2% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+23.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+23.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.23.5% vs −7.1%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 5%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.2%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Internet Content & Information · 126 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+41.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)9.5% · Above median
Return on assets5.5% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)24.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)11.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−8.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
As of Oct 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.07 versus the last price from Oct 16, 2026 of $0.7564, about +41% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CKPDY?
Our model-based fair value for Cookpad Inc ADR is $1.07 (as of Oct 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Oct 16, 2026): $0.7564.
What is the quality score of CKPDY?
Cookpad Inc ADR has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cookpad Inc (CKPDY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.07 (as of Oct 23, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.8900, optimistic scenario $1.28. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cookpad Inc ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.07, about +41% upside versus the last price from Oct 16, 2026 of $0.7564 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.8900, optimistic scenario $1.28. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cookpad Inc (CKPDY)?
Cookpad Inc ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥5.1B (latest available figure, as of Oct 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Cookpad Inc (CKPDY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Cookpad Inc ADR would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -12.8 % per year. As of Oct 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CKPDY use?
Our models discount Cookpad Inc ADR at 11.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.66, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Cookpad Inc ADR that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Cookpad Inc (CKPDY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Cookpad Inc ADR grew -12.8 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Cookpad Inc (CKPDY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Cookpad Inc ADR (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Cookpad Inc (CKPDY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.87 %: that much free cash flow Cookpad Inc ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Cookpad Inc (CKPDY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cookpad Inc ADR it is $1.07 per share (as of Oct 23, 2026), against a price of $0.7564. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cookpad Inc ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 23, 2026, CKPDY trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.7564, fair value $1.07, a gap of about +41% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CKPDY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.7564); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.07). For Cookpad Inc ADR the two are $0.3136 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cookpad Inc ADR worth?
The market values Cookpad Inc ADR at about $55.6M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 23, 2026). Per share that is $0.7564; our models calculate a fair value of $1.07 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CKPDY?
Our models span a range for Cookpad Inc ADR: cautious scenario $0.8900, base $1.07, optimistic $1.28 per share (as of Oct 23, 2026, price $0.7564). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CKPDY?
Cookpad Inc ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.6 (as of Oct 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.07 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 8.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cookpad Inc (CKPDY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cookpad Inc ADR (as of Oct 23, 2026): return on equity 9.5%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 71/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CKPDY from its 52-week high?
Cookpad Inc ADR trades at $0.7564, about 32% below its 52-week high of $1.11 and 5% above the low of $0.7175 (as of Oct 16, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.07 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cookpad Inc ADR?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Alphabet Inc, Meta Platforms, Inc, Tencent Holdings, Spotify Technology S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cookpad Inc ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 23, 2026: price $0.7564, calculated fair value $1.07 (+41%), Quality Score 71/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CKPDY calculated?
We run Cookpad Inc ADR through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.07, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Cookpad Inc ADR currently trades 29 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cookpad Inc (CKPDY)?
The latest price we hold is from Oct 16, 2026 and stands at $0.7564. Our model-based fair value is $1.07, about +41% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cookpad Inc ADR right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (71/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.8900). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Cookpad Inc (CKPDY) come from?
Earnings per share at Cookpad Inc ADR grew −5.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −6.1 %, EBIT margin −14.9 %, tax rate +6.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +10.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Cookpad Inc ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Cookpad Inc (CKPDY)?
The market capitalisation of Cookpad Inc ADR is $55.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cookpad Inc (CKPDY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cookpad Inc ADR is 1.05 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cookpad Inc (CKPDY)?
Earnings per share at Cookpad Inc ADR are $0.1000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Cookpad Inc (CKPDY)?
The net margin of Cookpad Inc ADR is 13.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cookpad Inc (CKPDY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cookpad Inc ADR is 9.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cookpad Inc (CKPDY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cookpad Inc ADR is −8.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cookpad Inc (CKPDY)?
The operating margin of Cookpad Inc ADR is 11.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cookpad Inc (CKPDY)?
Revenue at Cookpad Inc ADR is growing −8.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −14.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cookpad Inc (CKPDY)?
Earnings per share at Cookpad Inc ADR are growing −48.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Cookpad Inc (CKPDY) hold?
Cookpad Inc ADR holds more cash than debt, ¥5.2B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Oct 23, 2026