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Data-driven stock valuation

Cookpad Inc ADR (CKPDY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Cookpad Inc ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Communication Services · US · Market cap $51.6M · ISIN US2163761032

At a glance

CI Cookpad Inc ADR logo Cookpad Inc ADR CKPDY · US
Price$0.8042
Fair Value$1.06
Upside+31.8%
Quality67/100

A solid business, trading 24% below our fair value of $1.06.

As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of Cookpad Inc ADR is $1.06 per share against a price of $0.8042, so the fair value sits 32% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −12.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.1% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (8/13)
!Narrow moat 26/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 7 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range $0.9300 to $1.25

Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Sep 8, 2026, revised from $1.01 to $1.06 (+5.0%) since Sep 3, 2026. Share price +12.1% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.9300). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$2.50 $0.6314 Fair Value $1.06 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.6314 – $2.50 · fair‑value band $0.9300 – $1.25 · the $0.8042 price screens below the $1.06 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Cookpad Inc ADR (CKPDY) currently trades at $0.8042, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.06, implying the stock looks roughly 24.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $1.17 per share, and 18 of the 22 models we run sit above the $0.8042 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.5836, and 4 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Cookpad Inc ADR generated revenue of ¥5.2B at a net margin of 4.1%. Revenue declined 7.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ¥5.2B. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026

Scenario range: $0.9300 (bear) to $1.25 (bull), the price of $0.8042 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at 32%, CKPDY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0413 per share) are deliberately not added.

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $0.9107 $1.01 $1.17 82
Growth DCF $0.9204 $1.01 $1.15 80
Owner Earnings $1.21 $1.38 $1.67 78
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $0.9107 $1.01 $1.17 82
Owner Earnings $1.21 $1.38 $1.67 78
5Y Revenue Exit $0.8103 $0.8952 $1.02 74
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.9053 $1.06 $1.26 77
5Y P/E Exit $1.23 $1.62 $2.09 72
10Y Revenue Exit $0.8525 $0.9128 $0.9736 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.9059 $0.9995 $1.10 70
10Y P/E Exit $1.08 $1.30 $1.51 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.4775 $0.5836 $0.6565 67
EPV $0.6099 $0.6197 $0.6276 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.16 $1.54 $1.93 63
P/S Multiple $0.8952 $1.19 $1.49 58
P/B Multiple $0.8952 $1.19 $1.49 55
EV/EBIT $0.8024 $0.8937 $0.9851 66
EV/EBITDA $0.9622 $1.11 $1.25 67
EV/Revenue $0.7361 $0.8252 $0.9142 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.5828 $0.7810 $1.17 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.9204 $1.01 $1.15 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.8103 $0.9061 $1.03 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.8256 $0.8173 $0.7272 71
ROIC Compounder $0.6099 $0.6197 $0.6276 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.8166 $1.17 $1.52 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($1.17) versus Earnings-Based ($0.5836). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 13.4
P/S ratio 1.86 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.0600 price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.4
Net margin 13.9% FY2025
Return on equity 1.7% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −8.3% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin −10.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ¥5.2B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −7.7% 3y avg −14.9%
EPS growth (YoY) −48.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow ¥586M FY2025
Net cash ¥5.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Cookpad Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the cooking business in Japan. The company offers Cookpad, a recipe posting and search service; Cookpad Mart, an online marketplace for fresh produce; moment, an AI camera that analyzes cooking and provides specific advice; and other related services.

Full company description

Cookpad Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the cooking business in Japan. The company offers Cookpad, a recipe posting and search service; Cookpad Mart, an online marketplace for fresh produce; moment, an AI camera that analyzes cooking and provides specific advice; and other related services. It also provides Cookpad News, an online cooking magazine; and Tabemiru, an analytical tool that accumulates recipe search data. The company was formerly known as Coin Ltd. and changed its name to Cookpad Inc. in June 1999. Cookpad Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Meguro, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cookpad Inc ADR reported revenue of ¥5.6B in FY2025 versus ¥10.0B in FY2021, a compound −13.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥777M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$5.6B
Latest YoY
−4.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−14.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−12.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (18Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in JPY) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+23.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+23.5%
Dividend yield0.0%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 23.5% vs 10Y −7.1%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0.7% (2020) → 4.5% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop1,065% (2022) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in USD
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.2%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Revenue −13.5%/yr
FY21 ¥10.0B
FY22 ¥9.1B
FY23 ¥7.6B
FY24 ¥5.9B
FY25 ¥5.6B
Net income
FY21 −¥2.4B
FY22 −¥3.5B
FY23 −¥2.2B
FY24 ¥1.3B
FY25 ¥777M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −5.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share −6.1 %

of which total revenue −8.7 % · buybacks/dilution +2.8 %

EBIT margin −14.9 %
Tax rate +6.9 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +10.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cookpad Inc ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CKPDY

Peer Group

Internet Content & Information · 154 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 67 · Above median
Fair Value upside +26% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) −11% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.4× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheapest 25%

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Cookpad Inc ADR deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 yearsless than minus 40 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years-12.8 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+1.8 %
FCF yield on price6.12 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models11.6 %

The price sits beyond what a cash-flow model can represent: the valuation rests on more than today's free cash flow. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE76 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 31
PAST7 · sector 10
HEALTH100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 35

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 8, 2026).

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Meta Platforms, Inc META $616.77 $534.91 −13%
Tencent Holdings 0700 HK$455.20 HK$449.03 −1%
Spotify Technology S.A SPOT $547.51 $211.87 −61%
Reddit, Inc RDDT $153.29 $39.59 −74%
Baidu, Inc 89888 HK$79.10 HK$28.84 −64%
Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 81024 HK$34.50 HK$63.28 +83%
NAVER Corporation 035420 213,500 KRW 231,585 KRW +8%
Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 HK$35.14 HK$66.77 +90%
REA Group REA A$177.42 A$88.53 −50%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cookpad Inc ADR (CKPDY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.06 versus a price of $0.8042, about +32% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CKPDY?
Our model-based fair value for Cookpad Inc ADR is $1.06 (as of Sep 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.8042.
What is the quality score of CKPDY?
Cookpad Inc ADR has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cookpad Inc ADR (CKPDY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.06 (as of Sep 8, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.9300, optimistic scenario $1.25. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cookpad Inc ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.06, about +32% upside versus a price of $0.8042 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.9300, optimistic scenario $1.25. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cookpad Inc ADR (CKPDY)?
Cookpad Inc ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥5.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CKPDY?
The net profit margin of Cookpad Inc ADR is about 4.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
What growth is priced into Cookpad Inc ADR (CKPDY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Cookpad Inc ADR would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for ten years (discount rate 11.6 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -12.8 % per year. As of Sep 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CKPDY use?
Our models discount Cookpad Inc ADR at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.64, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
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